Scorecard
Weather Forecast
Champ vs Sammy One-and-Done
PLAYERS Championship: Champ Winner (Morikawa vs Thomas) +$520,000
Valspar Championship: Sammy Winner (Fleetwood vs Zalatoris) +$104,000
Houston Open: Champ Winner (Thompson vs M. Kim) +$16,014
Valero Texas Open: Champ Winner (Cantlay vs Bradley) +$23,857
The Masters Tournament: Sammy Winner (McIlroy vs Scheffler) +$3,192,000
RBC Heritage: Champ Winner (Burns vs Day) +$316,000
CJ Cup Byron Nelson: Champ Winner (Knapp vs RHojgaard) +$12,474
Truist Championship: Sammy Winner (Lowry vs Finau) +$1,410,000
PGA Championship: Xander Schauffele (Sammy) vs Bryson DeChambeau (Champ)
Sammy leads by $3,817,655
Free Bets
Top 20 Parlay:
Patrick Cantlay + Corey Conners (+618) 1u
(Given out on Tuesday’s live show)
Sammy’s Selections - @SammyAvBets
WIN
Rory McIlroy +1100 (3u) - Given out in February on live shows and X
Xander Schauffele +2400 (1u) - used 20% ESPNBet boost; playable anything 21/1 or better
Champ’s Crew - @Champs311
WIN
Xander Schauffele +1750 (2.8u)
Patrick Cantlay +3000 (1.65u)
Keith Mitchell +10000 (0.5u)
Harris English +15000 (0.35u)
Hat Tip
Scottie Scheffler / Justin Thomas / Ludvig Aberg
Tuesday’s Show
LISTEN TO US LIVE FROM FERG’S SPORTS BAR AND GRILLE IN DOWNTOWN SAINT PETERSBURG OR RADIOSTPETE.COM UNDER THE FLORIDA SPORTS STREAM CHANNEL EACH AND EVERY TUESDAY 7:00 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST.
Final Models
Champ’s Top 10
Keith Mitchell
Patrick Cantlay
Rory McIlroy
Justin Thomas
Ryan Gerard
Scottie Scheffler
Kurt Kitayama
Hideki Matsuyama
Davis Thompson
Robert MacIntyre
Sammy’s Top 20
Subscriber Bets
Champ’s Crew - @Champs311
First Round Leader
Xander Schauffele +3000 (1u)
Justin Thomas +3000 (1u)
Corey Conners +5000 (0.65u)
Patrick Reed +6000 (0.55u)
Sammy’s Selections - @SammyAvBets
First Round Leader
Ludvig Åberg +5000 w/ 5 places each way (1.2u) - 50% Bet365 boost, would be thrilled to play at anything 35 or better
Rickie Fowler +10000 w/ 5 places each way (0.6u)
Top 20
Patrick Reed +230 (1u)
Daniel Berger +286 (1u) - used 30% Boost on FanDuel; would play anything +230 or better
Make Cut Parlay
Daniel Berger, Patrick Reed, Gary Woodland, Stephan Jaeger, Keith Mitchell, Rickie Fowler, Harris English +2211 (0.5u)
Miscellaneous Stats and Trends
First Round Leader Notes and Trends from last 3 events at Quail Hollow (Wells Fargo 2024, 2023, 2021):
2024: Xander Schauffele -7 (64)
Lowest score of the weekend from anyone
Edged out Rory McIlroy and Alex Noren at -4 (67), 3 strokes behind him
Finished 2nd
Had 4 straight top 20 finishes (excluding team events) leading into FRL at Quail, including 4 top 10s, 0 MCs
No true wave split given signature event with limited field; was one of first groups to tee off, but teed off after 11:00 AM on Hole 10.
2023: Tommy Fleetwood -6 (65)
5-way tie behind him at -5 (66)
KH Lee, Xander Schauffele, Kevin Streelman, Taylor Moore, Ryan Palmer
Finished 5th
Had 2 top 15s in 4 events leading into Quail, 0 MCs
PM Wave, Hole 1
2021: Phil Mickelson -7 (64)
2 strokes better than Keegan Bradley and KH Lee (-5, 66)
Finished 69th (nice!)
Had 2 MC and 2 top 25 in 4 events leading into Quail
Gained on Approach in 5 straight prior to Quail
PM Wave, Hole 10
Shots Gained Stats from last 3 events at Quail Hollow (Wells Fargo 2024, 2023, 2021):
Preakness
Bob Bauer is back with more horse picks, this time for the Preakness!
If you listed to our show prior to the Kentucky Derby, you smashed the Exacta on 18-8 and just missed the Trifecta with Final Gambit coming in 4th.
Here are Bob’s picks for this week:
4-horse exacta box:
Journalism, American Promise, Goal Oriented, GosgerAmerican Promise to win and place
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Luck is what happens when preparation meets opportunity.
-Seneca