Legend:
Odds: Betting Odds as of publication
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Top 75% Rank: Stats where Player Ranked in Top 75% in the Field
Top 25% Rank: Stats where Player Ranked in Top 25% in the Field
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
Wyndham Results: Finishes at the Wyndham Championship
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: TPC Sawgrass, TPC River Highlands & TPC Twin Cities
Hideki Matsuyama
Odds: +2250
Stats: Top 100! exclude OTT (123), TD (111), OTT/TD AVG (112), GIR (103), BS (107)
Top 75% Rank: Across All Key Metrics
Top 25% Rank: TG, APP, APP 150175, APP 175200, APP 200+, PROX, APP AVG, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BOB, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 5/3/14/14
Wyndham Results: 19/MC/MC/MC/11/3/MC/MC/15 (19 of 26 Rds in 60s; 64 twice)
Comp Results: 3/5/6/7/7/8/13/14/17/22/23/23/27/30/30/MC/MC/MC/WD
Insights: Deki arrives at Sedgefield playing some of his best golf of the season after back-to-back top-five finishes, including another each-way cash with a fifth-place finish at the Rocket Classic. The encouraging sign isn’t just the results—it’s the complete profile. He has now gained off the tee in four straight starts, on approach in three of his last four, and everywhere except the putter was firing last week. Even then, he lost less than half a stroke on the greens, marking just his second negative putting performance in his last eight events. If he can produce a third consecutive tournament with gains across all four major strokes-gained categories, he’ll once again be one of the toughest players to beat. Sedgefield has been a mixed bag over the years, but the underlying ball-striking numbers are impossible to ignore. In nine previous appearances, Hideki has gained strokes off the tee in all but one start and on approach in eight of them, producing finishes as high as third while repeatedly putting himself in contention entering the weekend. The putter has ultimately been the difference between winning and finishing outside the top 10, but that’s always the story with Hideki. After intentionally passing last week in hopes of getting a better number here, I’m happy to jump back on board. At +2250, his current form, elite tee-to-green play and proven history at Sedgefield made him an easy click this week for outright, first round leader and match-ups. -C
Justin Thomas
Odds: +3000
Stats: Top 125 exclude GIR, APP 175200, PROX, APP AVG, BA
Top 75% Rank: All exclude GIR, APP 175200, PROX, APP AVG, BA
Top 25% Rank: TG, TD, OTT/TD AVG, ARD, BOB 200+
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 2/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 65/50/14/17
Wyndham Results: 12/MC/56/78 (7 of 13 Rds in 60s; Low: 65 twice)
Comp Results: 1/3/3/5/8/9/9/11/14/24/30/33/33/35/36/56/60/75/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC
Insights: JT is an intriguing buy-low candidate this week. While his Wyndham record doesn’t jump off the page, his most recent visit in 2023 resulted in a 12th-place finish despite arriving in poor form and needing a dramatic chip-in on the 72nd hole just to keep his playoff hopes alive. Since then, he’s quietly transformed one of the biggest weaknesses in his game, becoming a much more accurate driver while gaining off the tee in eight of his last nine starts on U.S. soil. That improvement, paired with a course that emphasizes wedges, short irons and precision over power, makes Sedgefield a much better fit than his history alone suggests. The recent finishes of 65th and 50th overseas will likely keep bettors away, but his U.S. form before the links swing was far stronger with six straight top-25 finishes, including five top-20s. The concern is that his statistical profile this week isn’t quite as dominant as we’ve come to expect, and his history at Sedgefield has been inconsistent, particularly off the tee. At +3000, though, the number feels fair for a player with his pedigree. I’m not quite ready to go all-in, but I like the bounce-back spot back on American soil. An outright sprinkle, each-way ticket and Top 20 would be my preferred exposure this week. -C
Cameron Young
Odds: +900
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP 150175 (84), PUTT (90), P5 (77)
Top 75% Rank: Across All Key Metrics
Top 25% Rank: All exclude GIR, APP 150175, PUTT, BOB 150175, BOB 200+, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 2/2
FORM: 8/2/47/43
Wyndham Results: 1/22 (7 of 8 Rds in the 60s; Low: 62 twice)
Comp Results: 1/9/47/51/52/54/60/61/MC/MC
Insights: CY returns to Sedgefield as the defending champion, and it’s hard to argue against him being the man to beat again. Since the Masters, he’s consistently been one of the best ball strikers on Tour, gaining off the tee, on approach and around the greens, while the putter has finally become more reliable over his last two starts. Even after the disappointment at the Rocket Classic, where he led after 36 holes before the putter cooled over the weekend, there was far more to like than dislike. His history here is outstanding, winning by six last year while gaining over 10 strokes with the putter and previously firing another Friday 62 in 2024 to sit second entering the weekend. He clearly sees the lines at Sedgefield. The local connection only adds to the appeal. As a former Wake Forest standout just down the road, Young is playing in front of familiar crowds at a tournament that has consistently rewarded players with Carolina ties. Add in the strong correlation with TPC Sawgrass, where Young already owns a victory, and the course fit becomes even more convincing. At +900 the price is short, but that’s the cost of backing the clear favorite on a course where he’s already proven he can dominate. If the putter produces anything close to last year’s performance. First Round Leader and Top-10 markets also stand out as strong ways to invest this week, but most likely hat tip here. -C
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Ryan Gerard
Odds: +3000
Stats: Top 100! exclude ARD (124), ARD/SCR AVG (111), BOB 200+ (111)
Top 75% Rank: All exclude ARD
Top 25% Rank: TG, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP, APP 150175, BS, PUTT, BOB, BOB 150175, BOB AVG, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 2/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 8/9/26/44
Wyndham Results: MC/MC (2 of 4 Rds in 60s; Low: 67)
Comp Results: 27/42/44/54/57
Insights: Ryan Gerard continues to quietly build one of the steadiest résumés on Tour, arriving at the Wyndham with four top-10 finishes in his last seven starts, including ninth at The Open and eighth at the Rocket Classic. His game has been driven by consistently strong play off the tee and around the greens, while the putter has spiked in three of those top-10 finishes. The approach play hasn’t been elite every week, but when it has elevated, Gerard has found himself firmly in contention. Add in the confidence from last year’s Barracuda Championship victory, and it feels like he’s becoming increasingly comfortable in big moments. This also sets up as something of a home game for the North Carolina native and former UNC Tar Heel, a storyline that has mattered at Sedgefield over the years. While his course history shows two missed cuts, he arrives this time in dramatically better form than either previous visit. Sitting 16th in the FedEx Cup standings, Gerard also has extra motivation as he looks to strengthen his case for a Presidents Cup captain’s pick. At +3000, I think he’s one of the more appealing values on the board. The home-state narrative, current form and balanced statistical profile all point toward another strong week, making him a popular this week in outright and placement markets. -C
Tom Kim
Odds: +3000
Stats: Top 100! exclude BOB 150175 (113), BOB 200+ (141)
Top 75% Rank: All exclude BOB 200+
Top 25% Rank: TG, TD, APP, GIR, APP 175200, PROX, APP AVG, BS, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BA, P4
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 4/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 20/MC/1/46
Wyndham Results: WD/1 (4 of 5 Rds in 60s; Low: 61)
Comp Results: 2/20/26/28/38/42/45/51
Insights: Tom Kim returns to Sedgefield looking to recapture the magic from his breakthrough victory in 2022, when he closed with a Sunday 61 to win by five after beginning the final round two shots back. That week showcased exactly why this course fits his eye—elite iron play, smart course management and the ability to get scorching hot with the putter when it matters most. His approach game remains one of the best on Tour, ranking first in the field over the last eight weeks, and it’s no coincidence that whenever the putter joins the party, he’s immediately back in contention. While the T20 at the 3M Open doesn’t jump off the page, there were encouraging signs with four rounds in the 60s and a closing 66 to finish on a positive note. A shorter par-70 like Sedgefield is a much better fit than the bomber-friendly TPC Twin Cities, and the confidence from his Scottish Open victory just a few weeks ago suggests another run could be coming. At +3000, Tom offers plenty of value for a proven winner on this golf course. If the putter returns to even field average, his elite iron play gives him every opportunity to contend for a second Wyndham Championship. I won’t knock anyone with a first round leader or outright ticket this week. -C
Brooks Koepka
Odds: +4000
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP 150175 (107), SCR (142), PUTT (116), P4 (116)
Top 75% Rank: All exclude SCR
Top 25% Rank: TG, OTT, APP, GIR, APP 175200, APP 200+, PROX, APP AVG, BS, BOB, BOB 175200, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, P5
SG Gains: OTT 1/4, APP 3/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 28/MC/MC/WD
Wyndham Results: MC/6/38 (7 of 10 Rds in 60s; Low: 64)
Comp Results: 5/9/11/13/16/19/35/51/57/65/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Brooks is one of the biggest wild cards in the field this week. The talent is unquestioned, but the form is anything but. He withdrew before the 3M Open after missed cuts at both the U.S. Open and The Open, making his health and current game the biggest unknowns entering Sedgefield. In fact, he hasn’t gained strokes across all four major categories in a tournament since May, and with his FedEx Cup position sitting outside the playoff cutline, he’ll likely need a solo fourth or better to extend his PGA Tour season. If he tees it up, motivation certainly won’t be lacking. Course history offers some encouragement despite the long layoff. Koepka finished sixth here in 2016, closing with a Sunday 65, and has gained strokes on approach in all three Wyndham appearances while posting off-the-tee gains in two of them. The putter has been the consistent weakness at Sedgefield, losing strokes in every visit, but his elite ball-striking profile still fits the demands of this course when he’s anywhere near his best. At +4000, this is the definition of a boom-or-bust play. Personally, I would need to see a 60+ number to sprinkle this week. I recommend more daily fantasy over a betting ticket if desire is requested. -C
Aaron Rai
Odds: +4000
Stats: Top 125 exclude BOB, BOB 200+
Top 75% Rank: All exclude BOB, BOB 200+
Top 25% Rank: TG, APP, GIR, BS, BOB 175200
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: MC/MC/30/11
Wyndham Results: 5/1/MC/71 (10 of 14 Rds in 60s; Low: 63)
Comp Results: 14/17/19/20/24/30/35/40/MC
Insights: Rai returns to Sedgefield with some of the strongest course history in the field, but also one of the tougher profiles to trust this week. His last two Wyndham appearances have been outstanding, finishing first and fifth while producing massive approach spikes and opening with rounds of 65-65 in his victory before another opening 63 last year. He sat just two shots back entering the weekend in 2024 and three behind entering Sunday before closing with a 64, ultimately benefiting from Max Greyserman’s late collapse to successfully defend his position near the top of the leaderboard. When Rai has played well here, it’s been built on elite iron play, above-average driving and simply keeping the putter around field average. The concern is current form. Back-to-back missed cuts have cooled much of the momentum he carried earlier this season, and after a similar stretch of poor form before Augusta, he never truly contended. The course fit is undeniable, but asking Rai to immediately rediscover his best golf at +4000 feels like a leap of faith. I fully respect what he’s accomplished at Sedgefield and wouldn’t be surprised if familiarity sparks another good week, but from my perspective this is more of a hat tip than a betting opportunity. I’d rather wait to see signs that the current form is turning before jumping back on board. -C
Jackson Suber
Odds: +9000
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP 150175 (101), PUTT (125), BOB 150175 (118)
Top 75% Rank: All exclude PUTT
Top 25% Rank: TG, APP, GIR, APP 200+, PROX, APP AVG, BS, BOB, BOB 175200, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, P3, P5
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 3/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 50/MC/28/6
Wyndham Results: MC (76-67, 2025)
Comp Results: 30/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Suber enters the Wyndham needing nothing short of a top-six finish to punch his ticket to the FedEx Cup Playoffs, so the motivation couldn’t be any higher. While the results have cooled since his runner-up stretch earlier this summer, the upside remains evident. Just a month ago at the John Deere, he gained strokes across the board and finished sixth with a legitimate chance to win on Sunday. Since then, however, the game has flattened out. The irons took a step back after three straight positive approach weeks, and back-to-back negative putting performances have kept him from climbing leaderboards despite flashes of good golf. Course history and comparable venues don’t provide much reassurance either. He missed the cut here last year after opening 76-67, losing over two strokes on approach and another stroke off the tee, while his comp-course résumé has yet to produce a breakthrough outside of a 30th at this year’s Travelers. At +9000, the number is certainly tempting for a player with his talent, especially knowing he has already proven he can contend on the PGA Tour this season. Still, the current form doesn’t inspire enough confidence for me to buy in. -C
Davis Thompson
Odds: +5500
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP 200+ (114), PUTT (123)
Top 75% Rank: Across All Key Metrics
Top 25% Rank: TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP, GIR, APP 150175, APP 175200, PROX, APP AVG, BS, BA, P4
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 4/4, ARD 0/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 8/7/MC/26
Wyndham Results: 11/12/22/MC (11 of 14 Rds in 60s; Low: 65)
Comp Results: 7/10/25/68/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC
Insights: DT arrives at Sedgefield with his game trending in exactly the right direction. Back-to-back top-10 finishes have him knocking on the door of the FedEx Cup Playoffs, where he’ll likely need another top-six finish this week to extend his season. The encouraging signs are everywhere. He’s gained off the tee in four of his last five starts, on approach in each of his last four, and the putter has finally come alive with back-to-back positive weeks for the first time since the spring. Around-the-green play remains the weak spot, but that’s far less concerning at Sedgefield, where high Greens in Regulation percentages minimize the need for scrambling. Course history only strengthens the case. After missing the cut as a young professional, Thompson has improved every year with finishes of 22nd, 12th and 11th, opening 66-65 last year and sitting inside the top three entering the final round in 2024 before a quiet Sunday kept him out of the winner’s circle. His victory at the John Deere and success on Donald Ross layouts translate well to Sedgefield, while his elite wedge play from 75-175 yards perfectly matches the demands of this course. At +5500, this feels like one of the stronger values on the board. The form, course fit and playoff motivation all line up, making Thompson a popular pick this week and for good reason. -C