Legend:
Odds: Betting Odds as of publication
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Rank: Based on Field Rank
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
Canada Results: Finishes at RBC Canadian Opens
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: Castle Pines Golf Club, The Summit Club & Shadow Creek Golf Course
Matt Fitzpatrick
Odds: +1200
Stats: Top 50!!! exclude PUTT (112), BOB 175200 (99)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25 exclude APP 175200, PUTT, BOB 175200
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 4/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 36/14/52/1
Canada Results: 20/10/MC
Comp Results: 12/28
Insights: Fitzmagic arrives as the betting favorite, but the current profile comes with more caution than his number suggests. The around-the-green game has been elite and the irons have remained above average, yet the Off-the-Tee game has cooled noticeably since his spring surge. He’s now lost strokes OTT in two of his last three starts and the putter is coming off one of its worst performances since the 2025 Valero Texas Open last week at the Memorial. His Canada history is respectable rather than dominant. In three appearances he’s gained Off-the-Tee and on approach in two of them, while gaining on the greens in two of three starts. The concern is that he hasn’t shown the same complete-game form that fueled the wins at Valspar and Heritage, and this price assumes a return to that level. The upside is obvious. He’s still one of the strongest all-around players in the field and the course shouldn’t punish the recent driving dip as severely as Memorial or Quail Hollow would. But at 12/1, you’re paying for the ceiling while ignoring several recent warning signs. End of the day, this reads as the clearest hat tip of the week candidate. -C
Tommy Fleetwood
Odds: +1400
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP 175200 (115), PROX (109), BOB 175200 (126)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP 200+, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BOB 200+, BA, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 2/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 4/MC/5/23
Canada Results: 21/2/6
Comp Results: 5/38/59
Insights: Tommy’s approach funk continues, costing him a realistic chance at a win at the Memorial. You saw the upside when his irons were on, like on the late eagle to catapult him into 1st for a short amount of time, but the approach game suffered on Thursday and Friday — when he played to worse than a -1.6 on approach. He eventually finished as a slight negative, pretty much a zero on approach, and a Top 5 at a course like Muirfield Village when being a slight negative on approach tells you everything else is clicking for Tommy, and that a win is on the horizon if he can get his irons to cooperate. Could it be this week? It could, but I have severe PTSD when thinking about betting on Tommy in Canada, as I was on him a few years ago when Nick Taylor nailed that eagle to win over him. At the end of the day, 14/1 is too rich for my blood given his field ranks of 50 in SG: Approach and 82 in overall proximity over his last 24 rounds, but I don’t mind including him in a placement parlay or in your DFS lineups. -S
Brooks Koepka
Odds: +2500
Stats: Top 75!! exclude SCR (123), ARD/SCR AVG (84), PUTT (136), BOB 150175 (81)
Rank: Top 75 exclude PUTT; Top 25 exclude: TD, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, BOB 150175, BA, P3, P4
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 2/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 14/55/11/MC
Canada Results: 50/MC/18
Comp Results: 28/38
Insights: If you believe in the “due factor,” then you have to love Brooks this week. Sure, the LIV defect hasn’t exactly showcased the upside we hoped for, but he’s been a steady Eddy of late, finishing in the Top 20 in 6 out of his 8 solo events since being cut in Phoenix. He gained all around at the CJ Cup, which isn’t all that impressive truthfully, but it’s nice to see from a form and momentum standpoint. Irons have been mostly on this year, as has his off-the-tee play. Short game is the concern, but I also feel it’s priced in. For what it’s worth, Brooks’ field ranks over the last 24 rounds are as follows: 7th SG: Approach, 3rd SG: Tee-To-Green, 9th Birdie-or-Better %, 1st Approach from 200+ Yards, 7th SG: Par 3, 3rd Par 5 BOB%. Those mark are accompanied by top-25 ranks in SG: OTT, GIR% from Fairway and Bogey Avoidance. What more could you want in the 20-30 range? Obviously try to get as close to 30 as possible, but I really like the idea of Brooks this week. -S
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Additional Player Deep Dives available for Bettor Clubhouse Subscribers including Sam Burns, Wyndham Clark, Corey Conners, Viktor Hovland, Nick Taylor, Michael Thorbjornsen and Sudarshan Yellamaraju!
Sam Burns
Odds: +1400
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP 150175 (143), ARD (122), ARD/SCR AVG (110), P3 (117)
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 150175; Top 25: TD, OTT/TD AVG, GIR, BS, PUTT, BOB, BOB 150175, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 3/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 4/26/37/38
Canada Results: 2/10/MC/4
Comp Results: 2/5
Insights: Burn baby burn. Sam checks almost every box you’d want this week. The Canada record is excellent with finishes of 2nd, 10th, and 4th, and he was runner-up here at TPC Toronto last year after a closing charge that nearly stole the tournament. He already knows the course, knows the sightlines, and knows how to score around it. The current form is quietly trending in the right direction. He gained over four strokes total on the field at Memorial and showed some of his best approach play in recent memory. The putter remains a weapon, ranking in the Top 25 percent in this field, and he’s gained strokes putting in all four of his recent measured starts. The biggest question is converting contention into a win. He had a real chance last week before a poor lie in the final holes derailed the finish, and there have been other close calls without a trophy. At 14/1, the price isn’t cheap, but the combination of course history, recent ball-striking improvement, and proven birdie-making made him my first click of the week to the betting card. -C
Wyndham Clark
Odds: +2200
Stats: Top 75!! exclude OTT (101), SCR (100), BA (82)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25 exclude OTT, OTT/TD AVG, GIR, APP 175200, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, BA, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 1/4, AP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 3/1/MC/20
Canada Results: 59/7/MC/MC
Comp Results: 13
Insights: Is 2023-2024 Wyndham “Hotels” Clark back? Yes? Maybe? It’s possible. The CJ Cup winner — despite losing 1 stroke around the greens — followed his Texas title up with a solo 3rd at the Memorial in lieu of losing nearly 2 strokes off the tee over the whole tournament. However, he gained nearly 9 strokes on approach and over 5 strokes around the greens, so his T2G mark was still an impressive ~12.1 at one of the hardest courses in rotation — the polar opposite of the course he won on a few weeks ago. If anything, his Memorial performance showed us he doesn’t need a spike week on the greens to contend/win, though it would be nice to not lose stokes off the tee. Fortunately for him, last year’s driving accuracy was 66% here, which is 10% higher than the PGA Tour average. Can he take it to the wire 3 events in a row before a major? Can he push the limit again the weekend before a major? At this price, you’re buying at the absolute ceiling, which is probably why I’ll pass. Let’s call it a hat tip, in the words of Champ. -S
Corey Conners
Odds: +6000
Stats: Top 125 exclude ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, BOB 200+, BA, P3
Rank: Top 75 exclude ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BOB 200+, BA, P3; Top 25: TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP, APP 150175, APP 175200, APP AVG, BS, BOB 175200
SG Gains: OTT 1/4, APP 2/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 53/55/31/30
Canada Results: 27/6/20/6/MC/MC/80/MC/MC/MC
Comp Results: 22/61
Insights: The Big Maple feels like one of the classic “course fit over current results” bets this week. The season-long profile is still built on elite ball-striking, with strong rankings in Total Driving, Approach, and Ball Striking, while the short game remains Corey Conners-esque. On a course where precision and approach play matter more than magic around the greens, that profile becomes much easier to tolerate. The recent results don’t inspire much confidence. He’s still searching for his first Top 10 of 2026 and comes in off finishes of 53rd, 55th, 31st, and 30th. Last week was particularly ugly, with losses across the board statistically, but this feels like a week where motivation and comfort could matter more than recent form. The Canadian résumé is stronger than many realize. He’s finished 6th here twice, proving he can contend in his national open when the game clicks. At 60/1, you’re not betting on current momentum. You’re betting on elite iron play, home-country focus, and the possibility that one spike week appears in a weaker field. Small outright sprinkle, first round match-ups and a placement bet for either Top 10 or Top 20 based on your level of sweat this week. -C
Viktor Hovland
Odds: +3000
Stats: Top 100! exclude OTT (108), GIR (107), PROX (109), P5 (107)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: TG, TD, APP, APP 175200, BOB, BOB 150175, BOB 175200, BOB AVG, P3
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 3/4, AP 3/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: MC/31/38/42
Canada Results: DEBUT
Comp Results: 12/18/26
Insights: Vik just cannot put it all together this year. Just look at his most recent results; he lost over 4.5 strokes on the greens at the PGA Championship after losing almost 1.5 strokes off the tee at the Truist, which came after losing over 2 strokes around the greens at the Cadillac, which was on the heels of losing over 4 strokes on approach at the Heritage. Every week, it’s something. Now, the price properly reflects that given the respect his name typically demands in the betting market, but are you really confident he’s going to put it all together this week? If so, I’m not sure how you’d get there. All you have to do is actually watch Vik play to see that not even he trusts himself half the time. He has 1 Top 10 on Tour this year, which was his first week of the season. Since then, he’s finished outside the Top 30 or missed the cut more than he’s finished Top 20. In case you were wondering: 125th in overall proximity, 83rd in bogey avoidance, 71st in GIR% from fairway over his las 24 rounds. Not appealing. If you’re betting Vik, it’s because of the attractive price tag and what he used to be able to accomplish on the course rather than based on what he’s currently accomplishing, which is fine — but also not for me. -S
Nick Taylor
Odds: +4000
Stats: Top 125 exclude BOB 150175
Rank: Top 75 exclude BOB 150175; Top 25: TG, APP 175200, AP AVG, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BOB 175200, BA, P3
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 3/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 43/26/14/9
Canada Results: 13/MC/1/28/37/71/MC/MC/56/MC/MC/MC/MC/53
Comp Results: 61
Insights: BDN is one of the more fascinating Canadian Open cases because he’s already broken the pressure barrier. He won this tournament in 2023, ending the Canadian drought, and that experience matters when the national expectations start building throughout the week. The recent form has cooled statistically, but context matters. Most of the decline came against stronger signature-event and major fields, and the underlying game still shows positive signs. He’s gained on approach and around the green in nearly every start since the Genesis, while the putter has quietly heated up with gains in three straight tournaments. The concern is Off-the-Tee performance and overall birdie production. He’ll likely need a cleaner driving week and a bit more scoring punch to truly contend. Still, he finished 13th here last year while gaining strokes across the board, and his comfort level in this event is undeniable. At 40/1, you’re getting a former champion with improving putting and enough recent flashes to make another Sunday appearance believable. I’d recommend more short term exposure over hoping solely on the outright. -C
Michael Thorbjornsen
Odds: +3500
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP (104), APP 175200 (142), PUTT (131), P5 (113)
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 175200, PUTT; Top 25: TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP 150175, APP 200+, APP AVG, BS, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BA
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 1/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 16/MC/MC/53
Canada Results: MC (75-73, 2023)
Comp Results: N/A
Insights: Young Thor remains one of the more intriguing upside plays in this field. The talent is obvious, ranking inside the Top 25 percent of the field this week in Tee-to-Green, Off-the-Tee, Total Driving, Around-the-Green, Scrambling, and Bogey Avoidance. The issue has been turning those strengths into enough birdies, with inconsistent iron play and putting often preventing him from fully capitalizing on his elite ball-striking. The recent form is more encouraging than it appears. After back-to-back missed cuts at the PGA Championship and Byron Nelson, he bounced back with a T16 at Colonial while gaining strokes in every major category. The driver continues to be a weapon that he can lean on this week and if the irons can provide even an average week, the ceiling becomes much more interesting. TPC Toronto feels like a better fit than several recent stops. Last year’s inaugural event rewarded length and aggressive play, with Cameron Young, Sam Burns, and Ryan Fox all featuring prominently on the leaderboard. That profile aligns well with Thor’s strengths and gives reason to believe he can outperform his current odds. At 35/1, a breakthrough win in this field wouldn’t be all that surprising. The floor remains volatile, yet the combination of elite driving, improving form, and a favorable course setup makes him one of the more interesting names in the second tier of the board this week. -C
Sudarshan Yellamaraju
Odds: +6500
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP 150175 (127), APP 175200 (104), ARD (107)
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 150175; Top 25: TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP 200+, PROX, BS, BOB, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, BA, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 1/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 40/MC/MC/19
Canada Results: MC (71-72, 2025)
Comp Results: N/A
Insights: It has to be a cool feeling for Yella-man this week, as he returns to his home area to play in his home nation’s national open after playing here last year. The difference is, he’s playing as a Tour member this year. For reference, he was born in India, but moved to Winnipeg at the age of 4 and then to Mississauga at the age of 11 — which neighbors Toronto and is less than an hour from the course on which they are playing this week. So, for all intents and purposes, it’s a home game for Sudarshan this week. However, that didn’t really help him las year, as he lost strokes in every category and missed the cut. That said, he’s probably a better player now than he was then, right? Well…at least earlier this season he was. In his last 3 event, he’s missed the cut twice and finished T40 at Memorial. Each of those starts included losses on Approach and T2G, and 2 of those 3 included more than 2 strokes lost on the greens. Maybe the form isn’t there anymore, which is unfortunate because the hometown narrative is fun. -S