2026 RBC Canadian Open - Player Deep Dives
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Legend:
Odds: Betting Odds as of publication
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Rank: Based on Field Rank
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
Canada Results: Finishes at RBC Canadian Opens
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: Castle Pines Golf Club, The Summit Club & Shadow Creek Golf Course
Matt Fitzpatrick
Odds: +1200
Stats: Top 50!!! exclude PUTT (112), BOB 175200 (99)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25 exclude APP 175200, PUTT, BOB 175200
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 4/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 36/14/52/1
Canada Results: 20/10/MC
Comp Results: 12/28
Insights: Fitzmagic arrives as the betting favorite, but the current profile comes with more caution than his number suggests. The around-the-green game has been elite and the irons have remained above average, yet the Off-the-Tee game has cooled noticeably since his spring surge. He’s now lost strokes OTT in two of his last three starts and the putter is coming off one of its worst performances since the 2025 Valero Texas Open last week at the Memorial. His Canada history is respectable rather than dominant. In three appearances he’s gained Off-the-Tee and on approach in two of them, while gaining on the greens in two of three starts. The concern is that he hasn’t shown the same complete-game form that fueled the wins at Valspar and Heritage, and this price assumes a return to that level. The upside is obvious. He’s still one of the strongest all-around players in the field and the course shouldn’t punish the recent driving dip as severely as Memorial or Quail Hollow would. But at 12/1, you’re paying for the ceiling while ignoring several recent warning signs. End of the day, this reads as the clearest hat tip of the week candidate. -C
Tommy Fleetwood
Odds: +1400
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP 175200 (115), PROX (109), BOB 175200 (126)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP 200+, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BOB 200+, BA, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 2/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 4/MC/5/23
Canada Results: 21/2/6
Comp Results: 5/38/59
Insights: Tommy’s approach funk continues, costing him a realistic chance at a win at the Memorial. You saw the upside when his irons were on, like on the late eagle to catapult him into 1st for a short amount of time, but the approach game suffered on Thursday and Friday — when he played to worse than a -1.6 on approach. He eventually finished as a slight negative, pretty much a zero on approach, and a Top 5 at a course like Muirfield Village when being a slight negative on approach tells you everything else is clicking for Tommy, and that a win is on the horizon if he can get his irons to cooperate. Could it be this week? It could, but I have severe PTSD when thinking about betting on Tommy in Canada, as I was on him a few years ago when Nick Taylor nailed that eagle to win over him. At the end of the day, 14/1 is too rich for my blood given his field ranks of 50 in SG: Approach and 82 in overall proximity over his last 24 rounds, but I don’t mind including him in a placement parlay or in your DFS lineups. -S
Brooks Koepka
Odds: +2500
Stats: Top 75!! exclude SCR (123), ARD/SCR AVG (84), PUTT (136), BOB 150175 (81)
Rank: Top 75 exclude PUTT; Top 25 exclude: TD, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, BOB 150175, BA, P3, P4
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 2/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 14/55/11/MC
Canada Results: 50/MC/18
Comp Results: 28/38
Insights: If you believe in the “due factor,” then you have to love Brooks this week. Sure, the LIV defect hasn’t exactly showcased the upside we hoped for, but he’s been a steady Eddy of late, finishing in the Top 20 in 6 out of his 8 solo events since being cut in Phoenix. He gained all around at the CJ Cup, which isn’t all that impressive truthfully, but it’s nice to see from a form and momentum standpoint. Irons have been mostly on this year, as has his off-the-tee play. Short game is the concern, but I also feel it’s priced in. For what it’s worth, Brooks’ field ranks over the last 24 rounds are as follows: 7th SG: Approach, 3rd SG: Tee-To-Green, 9th Birdie-or-Better %, 1st Approach from 200+ Yards, 7th SG: Par 3, 3rd Par 5 BOB%. Those mark are accompanied by top-25 ranks in SG: OTT, GIR% from Fairway and Bogey Avoidance. What more could you want in the 20-30 range? Obviously try to get as close to 30 as possible, but I really like the idea of Brooks this week. -S
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