Legend:
Odds - Betting Odds as of publication
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Rank: Based on Field Rank
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
Houston Results: Finishes at the Houston Open
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: Southern Hills Country Club, Silverado Resort and Spa (North Course), and TPC Scottsdale
Brooks Koepka
Odds: +2500
Stats: Top 75!! exclude SCR (112), ARD/SCR AVG (89), PUTT (127), BA (77), P4 (96)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: TG, APP, GIR, APP 200+, PROX, APP AVG, BOB, BOB 175200, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, P5
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 4/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 18/13/9/MC
Houston Results: MC/5
Comp Results: 1/1/3/8/41/41/42/55/MC
Insights: Brooks Koepka is here and definitely worth a deep dive this week. His current game is elite off the tee and on approach — 1st in Tee-to-Green, 1st in Approach, and Top 5 when looking at cumulative averages around Approach, GIR, Yardage Buckets, and Proximity — though strokes around the green and putting will be key to boosting his ranks in bogey avoidance and Par 4 scoring. Course fit is strong: both starts at Memorial Park produced putting gains even when approach didn’t click, and when you’ve helped design the course, you know that confidence will be there starting Thursday. Last week yielded only one round in the 60s, but the test was tough and he was punished for a driver he’s still managing. Recent form (18-13-9-MC-56-15-4 across DPWT and PGA starts) shows he’s more than capable of winning, and as a backer on Sunday, you know he’ll go out with a mentality most simply lack. I was on him last week and easily back on the train again. Let’s ride! -C
Min Woo Lee
Odds: +1500
Stats: Top 50!!! exclude APP (77), GIR (55), APP 200+ (85), APP AVG (56), SCR (57)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25 exclude APP, GIR, APP 200+, SCR
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 32/6/12/2
Houston Results: 1 (66-64-63-67, 2025)
Comp Results: 12/28/32/71/MC
Insights: Min Woo’s lone PGA Tour win came at this course last year. He was a slight loser off the tee, but he made up for it with almost nine strokes gained on the greens, more than two strokes gained around the greens and almost four strokes gained with his irons. His form is incredible, finishing no worse than T38 in six events this season, including a T2 at Pebble and a T6 at Bay Hill. Furthermore, he’s gained off the tee in a big way in all of those events, along with four straight positive events on the greens. The downside is his iron play. He’s alternated positive and negative gains in every event this year, and while this should be a positive week following that pattern, I don’ love to see that irons inconsistency from the event’s favorite. MWL should have a fantastic week, but the price is not appealing. OAD or DFS is the way to run him out, in my opinion. -S
Chris Gotterup
Odds: +2050
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP 200+ (89), PUTT (103), P4 (78)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: TG, OTT, DD, OTT/DD AVG, APP, APP AVG, ARD, ARD/SCR AVG, BOB, BOB 175200, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, BA, P3, P5
SG Gains:
FORM: 56/18/MC/37
Houston Results: 18/57
Comp Results: 1/51/MC/MC/MC
Insights: It’s important to note that Chris Gotterup has shown he can win events even when his complete game isn’t up to snuff. His win at Sony included a negative result with his irons, and his win in Phoenix included losses with the putter. Having said that, he’s been on a great run with his irons of late, and he has the required distance for success at this course. The short game is the biggest concern for him here, but he had solid gains around the green here last year and spiked for more than 5.5 strokes on the greens here in 2024. Over the last year, Gotterup is third in the field in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee on driver-heavy courses. He absolutely fits the profile of a golfer that can win this week. -S
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More Player Deep Dives below for Bettor Clubhouse Subscribers including Pierceson Coody, Ryan Fox, Nicolai Hojgaard and Jake Knapp!
Pierceson Coody
Odds: +4800
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP 175200 (135), PROX (102), ARD (155), ARD/SCR AVG (124)
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 175200, ARD, ARD/SCR AVG; Top 25: TG, OTT, DD, OTT/DD AVG, APP, GIR, APP 200+, BS, BOB, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, P3
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 3/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 55/MC/MC/16
Houston Results: 52/57
Comp Results: 10/58
Insights: Storyline city here for Texas’ own, as Coody returns to his home state to play at Memorial Park for the third time. He isn’t in the best form, but I’m willing to write that off given all of his struggles came in Florida, which makes sense considering the Florida swing is consistently his worst throughout his PGA career. Coody is an absolute masher of the ball, and like Gotterup, is elite from a SG: OTT perspective on driver-heavy courses (first in the field in that regard over the last 12 months), and his wayward tendencies aren’t going to be as penalized here as they were in Florida. His course history here isn’t the best, but he did gain strokes on the greens here in both prior appearances. Expecting a solid week both OTT and on APP, it all comes down to the putter. In any case, I like Coody to be near the top of the leaderboard on Sunday. -S
Harris English
Odds: +4000
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP (123), PROX (111), ARD (110)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: OTT, OTT/DD AVG, APP 175200, APP 200+, BS, SCR, PUTT, BOB, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, P3, P4
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 2/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: MC/24/22/24
Houston Results: 18/39
Comp Results: 3/9/9/15/16/17/28/33/35/49/43/57/57/66/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Don’t let the missed cut scare you off Harris this week. His game has strong spots — off the tee, scrambling, putting, and birdie-making are all solid — though nothing screams “front page” just yet. Approach and Par 5 scoring will need to improve to push him into serious contention, but his putting has been warm, keeping him in play for matchups or a sprinkle on the leaderboard. Current form is mixed (MC/24/22/24), and he’s still looking for his first Top 20 of the season and first Top 10 since December. Course history offers some encouragement: last year at Memorial Park he lost strokes on approach but still managed a T18 thanks to OTT and putting spikes. With two major runner-up finishes in 2025 showing the ceiling is there, English is worth monitoring — not flashy this week, but capable of sneaky gains and climbing the leaderboard. At +4000, he’s a safe floor play with upside for a Top 20 finish. -C
Ryan Fox
Odds: +6700
Stats: Top 50!!! exclude APP (75), APP 175200 (105), PROX (60), APP AVG (51), BS (86), P5 (97)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25 exclude OTT, APP, GIR, PROX, BS, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 24/7/24/24
Houston Results: 15/78
Comp Results: 24/41/54/63
Insights: Mr. Fox tees it up this week with the kind of length and iron game that fits this course perfectly. He’s gained strokes across almost every category in his last four events — the only miss being putting at Arnold Palmer (-0.02) — and his irons and putting have been warm, making him intriguing for bettors looking down the odds board. Current form at a wider glance, shows a played with only 1 Top 10 in his last 10 starts, but take it from me similar to his course history he is closer to a top play than a missed cut. Course history is quietly more solid than first appears. He gained in all fourth statistical catgories (OTT, APP, ARD, PUTT) and posted three straight rounds in the 60s putting him in 3rd at the 54 hole mark before a Sunday 71 nudged him down the leaderboard. Rested from skipping THE PLAYERS and Innsbrook, the only question is whether any rust shows up in round one. At +6700 (insert joke here), he’s perfect for matchups, 3-balls, or a sprinkle on the first-round leaderboard, with upside for a Top 5 finish. -C
Nicolai Hojgaard
Odds: +2800
Stats: Top 75!! exclude GIR (91), APP 175200 (79), BS (76), BOB (102), BOB 175200 (106), BOB AVG (94), P4 (78)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: TG, DD, OTT/DD AVG, APP, APP 200+, APP AVG, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, BA, P3
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 55/27/24/6
Houston Results: MC (69-72, 2025)
Comp Results: 3/36/MC
Insights: Another player in this field that uses is driver as an absolute weapon is Nicolai. N-Hoj is eighth in the field in SG:OTT on driver-heavy courses, and he’s fourth in driving distance. He can be a bit wayward off the tee from an accuracy perspective, but again, those issues are negated at this course. His missed cut last year doesn’t really prove this point at all, but I firmly believe Hoj is another player that will benefit from getting out of Florida and onto a different style of course. He has gained strokes on Approach in all but one event this year, and same can be said for the flat stick. His 55th at Valspar was the first time he finished outside the Top 20 this season, and he’s finished in the Top 6 twice. I like his upside a lot here, and I think the price is fair for his form, as he’s shown he can compete on a comp course already this season with his T3 at Scottsdale. -S
Jake Knapp
Odds: +2400
Stats: Top 50!!! exclude APP (65), GIR (81), APP 175200 (79), APP AVG (59), ARD (64), P3 (57)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25 exclude APP, GIR, APP 175200, PROX, ARD, P3
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 3/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: MC/6/8/8
Houston Results: 27/MC
Comp Results: 8/28/44
Insights: Knappy Boy is going to be a popular pick this week, and for good reason. He’s always a threat on driver-heavy courses given how good he is off the tee, and he is very a strong putter most weeks — as shown by his gaining of at least 4.5 strokes on the greens in five of six PGA events this year. The downside to his game can be his approach play and his around-the-green play, highlighted by -4.8 strokes on Approach at Sawgrass and negative results ARG in back-to-back events. His two appearances here resulted in a MC in 2024 and a T27 last year, in which he gained everywhere but ARG. If he spikes with his irons and putter simultaneously, he’s going to be in the mix come Sunday, especially without someone like Scottie in the field. -S
Patrick Rodgers
Odds: +8000
Stats: Top 75!! exclude OTT (96), OTT/DD AVG (76), PROX (107), BOB 200+ (94), P5 (97)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: TG, APP, GIR, PUTT, BOB, BOB 175200, BOB AVG, P3, P4
SG Gains: OTT 1/4, APP 4/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 40/11/24/34
Houston Results: 52/74/16/MC
Comp Results: 6/6/14/16/17/25/37/43/44/46/60/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC
Insights: PRod comes in as a streaky option with enough upside to warrant attention. His approach game is red-hot — gaining in four straight starts — and his putting has warmed up over that same span, making him intriguing for a player outside the typical chalk. Tee-to-green and around-the-green inconsistencies remain the biggest question marks, but at +8000 you will find boxes that are unchecked; however, if he can be field average off the tee and keeps around the green stable, a Top 20 or even Top 10 is well within reach. Rodgers has shown he can go low at this course — highlighted by a 63 on Friday back in 2023 — but the key question will be whether he can put together two, three, or four rounds in the 60s to really stay in contention. Mixed results around Memorial Park show he’s not a guaranteed factor, but the flashes are plenty for bettors willing to ride the volatility. -C
Adam Scott
Odds: +4000
Stats: Top 50!!! exclude ARD (97), ARD/SCR AVG (60), PUTT (74), BOB 200+ (60), P4 (62)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25 exclude OTT, ARD, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, APP 200+, P4
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 56/11/4/30
Houston Results: 54/32
Comp Results: 8/12/17/38/MC
Insights: Adam enters this week with classic high-upside, “when he’s on” type of player. His approach game is elite — gaining in four straight starts and ranking near the top of the field in key metrics like Tee to Green, Approach, Proximity and Par 3 scoring — while his putting and short game have shown flashes but remain the weak link. 5 Top 11 finishes in his last 10 starts along with 0 missed cuts, Scott is a safe play with the potential for a front page result. He didn’t post a round in the 60s in his last start at THE PLAYERS and finished Sunday with a 75 that will be sure to put bettor and backers on their heels. At +4000, he’s a player to target for matchups and 3balls while a sprinkle for a Top 10 placement if OTT+APP+PUTT align for four days, but a win remains a distant reality. -C