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Quail Hollow Golf Club
Charlotte, North Carolina
Par 71, 7,600+ yards
2nd straight signature event
72 Players, No Cut
Greens: Poa Trivialis (Bermuda still dormant)
6,600 sq ft
60+ bunkers, 6-7 holes with water
Narrow, tree-lined fairways with bunkers
Given the distance, long irons will be frequently used
“Green Mile”
One of the most difficult closing 3-hole stretches in Tour rotation
16: 520+ yard Par 4 with average score of 4.33 last year
17: 220+ yard Par 3 with average score of 3.4 last year
18: 490+ yard Par 4 with average score of 4.41 last year
Driver-heavy course
86%+ Driver usage over last 5 years — nearly 20% higher than tour average
Last year was over 90%
Shots Gained: Off-the-Tee a close second to SG: Approach in terms of importance this week
Greens in Regulation 11% lower than Tour average last year
Going for Green - Hit Green 9.5% lower than Tour average last year
Approach from 175+ yards will make up a majority of 2nd shots
2025 average proximity to hole from around the green: 8.8 feet (Tour average 7.7)
Average made birdie putt distance in 2025: 8.9 feet (0.6 below Tour average)
Scoring average (past 5 years): 71.90
Birdie-or-better 3.6% below Tour average
Birdie-to-Bogey ratio just 0.77 last year
Four Par 3s
Ranging from 184 to 249 yards
5-year average score: 3.15
All with at least a 15% bogey rate
11 Par 4s
Ranging from 346 to 506 yards
Average score: 4.12
Only 2 of them play under par (#8, #14)
7 have a bogey rate north of 20%
Three Par 5s
Ranging from 546 to 592 yards
Average score: 4.65
All with at least a 37% birdie rate
#7 5% eagle rate with nearly a 3% double rate
Ideal statistical profile for success: Someone who is top 25% in the field in distance with elite long iron accuracy and a very good to excellent short game
Quail Hollow Golf Club Tournament History
2025: Scottie Scheffler -11 (69-68-65-71); 5 Stroke Victory over 3 Players
2024: Rory McIlroy -17 (67-68-67-65); 5 Stroke Victory over Xander Schauffele
2023: Wyndham Clark -19 (67-67-63-68); 4 Stroke Victory over Xander Schauffele
2022: Presidents Cup
2021: Rory McIlroy -10 (72-66-68-68); 1 Stroke Victory over Abraham Ancer
2020: Cancelled due to COVID
2019: Max Homa -15 (69-63-70-67); 3 Stroke Victory over Joel Dahmen
2018: Jason Day -12 (69-67-67-69); 2 Stroke Victory over Watney & Wise
2017: Justin Thomas -8 (73-66-69-68); 2 Stroke Victory over 3 Players
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The Bettor Clubhouse - @BettorClubhouse
Champ - @Champs311
Sammy - @SammyAvBets
Key Stats
Tier 1
Shots Gained: Approach
Shots Gained: Off-the-Tee
Total Driving
Shots Gained: Tee-to-Green
ARG Proximity
Tier 2
Shots Gained: Putting (Poa Trivialis)
Carry Distance
Approach 150+ yards
Greens in Regulation
Birdies or better%
Bogey Avoidance
Tier 3
Scrambling
P5 Birdies or better
SG: Par 4
Club Head Speed
Putting 5-15 feet (Poa Triv)
Champ’s Course Comps
The Los Angeles Country Club (North Course)
Trump National Doral
Oakmont Country Club
Quail Hollow Tournament Trends
Odds
0-25: 2025, 2024, 2021, 2018
25-50: 2017
50-100: 2023
100+: 2019
Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 6/7 (86%) within 6 shots (0/7 led)
R2: 7/7 (100%) within 5 shots (1/7 led)
R3: 7/7 (100%) within 2 shots (4/7 led)
Winner’s Lead-In Form
6/7 (86%) with a Top 30 in their last 4 starts
5/7 (71%) made the cut in their last start
4/7 (57%) with a Top 10 in their last 4 starts
3/7 (43%) with 2 Top 10 in their last 4 starts
3/7 (43%) with a Top 5 in their last 4 starts
3/7 (43%) with multiple MC in their last 4 starts
2/7 (29%) registered a WIN in their last 4 starts
Winner’s Quail Hollow History
6/7 (86%) with at least 1 prior tournament appearance
5/7 (71%) made the cut in their last appearance
4/7 (57%) with a Top 10 in a prior appearance
3/7 (43%) with multiple Top 10 in prior appearances
2/7 (29%) with a Top 10 in their last appearance
2/7 (29%) with a WIN in a prior appearance
First Round Leader Group Splits
1-16: 71% (2024, 2023, 2021, 2019, 2018)
17+: 71% (2025, 2024, 2023, 2019, 2017)
*results can include instances where FRL from both Tee Groups, both get credited with a win.
Early Models
Become a Clubhouse Member to unlock Champ and Sammy’s full models below, including our model weights where applicable
Full Models
Follow this link for direct access to Sammy’s weekly GoogleSheet, where publishes all his models
Course Horses
