2026 Wyndham Championship - Player Deep Dives
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Legend:
Odds: Betting Odds as of publication
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Top 75% Rank: Stats where Player Ranked in Top 75% in the Field
Top 25% Rank: Stats where Player Ranked in Top 25% in the Field
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
Wyndham Results: Finishes at the Wyndham Championship
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: TPC Sawgrass, TPC River Highlands & TPC Twin Cities
Hideki Matsuyama
Odds: +2250
Stats: Top 100! exclude OTT (123), TD (111), OTT/TD AVG (112), GIR (103), BS (107)
Top 75% Rank: Across All Key Metrics
Top 25% Rank: TG, APP, APP 150175, APP 175200, APP 200+, PROX, APP AVG, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BOB, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 5/3/14/14
Wyndham Results: 19/MC/MC/MC/11/3/MC/MC/15 (19 of 26 Rds in 60s; 64 twice)
Comp Results: 3/5/6/7/7/8/13/14/17/22/23/23/27/30/30/MC/MC/MC/WD
Insights: Deki arrives at Sedgefield playing some of his best golf of the season after back-to-back top-five finishes, including another each-way cash with a fifth-place finish at the Rocket Classic. The encouraging sign isn’t just the results—it’s the complete profile. He has now gained off the tee in four straight starts, on approach in three of his last four, and everywhere except the putter was firing last week. Even then, he lost less than half a stroke on the greens, marking just his second negative putting performance in his last eight events. If he can produce a third consecutive tournament with gains across all four major strokes-gained categories, he’ll once again be one of the toughest players to beat. Sedgefield has been a mixed bag over the years, but the underlying ball-striking numbers are impossible to ignore. In nine previous appearances, Hideki has gained strokes off the tee in all but one start and on approach in eight of them, producing finishes as high as third while repeatedly putting himself in contention entering the weekend. The putter has ultimately been the difference between winning and finishing outside the top 10, but that’s always the story with Hideki. After intentionally passing last week in hopes of getting a better number here, I’m happy to jump back on board. At +2250, his current form, elite tee-to-green play and proven history at Sedgefield made him an easy click this week for outright, first round leader and match-ups. -C
Justin Thomas
Odds: +3000
Stats: Top 125 exclude GIR, APP 175200, PROX, APP AVG, BA
Top 75% Rank: All exclude GIR, APP 175200, PROX, APP AVG, BA
Top 25% Rank: TG, TD, OTT/TD AVG, ARD, BOB 200+
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 2/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 65/50/14/17
Wyndham Results: 12/MC/56/78 (7 of 13 Rds in 60s; Low: 65 twice)
Comp Results: 1/3/3/5/8/9/9/11/14/24/30/33/33/35/36/56/60/75/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC
Insights: JT is an intriguing buy-low candidate this week. While his Wyndham record doesn’t jump off the page, his most recent visit in 2023 resulted in a 12th-place finish despite arriving in poor form and needing a dramatic chip-in on the 72nd hole just to keep his playoff hopes alive. Since then, he’s quietly transformed one of the biggest weaknesses in his game, becoming a much more accurate driver while gaining off the tee in eight of his last nine starts on U.S. soil. That improvement, paired with a course that emphasizes wedges, short irons and precision over power, makes Sedgefield a much better fit than his history alone suggests. The recent finishes of 65th and 50th overseas will likely keep bettors away, but his U.S. form before the links swing was far stronger with six straight top-25 finishes, including five top-20s. The concern is that his statistical profile this week isn’t quite as dominant as we’ve come to expect, and his history at Sedgefield has been inconsistent, particularly off the tee. At +3000, though, the number feels fair for a player with his pedigree. I’m not quite ready to go all-in, but I like the bounce-back spot back on American soil. An outright sprinkle, each-way ticket and Top 20 would be my preferred exposure this week. -C
Cameron Young
Odds: +900
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP 150175 (84), PUTT (90), P5 (77)
Top 75% Rank: Across All Key Metrics
Top 25% Rank: All exclude GIR, APP 150175, PUTT, BOB 150175, BOB 200+, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 2/2
FORM: 8/2/47/43
Wyndham Results: 1/22 (7 of 8 Rds in the 60s; Low: 62 twice)
Comp Results: 1/9/47/51/52/54/60/61/MC/MC
Insights: CY returns to Sedgefield as the defending champion, and it’s hard to argue against him being the man to beat again. Since the Masters, he’s consistently been one of the best ball strikers on Tour, gaining off the tee, on approach and around the greens, while the putter has finally become more reliable over his last two starts. Even after the disappointment at the Rocket Classic, where he led after 36 holes before the putter cooled over the weekend, there was far more to like than dislike. His history here is outstanding, winning by six last year while gaining over 10 strokes with the putter and previously firing another Friday 62 in 2024 to sit second entering the weekend. He clearly sees the lines at Sedgefield. The local connection only adds to the appeal. As a former Wake Forest standout just down the road, Young is playing in front of familiar crowds at a tournament that has consistently rewarded players with Carolina ties. Add in the strong correlation with TPC Sawgrass, where Young already owns a victory, and the course fit becomes even more convincing. At +900 the price is short, but that’s the cost of backing the clear favorite on a course where he’s already proven he can dominate. If the putter produces anything close to last year’s performance. First Round Leader and Top-10 markets also stand out as strong ways to invest this week, but most likely hat tip here. -C
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