NFL Week 14 -Breakdown, Picks, Bets & Survivor

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🏈NFL Week 14 Preview

Lines: DraftKings Against the Spread Contest
ATS Contest Record: 32-28 (Last Week: 4-1)
Champ’s Picks: 29-22 ATS (ATD: 16-35)
Sammy’s Picks: 23-28 ATS (ATD: 22-29)

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Sunday, December 7 - 1:00 PM ET

Tennessee Titans @ Cleveland Browns (-4.5)

Insights: The knee-jerk reaction when seeing this line is: how could you possible bet Cleveland as more than a FG favorite with its QB situation. Well, that’s baked into the line already, and let’s be honest, if you’ve bet the Browns at all this year, it’s because of their defense and not the offense. Much is the same here. No.1 in the NFL in EPA/play allowed and sack rate, No.2 in success rate allowed, No.3 in passing yards allowed. Meanwhile, the Titans are bottom 3 in the NFL in most offensive metrics along with the Browns and the Raiders — who the Browns just beat in Las Vegas 24-10 2 weeks ago. Tennessee isn’t much better defensively, either. This will be the first road game for Tennessee since October 26, and the Titans — outside of a miraculous comeback in Arizona — have been dreadful on the road. Those results include a 38-14 loss at IND, a 20-10 loss at LV (again, who the Browns beat on the same field with Sanders at QB), a 26-0 loss at Houston (comparable defense to CLE’s), and a 20-12 loss at DEN. The market seems to have bought the Titans at 4.5, as mostly 4s and 3.5s show now on the odds board, but I disagree with the move. Not sure how the Titans can overcome the Browns pass rush, unless Sanders throws more picks than Ward — which isn’t out of the realm of possibilities. -S

Pick: Cleveland Browns -4.5
Confidence: 3.5/5
Anytime TD: Quinshon Judkins

Sunday, December 7 - 4:00 PM ET

Chicago Bears @ Green Bay Packers (-6.5) - 4:25 PM ET

Insights: The total opened low for what I expect to be absolute banger of a game with plenty on the line for respect and standings. I do think the market is still low on the Bears, leading with my eyes and stats on this one and evidenced by my best bet prediciton last week. Trusting the process again this week and will happily eat humble pie if Green Bay steps into the best team in the league and top tier on both sides of the ball. Great game to watch and no need to bet to enjoy but give me the points as Packers win after a costly turnover by the Bears seals their fate. -C

Pick: Chicago Bears +6.5
Confidence: 2/5
Anytime TD: D’Andre Swift

Monday Night Football - 8:15 PM ET

Philadelphia Eagles @ Los Angeles Chargers (+2.5)

Insights: Surgey on Monday and plays on Sunday? Sounds just the Chargers being the great Super Chargers, no? Herbert or Lance, give me the Eagles here even with all the recent turmoil. I am expecting that a cross country trip for Philly will help focus the team and get them back on track and forget that fans egged the house of the offensive coordinator this week, yikes. True Eagle game play this season, low scoring, ball control, key defensive stop and a touchdown at the end to put it out of reach as Philadelphia fans will be back feeling confident like they run the NFC and flex on the lowly Raiders next week.

Pick: Philadelphia Eagles -2.5
Confidence: 4/5
Anytime TD: Jalen Hurts

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