2026 WM Phoenix Open - Player Deep Dives
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Legend:
Odds - Betting Odds as of publication
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats or *Last Season Stats
Rank: Based on Season Stats Rank in this Field
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
WMPO Results: Finishes at the WM Phoneix Open
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: Southern Hills Country Club, Bay Hill Club & Lodge & Memorial Park Golf Course
Viktor Hovland
Odds: +4000
*Stats: Top 100! exclude ARD (138), SCR (140), ARD/SCR AVG (139), PUTT (116), BA (139), P4 (109)
Rank: N/A
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, AP 4/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 14/23/6/5
WMPO Results: 42/MC/MC
Comp Results: 2/10/15/36/40/41/42/49/MC
Insights: Welcome to the 2026 season of the PGA Tour, Viktor. Glad you could join us. Granted, he played in Dubai 2 weeks ago, but it would have been nice to see him play at Torrey. Instead, he’s starting his 2026 campaign with a trip to Phoenix, where he hasn’t played since 2023 and where he’s found little success in the years he played. Each of his 3 starts here came with massive losses around the greens, which is the Viktor we all know and love really, and 4 of his last 6 rounds here — dating back to 2022 — came with net-negative approach play. As you can see above, those 3 results were T42, MC, MC. That’s enough to scare me off BDV at least for this week, as course history at the WMPO tends to be stickier than most. Having said that, his current form is very good, for the most part. He’s absolutely striping it, and he’s gained around the greens in 4 of his last 5 events. It all comes down his performance on the greens when he’s clicking everywhere tee-to-green, which is worrisome because that’s the one place he hasn’t been gaining strokes of late — losing roughly 4 strokes to the field in the Dubai Desert Classic and Nedbank combined. Honestly, fade of the week material here with poor course history and being first PGA start this season, but tune into tomorrow’s newsletter to confirm that. - S
Scottie Scheffler
Odds: +240
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP 175200 (172), PROX (153), BOB 175200 (142)
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 175200, PROX, BOB 175200; Top 25: TG, OTT, DD, OTT/DD AVG, GIR, BS, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, BOB, BOB 150175, BOB AVG, BA, P3, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 1/4/1/4
WMPO Results: 25/3/1/1/7/MC
Comp Results: 1/1/2/2/2/4/9/11/15/32/MC
Insights: Scheff rolls into TPC Scottsdale looking every bit like GOD himself again. The odds are short at +240, but the profile backs it up: elite across the board with Top-25 ranks in tee-to-green, off-the-tee, ball striking, GIR, scrambling, putting, and every meaningful par split. He’s gained strokes in all four categories in each of his last four starts, with a form line that reads 1-4-1-4, and his history here makes him a horse for course. Even when the approach numbers lag relative to his sky-high baseline, the floor remains contention. On a course where comfort, confidence, and controlled chaos matter, Scottie projects as the clear standard. You’re paying a premium, but you’re buying inevitability. If you don’t like +240, I went ahead and paired him up with Jon Rahm to win LIV Riyad and the Seattle Seahawks to Win the Super Bowl at close to +2500 odds. Another option is a First Round Leader bet close to +1000 odds. They may seem slim but he is 2nd in the field in putting and gains on average 2.6 strokes gained per round at TPC Scottsdale (1st in field of course). No matter what you decide, make sure you get some Scottie exposure but lay off the -5000 to make the cut odds to not raise degenerate alarms. -C
Cameron Young
Odds: +2400
Stats: Top 75!! exclude PUTT (94), BOB (101), BOB 150175 (92), P4 (123)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: TG, OTT, OTT/DD AVG, APP, APP 150175, APP 175200, APP AVG, BOB 175200, BA, P3
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 22/10/9/4
WMPO Results: 12/8/64/26
Comp Results: 3/10/13/36/MC
Insights: CY sets up as a classic upside play at TPC Scottsdale this week, and the +2400 range feels fair for the ceiling he brings. The ball-striking profile is exactly what you want here: Top-25 ranks in tee-to-green, off-the-tee, approach (including key 150–200 yard buckets), and par-3 scoring, with strokes-gained trends moving the right way — OTT in all four starts, approach in three of four, and a steady short game. The last four finishes don’t fully capture how well he’s played since August: 22-10-9-4-11-5-1. The asks are minor — a little more juice on par 4s and getting back to gaining half a stroke or more on the greens — but those are tweaks, not overhauls. Scottsdale rewards elite drivers who create chances, and his 8th here in 2024 and 12th last year suggest the fit is tightening. I won’t miss this one: Cam was my first bet of the week at +2250, and I’m happy to ride the upside. -C
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