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Muirfield Village Golf Club
Dublin, OH
Par 72, 7,550+ yards
Difficult Jack Nicklaus design
Signature event with cut: top 50 and ties
Greens: Bentgrass
5,000 sq ft on average
Typically roll pure
Surrounded by deep, penal bunkers
Makes it difficult to gain strokes ARD
Wide fairways for landing OTT, but high missed fairway penalty
Must have elite 2nd shot in order to contend/win at this course
Driver usage here about Tour average last 5 years
GIR% 10% lower than Tour average
GIR% from rough sub-40%
60%+ approach shots from 150+ yards
40%+ of approach shots 150-200 yards
Scrambling % >5% lower than Tour average
3-putt avoidance lower than Tour average
One-putt% higher than Tour average
Four Par 3s
Ranging from 180 to 220 yards
All play above par
2 of the most difficult 5 holes
All 4 are of the most 10 difficult holes
10 Par 4s
Ranging from 360 to 503 yards
3 of 4 most difficult holes on course
All play above par
Four Par 5s
Ranging from 545 to 590 yards
Only 4 holes on course that play below par
All about 30% or better birdie rate, but bogeys can be found as well
P5 BOB% about 10% below Tour average
Recent the Memorial Tournament Results
2025: Scottie Scheffler -10 (70-70-68-70); 4 Stroke Victory over Ben Griffin
2024: Scottie Scheffler -8 (67-68-71-74); 1 Stroke Victory over Collin Morikawa
2023: Viktor Hovland -7 (71-71-69-70); Playoff Victory over Denny McCarthy
2022: Billy Horschel -13 (70-68-65-72); 4 Stroke Victory over Aaron Wise
2021: Patrick Cantlay -13 (69-67-68-71); Playoff Victory over Collin Morikawa
2020: Jon Rahm -9 (69-67-68-75); 3 Stroke Victory over Ryan Palmer
2019: Patrick Cantlay -19 (68-69-68-64); 2 Stroke Victory over Adam Scott
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Bettor Clubhouse - @BettorClubhouse
Champ - @Champs311
Sammy - @SammyAvBets
Become a Clubhouse Member to unlock Key Stats, Comp Courses, Tournament Trends and Full Models including our model weights where applicable
Key Stats
Tier 1
Shots Gained: Approach
Shots Gained: Around-the-Green
Shots Gained: Tee-to-Green
Greens-in-Regulation %
Overall Proximity
Tier 2
Shots Gained: Off-the-Tee
Shots Gained: Putting (Bent)
Approach 150-200 yards
Bogey Avoidance
Sand Saves
Scrambling
Tier 3
Par 3 Scoring
Par 4 Scoring
Par 5 BOB%
Rough GIR%
Distance from Edge of Fairway
Champ’s Course Comps
Innisbrook Resort (Copperhead Course)
The Concession Golf Club
East Lake Golf Club
the Memorial Tournament Trends
Odds
0-25: 2025, 2024, 2023, 2021, 2020, 2019
26-50: 2022
Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 7/7 (100%) within 5 shots (0/7 led)
R2: 6/7 (86%) within 3 shots (1/7 led)
R3: 6/7 (86%) within 1 shot (5/7 led)
Winner’s Lead-In Form
6/7 (86%) made the cut in their last start
5/7 (71%) with a Top 5 finish in their last 4 starts
4/7 (57%) with a Top 20 finish in their last start
4/7 (57%) with a Top 5 finish in their last 2 starts
4/7 (57%) with a WIN or 2nd in their last 4 starts
3/7 (43%) with at least 2 Top 5 finishes in their last 4 starts
3/7 (43%) with at least four straight made cuts
2/7 (29%) with a Top 5 finish at Colonial in the same year
Winner’s Muirfield Village History
7/7 (100%) with at least 2 prior appearances
6/7 (86%) with a Top 10 finish in a prior appearance
5/7 (71%) with a Top 5 finish in a prior appearance
4/7 (57%) with at least 5 prior appearances
3/7 (43%) with a Top 5 finish in the appearance prior to their WIN
3/7 (43%) with multiple Top 5 finishes in prior appearances
2/7 (29%) with a WIN in a prior appearance
2/7 (29%) with 2 or fewer appearances
1/7 (14%) WON as the defending champion
First Round Leader Group Splits
AM: 57% (2025, 2022, 2021, 2019)
PM: 57% (2024, 2023, 2022, 2020)
*results can include instances where FRL from both splits, both get credited with a win.
Early Models
Champ’s Early Top 10
Cameron Young
Matt Fitzpatrick
Ludvig Aberg
Jake Knapp
Min Woo Lee
Alex Smalley
Nicolai Hojgaard
Wyndham Clark
Chris Gotterup
Sepp Straka
