2026 Truist Championship - Patio Preview, Key Stats, Tournament Trends & Early Models
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Field List
Patio Preview
Quail Hollow Golf Club
Charlotte, North Carolina
Par 71, 7,600+ yards
2nd straight signature event
72 Players, No Cut
Greens: Poa Trivialis (Bermuda still dormant)
6,600 sq ft
60+ bunkers, 6-7 holes with water
Narrow, tree-lined fairways with bunkers
Given the distance, long irons will be frequently used
“Green Mile”
One of the most difficult closing 3-hole stretches in Tour rotation
16: 520+ yard Par 4 with average score of 4.33 last year
17: 220+ yard Par 3 with average score of 3.4 last year
18: 490+ yard Par 4 with average score of 4.41 last year
Driver-heavy course
86%+ Driver usage over last 5 years — nearly 20% higher than tour average
Last year was over 90%
Shots Gained: Off-the-Tee a close second to SG: Approach in terms of importance this week
Greens in Regulation 11% lower than Tour average last year
Going for Green - Hit Green 9.5% lower than Tour average last year
Approach from 175+ yards will make up a majority of 2nd shots
2025 average proximity to hole from around the green: 8.8 feet (Tour average 7.7)
Average made birdie putt distance in 2025: 8.9 feet (0.6 below Tour average)
Scoring average (past 5 years): 71.90
Birdie-or-better 3.6% below Tour average
Birdie-to-Bogey ratio just 0.77 last year
Four Par 3s
Ranging from 184 to 249 yards
5-year average score: 3.15
All with at least a 15% bogey rate
11 Par 4s
Ranging from 346 to 506 yards
Average score: 4.12
Only 2 of them play under par (#8, #14)
7 have a bogey rate north of 20%
Three Par 5s
Ranging from 546 to 592 yards
Average score: 4.65
All with at least a 37% birdie rate
#7 5% eagle rate with nearly a 3% double rate
Ideal statistical profile for success: Someone who is top 25% in the field in distance with elite long iron accuracy and a very good to excellent short game
Quail Hollow Golf Club Tournament History
2025: Scottie Scheffler -11 (69-68-65-71); 5 Stroke Victory over 3 Players
2024: Rory McIlroy -17 (67-68-67-65); 5 Stroke Victory over Xander Schauffele
2023: Wyndham Clark -19 (67-67-63-68); 4 Stroke Victory over Xander Schauffele
2022: Presidents Cup
2021: Rory McIlroy -10 (72-66-68-68); 1 Stroke Victory over Abraham Ancer
2020: Cancelled due to COVID
2019: Max Homa -15 (69-63-70-67); 3 Stroke Victory over Joel Dahmen
2018: Jason Day -12 (69-67-67-69); 2 Stroke Victory over Watney & Wise
2017: Justin Thomas -8 (73-66-69-68); 2 Stroke Victory over 3 Players
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Key Stats
Tier 1
Shots Gained: Approach
Shots Gained: Off-the-Tee
Total Driving
Shots Gained: Tee-to-Green
ARG Proximity
Tier 2
Shots Gained: Putting (Poa Trivialis)
Carry Distance
Approach 150+ yards
Greens in Regulation
Birdies or better%
Bogey Avoidance
Tier 3
Scrambling
P5 Birdies or better
SG: Par 4
Club Head Speed
Putting 5-15 feet (Poa Triv)
Champ’s Course Comps
The Los Angeles Country Club (North Course)
Trump National Doral
Oakmont Country Club
Quail Hollow Tournament Trends
Odds
0-25: 2025, 2024, 2021, 2018
25-50: 2017
50-100: 2023
100+: 2019
Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 6/7 (86%) within 6 shots (0/7 led)
R2: 7/7 (100%) within 5 shots (1/7 led)
R3: 7/7 (100%) within 2 shots (4/7 led)
Winner’s Lead-In Form
6/7 (86%) with a Top 30 in their last 4 starts
5/7 (71%) made the cut in their last start
4/7 (57%) with a Top 10 in their last 4 starts
3/7 (43%) with 2 Top 10 in their last 4 starts
3/7 (43%) with a Top 5 in their last 4 starts
3/7 (43%) with multiple MC in their last 4 starts
2/7 (29%) registered a WIN in their last 4 starts
Winner’s Quail Hollow History
6/7 (86%) with at least 1 prior tournament appearance
5/7 (71%) made the cut in their last appearance
4/7 (57%) with a Top 10 in a prior appearance
3/7 (43%) with multiple Top 10 in prior appearances
2/7 (29%) with a Top 10 in their last appearance
2/7 (29%) with a WIN in a prior appearance
First Round Leader Group Splits
1-16: 71% (2024, 2023, 2021, 2019, 2018)
17+: 71% (2025, 2024, 2023, 2019, 2017)
*results can include instances where FRL from both Tee Groups, both get credited with a win.
Early Models
Become a Clubhouse Member to unlock Champ and Sammy’s full models below, including our model weights where applicable
