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Memorial Park Golf Course
Houston, Texas
Par 70
7,450+ yards
Plays very long
Greens: Poa Trivialis overseed
Average roughly 7,000 sqft (average)
Not a signature event
133 players
T65 and ties make cut
This event was part of the fall swing for a few years but returned to spring window 2 weeks prior to Masters a couple years ago
Only 6 holes play at or under par
Driver-heavy course
82%+ driver usage last 2 years
Wide fairways average around 35 yards
Driving accuracy 5% lower than Tour average
missing fairway isn’t super penal
67% GIR last year was highest in the last 5 years
65+% of approach shots came from 150+ last year
Around green/scrambling will be required, need guys that are good scrambling from short rough
5 Par 3s
Wide range in difficulty and length
2 of 5 are 215+ yards
All 5 have bogey rates 13% or higher
Interesting dichotomy of Par 4 difficulty
2 hardest holes on the course are 520+ yard par 4s with around 28% bogey rates and sub=8% birdie rate (#14 and #1)
#18 also one of the 4 hardest holes
500+ yards, 21% bog rate, sub 10% birdie rate
#5 and #13 are 2 of easiest 5 holes on course with 20%+ birdie rates
Only 3 par 5s
All 3 are among the easiest 4 holes on the course
All 575+ yards
2 of the 3 have sub-10% bogey rates
birdie rates of at least 28% on all 3
Recent Tournament History
2025: Min Woo Lee -20 (66-64-63-67); 1 Stroke Victory over Scheffler & Woodland
2024: Stephan Jaeger -12 (69-66-66-67); 1 Stroke Victory over 5 Players
2023: Tony Finau -16 (65-62-68-69); 4 Stroke Victory over Tyson Alexander
2022: Jason Kokrak -10 (68-71-66-65); 2 Stroke Victory over Scheffler & K. Tway
2021: Carlos Ortiz -13 (67-68-67-65); 2 Stroke Victory over D. Johnson & Matsuyama
*2019: Lanto Griffin -14 (66-74-65-69); 1 Stroke Victory over Hubbard & S. Harrington
*Played at Golf Club of Houston
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The Bettor Clubhouse - @BettorClubhouse
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Sammy - @SammyAvBets
Key Stats
Tier 1
Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa Trivialis)
Total Driving
Tier 2
Par 5 Birdie-or-Better%
Strokes Gained: Par 3
Greens-in-Regulation%
Around-the-Green Proximity
Three-putt Avoidance% (Poa Trivialis)
Tier 3
Approach from 150+ yards
Putting Inside 10 Feet (Poa Trivialis)
Apex Height
Ball Speed
Champ’s Course Comps
Southern Hills Country Club
Silverado Resort and Spa (North Course)
TPC Scottsdale
Last 5 Houston Open Tournament Trends
*All played at Memorial Park Golf Course
Odds
0-25: 2023
26-50: 2025, 2024, 2022
51-100:
101+: 2021
Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 5/5 (100%) within 5 shots (1/5 led)
R2: 3/5 (60%) within 2 shots (1/5 led)
R3: 5/5 (100%) within 2 shots (3/5 led)
Winner’s Lead-In Form
5/5 (100%) with at least 1 Top 35 finish in their last 4 starts
3/5 (60%) with at least 2 Top 20 finishes in their last 4 starts
3/5 (60%) made the cut in their last start
3/5 (60%) with a Top 10 finish in their last 4 starts
2/5 (40%) with a Top 5 finish in their last 4 starts
2/5 (40%) with a Top 20 finish in their last 2 starts
0/5 (0%) with a WIN in their last 4 starts
Winner’s Houston Open History
3/5 (60%) won in their DEBUT appearance
2/5 (40%) with a Top 25 finish in a prior appearance
1/5 (20%) made the cut in the start prior to their win
First Round Leader Tee Splits
AM: 100% (2025, 2024, 2023, 2022, 2021)
PM: 80% (2025, 2024, 2023, 2022)
*results can include instances where FRL from both AM/PM and both get credited with a win.
Early Models
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Full Models
Follow this link for direct access to Sammy’s weekly GoogleSheet, where publishes all his models


















