(Updt Sun) NFL Week 15 - Breakdown, Picks, & Bets

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🏈NFL Week 15 Preview

Lines: DraftKings Against the Spread Contest
ATS Contest Record: 34-31 (Last Week: 2-3)
Champ’s Picks: 31-27 ATS (ATD: 17-41)
Sammy’s Picks: 27-31 ATS (ATD: 22-29)

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Thursday, December 11th - 8:15 PM ET

Atlanta Falcons @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-4.5)

Insights: The Bucs (5-8 ATS) after a hot 6–2 SU start are riding a ship on the back of Baker’s play (30th EPA for throws over 10 yards) which has been floundering while Atlanta has been fiesty since November 1st and finally failed to cover as an underdog last week (now 4-1-1 ATS). Injuries galore for both sides make the week 1 matchup not providing many clues to this game but biggest to note: No London for ATL and Reddick, Wirfs and even a sighting for Mike Evans and Jalen McMillian are welcoming eyes for this Bucs fan. Power ratings have this as a 4 point game but add in home field and I get closer to 6. Yes, it is a divisional favorite on a short week so I get the skepticism, but I will be back on the Bucs in another buy low spot after the Saints loss last week as 8.5 point favorites. Look for Bucky to reach paydirt for the 3rd straight week and I would not advise riding the public on Kyle Pitts props as he gets my ATD fade of the game. -C

Pick: Tampa Bay Buccaneers -4.5
Confidence: 3/5
Anytime TD: Kyle Pitts

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