2026 RBC Heritage - Player Deep Dives
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Legend:
Odds - Betting Odds as of publication
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Rank: Based on Field Rank
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
RBCH Results: Finishes at the RBC Heritage
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: Austin Country Club, Sea Island Golf Club (Seaside Course) & Colonial Country Club
Xander Schauffele
Odds: +1200
Stats: Top 75!! exclude PROX (103), ARD (80), BOB 150175 (80), P3 (97)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: TG, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP, APP 150175, APP AVG, BS, SCR, PUTT, BOB 175200, BA, P4
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 9/4/3/24
RBCH Results: 18/18/4/64/63/32
Comp Results: 3/5/17/18/24/35/48/MC/MC/MC
Insights: X rolls into Harbour Town in elite form, and the profile fits exactly what you want this week. He’s gained off the tee, on approach, and with the putter in each of his last four starts, and when you zoom out across 2026, it’s even more impressive — gaining in strokes gained total in 8 of 8 starts, with off the tee (7/8), approach (8/8) and putting (7/8) leading the way. Course history quietly reinforces the fit. He’s gained on approach in 5 of 6 starts here and on the greens in 5 of 6 as well, with the highlight being a 4th-place finish where he gained across the board and posted three rounds in the 60s, including a Sunday 66. Harbour Town rewards precision and control, and Xander’s iron play and ball-striking consistency line up perfectly. The only real question mark is around the green. He’s lost strokes in back-to-back starts, including Augusta, and that’s an area that can’t be ignored on a course where scrambling matters. That said, his baseline tee-to-green game — elite OTT and APP — should give him plenty of scoring opportunities, and if he can just be field average around the greens and with the putter, that’s more than enough here. With no Texas swing in the lead-in, he comes in rested, and everything points toward another late Sunday tee time. At +1200, you’re paying for consistency and ceiling, but this is a spot where both align. X gonna give it to ya and I’m a buyer this week. -C
Scottie Scheffler
Odds: +360
Stats: Top 50!!! exclude APP (81), PROX (142), APP AVG (55)
Rank: Top 75 exclude PROX; Top 25 exclude APP, APP 175200, PROX, APP AVG
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 2/22/24/12
RBCH Results: 8/1/11
Comp Results: 1/2/2/2/3/4/4/5/55/57/MC
Insights: If it wasn’t for Friday, Scottie would have had an even more legitimate chance to win the Masters this year. Not to take anything away from Rory, but Scottie gained over 4 strokes to the field Thursday, Saturday and Sunday. Friday was a nasty blemish on an otherwise great showing, as he lost 2.2 strokes on the greens and about a half of a stroke with his irons in the 2nd round. With his near +10 strokes gained on the weekend, did Scottie find something? Or was that Scottie being Scottie in 2026 — flashes of brilliance sprinkled with weighted mediocrity. All things considered, this is a great price on Scottie relative to what we’re used to seeing when he’s in form, and it’s a course he’s won on. If his irons are back, then he’s going to be right there on Sunday again, but if you like a couple guys 20/1 or longer, then you’re not going to be able to afford the +350-380 on Scottie this week. Given it’s a signature event, OAD is an option. If you like a few value golfers, then DFS should be in consideration as well. -S
Cameron Young
Odds: +1800
Stats: Top 50!!! exclude APP 150175 (82), ARD/SCR AVG (51)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25 exclude APP 150175, ARD, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 3/1/3/7
RBCH Results: 54/62/51/3
Comp Results: 2/29/35/38
Insights: If you were busy last weekend and simply looked at the leaderboard after the fact, you would see Cam Young finished in a tie for 3rd — his best major finish since his 2nd at The Open in 2022. It was objectively a great result for CY, but it wasn’t all sunshine and azaleas, either (you see what I did there?). He started 4-over through 7 holes and wasn’t able to capitalize on his hot Saturday performance with a clutch Sunday. In fact, his final round was the opposite of that, as he lost nearly a stroke to the field at the most inopportune time. I’m pessimistic of him being as competitive mentally again this week after he worked so hard for 2.5 rounds to fix a horrible start, just to spin his tires in the mud on Sunday. Plus, this hasn’t been his favorite track lately. Since his T3 finish in 2022, he’s failed to crack the Top 50 here in 3 straight starts. With sub-20/1 odds, the juice ain’t worth the squeeze for me this week on CY. -S
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Matt Fitzpatrick
Odds: +1800
Stats: Top 50!!! exclude APP 175200 (54), SCR (51), PUTT (94), BOB 175200 (61)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25 exclude APP 175200, SCR, PUTT, BOB 175200, P3
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 18/1/2/41
RBCH Results: 38/28/1/MC
Comp Results: 17/18/18/31/32/36/38/61/64/MC
Insights: The 2023 champ returns to Harbour Town with a profile that looks very similar to his winning formula. Fitzy has gained off the tee in seven straight starts and continues to show elite approach play (gaining in 6 of his last 7), giving him a strong tee-to-green foundation that travels well to this course. Around-the-green has been steady at worst, with occasional spikes, while the putter has been more neutral lately — and that’s the key swing factor this week in my eyes. Looking back at the win here, he gained across the board (OTT, APP, ARD, PUTT), and based on current form, a similar path is in play. He’s coming off a stretch where he could realistically have two wins in his last three starts, and now returns to a course that clearly fits his eye. The correlation is strong as well — his 2023 win came off a Top 10 at Augusta, and this setup feels very similar from a form and confidence standpoint. The concern is price. At +1800, you’re not getting much of a discount, especially with the putter not quite peaking. But if the flat stick shows even a slight uptick while OTT and APP stay consistent, another top-end finish is well within reach. Expect him to be in the mix again, but sprinkle on the placements to ease the Sunday sweat. -C
Chris Gotterup
Odds: +3500
Stats: Top 75!! exclude SCR (80), PUTT (78)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: TG, OTT, OTT/TD AVG, APP 150175, APP AVG, ARD, BOB, BOB 150175, BOB 175200, BOB AVG, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 24/6/56/18
RBCH Results: DEBUT
Comp Results: 28/35/MC
Insights: Gotterup enters as one of the more intriguing course debutants this week, largely because of how well-rounded his statistical profile looks on paper. He’s gained across all four key categories in three of his last four starts, which speaks to balance — but the deeper dive shows a lack of true spike performances outside of his wins earlier this season. Those wins highlight the appeal: he’s proven he can get it done in multiple ways — whether it’s a putting spike (Sony) or a tee-to-green takeover (Phoenix). That versatility is why the clubhouse and bettors alike are drawn to him. The concern, though, is the recent form hasn’t shown that same ceiling. His last few starts have been more “field average across the board” with nothing jumping out as elite, outside of a strong OTT showing in Houston. Harbour Town may also mute his biggest weapon. This isn’t a driver-heavy course, and when you look at a comparable like Pebble Beach — another positional, shorter track — he finished T37 with largely neutral metrics and a slight loss on the greens. That feels like a reasonable baseline outcome here. With no Augusta contention, he comes in without added pressure or fatigue, which helps, but debuting here with limited comp success doesn’t scream immediate breakout. Feels more like a wait-and-see spot — monitor early rounds and look for a potential weekend run if something clicks. Pre-tournament, this is more of a fade/hold than a buy at the current number. -C
Russell Henley
Odds: +1800
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP 175200 (119)
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 175200; Top 25: APP 150175, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, BOB, BOB AVG, BA, P3, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 3/MC/13/6
RBCH Results: 8/12/19/MC/9/MC/MC/26/23/MC/MC/6
Comp Results: 4/6/10/13/16/17/22/28/30/36/58/60/65/MC/MC
Insights: Harbour Town is a short course that rewards precision, and any time the PGA stops at a course like that, the Russ Bus should pop into your head. The result speak for themselves; he’s finished in the Top 20 in 4 of his last 5 starts in Hilton Head, including in 3 straight. His T8 last year came despite losing over a stroke off the tee, too. Coming into this week, he’s gained strokes in that department in 4 straight starts and 6 of his last 7. Meanwhile, his irons woke up in a big way last week, as he gained over 9.5 strokes on approach in Augusta. In fact, he gained over 12 strokes to the field in Augusta, with positive marks in all 5 SG metrics. Russ checks all the boxes this week. He will be popular, but if he putter shows up — and it has in 6 of his 8 events this year — then Henley should be in the mix on Sunday. -S
Jake Knapp
Odds: +3500
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP 150175 (107), APP 175200 (79), BOB 150175 (92)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: TD, OTT/TD AVG, PROX, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, BOB, BOB 175200, BOB AVG, BA, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 3/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 11/6/MC/6
RBCH Results: 62 (74-70-69-71, 2024)
Comp Results: 68/MC
Insights: Knapp’s putter is exceptional, there’s no other way to put it. He’s lost strokes on the greens just once this season, and his +2.1 result at the Masters was the worst of all the other performances. Prior to last week, Knapp had gained at least 5 strokes putting to the field in 4 straight events in 3 different states. Bent, Bermuda, Poa, doesn’t matter, Knapp is likely to be one of the best putters in the field. Unfortunately, that matters slightly less this week given the small greens in Hilton Head. Sure, he’s got an advantage once he gets to the greens, but getting on the greens efficiently is the biggest concern here, and Knapp’s ball striking can come and go — as can his around-the-green play. He’s lost strokes ARG in 3 of his last 4 starts; same with his OTT game. The iron play has been good, but the -4.7 strokes at Sawgrass is worrisome, as is his lack of quality course history. For what it’s worth, Knappy Boy hasn’t been much of a Pete Dye guy. While he’s 2nd in the field in SG: Putting on Dye courses over the last 2 years, he’s outside the Top 60 in all other SG categories. Probably a pass for me on this track, but I acknowledge the price is fantastic. Each way/placement markets are live here, but he’s not on my short list of players that I think will win on this set up. -S
Si Woo Kim
Odds: +3000
Stats: Top 75!! exclude PUTT (130), P5 (88)
Rank: Top 75 exclude PUTT; Top 25 exclude TD, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 2/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 47/10/50/13
RBCH Results: 8/18/MC/42/33/MC/MC/2/14
Comp Results: 4/9/17/18/18/28/29/30/56/56/61/66/71/WD/WD/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC
Insights: SWK sets up as a classic buy-low candidate this week. The recent form doesn’t jump off the page, and losses on approach in two of his last three starts will push plenty of bettors away — but the underlying profile still has intrigue. Off the tee remains a consistent strength, and while the putter has hovered around field average lately, it’s shown enough life to keep him in play if the irons rebound. Harbour Town history is where things get interesting. He’s flashed real upside here, including a runner-up finish and multiple top-20s, and last year he was right in the mix in a final group before fading late. Notably, in two of his nine appearances where he’s gained across all four key categories, both resulted in a Top 10 and that 2nd-place finish — a clear blueprint for success when things click. Around-the-green play has been a bit volatile, and approach will need to bounce back to give him a true chance, but this is a course where comfort and history matter — and SWK has both. Add in strong showings at similar setups like RSM and Match Play, and the fit becomes more convincing. The concern is closing ability. He hasn’t won since Sony in 2023, and while he’s a player we trust to contend in any field, converting is still a question mark. At +3000, though, you’re getting a number that reflects the recent dip, not the course fit or upside. Feels like a spot where the public is off, but the path is there — if the irons cooperate, he can absolutely find himself back in contention come Sunday. -C
Min Woo Lee
Odds: +5000
Stats: Top 75!! exclude GIR (81), APP 150175 (85)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP 175200, ARD, PUTT, BOB, BOB 150175, BOB 175200, BOB AVG, P3, P5
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 3/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: MC/3/32/6
RBCH Results: 61/MC
Comp Results: 24/26/31/40/MC
Insights: MWL is another guy that doesn’t fit this course particularly well. His biggest assets are his distance off the tee and his putting, but distance is heavily negated at this course. You need to be pinpoint accurate both off the tee and on approach here, as with most Pete Dye designs. That said, Lee hasn’t been a huge fan of Pete’s style, as he’s outside the Top 50 in every SG metrics except putting on these tracks over the last 2 years. His only 2 appearances in Hilton Head resulted on a T61 and a MC, while he’s coming off a horrible performance at Augusta. Obviously, that’s a different style of track, but it’s not exactly welcoming, either. The price is the most appealing aspect, but everything else is meh at best. I’m more interested in him at Doral or even Quail Hollow. -S
Jordan Spieth
Odds: +2800
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP 150175 (110), APP 175200 (136), PROX (133), BOB 150175 (122)
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 150175, APP 175200, PROX, BOB 150175, BOB AVG; Top 25: SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BA
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 4/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 12/63/11/32
RBCH Results: 18/39/2/1/68/54/11/12/9
Comp Results: 1/2/2/2/7/7/8/9/9/10/14/17/24/30/31/32/35/36/37/MC
Insights: Spieth returns to Harbour Town as one of the most course-dependent players on the board — and this is a place where everything tends to click. A win and a playoff loss highlight his upside here, and historically, when he’s in the mix at this event, he stays there all week. Both his win and runner-up followed a similar script: starting a few shots back and steadily climbing into contention with consistent rounds in the high 60s. The current form is a bit of a puzzle. The irons have quietly returned to an elite level (gaining in four straight), and he’s gained off the tee in three straight as well, which is an encouraging combo for this setup. Around-the-green play has held steady enough, but the putter — typically his biggest weapon — has gone cold, and that’s the clear swing factor this week. That dynamic is almost flipped from Pebble earlier this season, where he leaned heavily on the putter with more neutral ball-striking. Now, the tee-to-green game is in a much better place — if the putter wakes up, this becomes a very familiar Spieth storyline at a course he loves. Harbour Town fits his eye, and the Texas comps don’t hurt either — similar success at places like Colonial and Austin CC reinforces that comfort on positional tracks. The blueprint is clear: elite irons + a spike putting week = contention. At +2800, you’re betting on volatility, but also a proven ceiling at this course. If the putter cooperates for even two or three rounds, don’t be surprised to see Spieth back in a late Sunday pairing with a real chance to win. The signs are there, can you stomach the Spieth experience? -C