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Shinnecock Hills GC
Southampton, New York
Field: 156 players
Top 60 + ties make cut
Par 70, ~7,500 yards
Extremely difficult course that does not reward one particular style like distance
Players have to be well rounded and adaptable
More positional than bomb-and-gouge
Last time at Shinnecock: 2018 when Brooks Koepka won
Course was extremely difficult, to a point of being unfair
This will be the first US Open played at Shinnecock without modifications to the original 1931 design from William Flynn
Weather will play a role — wind specifically
Greens: Bent/Poa mix
7,500 sq ft
Contoured and extremely firm
Stimpmeter: 12
Punishing 5'“ rough surrounding fairways and greens
Fairways will be relatively easy to hit after being widened to original design, but there is no first cut — it’s fairway straight into rough
Fairway tends to get more narrow the further you get off the tee
150+ bunkers
Four Par 3s ranging from 157 to 252 yards
12 Par 4s ranging from 371 to 501 (average 455)
Two Par 5s at 592 and 614
Recent US Open Results
2025: J.J. Spaun -1 (66-72-79-72); 2 Stroke Victory over Robert MacIntyre
2024: Bryson DeChambeau -6 (67-69-67-71); 1 Stroke Victory over Rory McIlroy
2023: Wyndham Clark -10 (64-67-69-70); 1 Stroke Victory over Rory McIlroy
2022: Matt Fitzpatrick -6 (68-70-68-68); 1 Stroke Victory over Scottie Scheffler
2021: Jon Rahm -6 (69-70-72-67); 1 Stroke Victory over Louis Oosthuizen
2020: Bryson DeChambeau -6 (69-68-70-67); 6 Stroke Victory over Matthew Wolff
2019: Gary Woodland -13 (68-65-69-69); 3 Stroke Victory over Brooks Koepka
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Key Stats
Tier 1
Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Putting (Fast)
Driving Accuracy
Fairway Greens-in-Regulation %
Tier 2
Overall Proximity
Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
Scrambling
Birdie-or-Better %
Bogey Avoidance %
Tier 3
Putting Inside 10’
Approach 150-200
Approach 200+
Sand Saves
Champ’s Course Comps
Oakdale Golf & Country Club
TPC Twin Cities
The Concession Golf Club
Tournament Trends
Odds
0-25: 2024, 2021
26-50: 2022, 2020
51-100: 2023, 2019
101+: 2025
Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 7/7 (100%) within 4 shots (1/7 led)
R2: 7/7 (100%) within 3 shots (1/7 led)
R3: 7/7 (100%) within 3 shots (4/7 led)
Winner’s Lead-In Form
7/7 (100%) Top 10 in their last 4 starts
7/7 (100%) played in the same year’s PGA Championship
6/7 (86%) played in the same year’s Masters Tournament
6/7 (86%) made the cut at the same year’s Masters Tournament & PGA Championship
5/7 (71%) made the cut their last start
5/7 (71%) Top 10 in one of their last 2 starts
5/7 (71%) Top 10 either at Masters Tournament or PGA Championship of the same year
4/7 (57%) Top 25 in their last start
4/7 (57%) Top 5 in their last 4 starts
4/7 (57%) at least 2 Top 20 in their last 4 starts
4/7 (57%) made their last start at the Memorial Tournament
3/7 (43%) WIN or 2nd in their last 4 starts
1/7 (14%) Top 10 in their last start
1/7 (14%) at least 2 Top 10 in their last 4 starts
1/7 (14%) at least four straight made cuts leading in
1/7 (14%) made their last start at the RBC Canadian Open
Winner’s US Open History
6/7 (86%) made at least 2 prior apperances
5/7 (71%) made the cut in the appearance prior to the WIN
5/7 (71%) made at least 5 prior appearances
4/7 (57%) made back-to-back cuts in appearances prior to the WIN
2/7 (29%) Top 5 in a prior appearance
2/7 (29%) at least 2 Top 20 in prior apperances
1/7 (14%) Top 20 in the appearance prior to the WIN
1/7 (14%) prior US Open Champion
0/7 (0%) WON as a Debutant
First Round Leader Splits
AM: 71% (2025, 2024, 2022, 2021, 2019)
PM: 43% (2024, 2023, 2020)
*results can include instances where FRL from both splits, both get credited with a win.
For more US Open Trends: Click here to see Dave Tindall’s 10-year trends write-up
Early Models
Champ’s Early Top 10
Cameron Young
Matt Fitzpatrick
Si Woo Kim
Jake Knapp
Collin Morikawa
Adam Scott
Wyndham Clark
Alex Smalley
Shane Lowry
Viktor Hovland
