Field List
Patio Preview
Grand Reserve Golf Club
Rico Grande, Puerto Rico
120 players
Top 65+ ties make cut
Par 72
7500+ yards
Greens: Paspalum
6,500 sq ft and 10.5 on Stimpmeter (SLOW)
Long Par 3’s
3 of 4 are longer than 200 yards
Only 4 of 10 Par 4s are 450 yards or longer
2 Par 5s are shorter than 550 yards while 2 par 5s are 600 yards or longer
Resort-style course
Mostly flat, generous fairways
Fairway and greenside bunkers
Rough relatively non-penal
Less-than-Driver course despite length due to narrow fairways surrounded by bunkers and water
Driving Accuracy slightly below Tour Average, while Good Drive % is above Tour average due to straightforward second shots
GIR% above Tour average
Around-the-Green/Scrambling substantially easier than Tour average
3-Putt Avoidance slightly below Tour average, One-Putt% slightly above Tour average
BOB% above Tour average and Bogey Avoidance lower than Tour average
Birdie-to-Bogey Ratio was 2.17 last year, which is vastly different than the 0.90 5-year average at Bay Hill in the primary event this week
The front 9 and back 9 were flipped prior to last year
Tournament will close with 2 Par 3s and 2 Par 4s
Previously closed with 1 Par 3, 1 Par 4 and 2 Par 5s
Recent Tournament History
2025: Karl Vilips -26 (65-67-66-64); 3 Stroke Victory over Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
2024: Brice Garnett -19 (66-66-68-69); Playoff Victory over Erik Barnes
2023: Nico Echavarria -21 (67-67-65-68); 2 Stroke Victory over Akshay Bhatia
2022: Ryan Brehm -20 (66-67-68-67); 6 Stroke Victory over Max McGreevy
2021: Branden Grace -19 (67-68-68-66); 1 Stroke Victory over Jhonattan Vegas
FOLLOW EACH MEMBER OF THE CLUBHOUSE CREW ON THEIR SOCIALS!
Champ - @Champs311
Sammy - @SammyAvBets
Key Stats
Tier 1
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
Strokes Gained: Putting (Paspalum)
Overall Proximity
Tier 2
Driving Accuracy
Par 5 BOB%
Par 4 BOB%
Strokes Gained: Par 3s
Bogey Avoidance
3-Putt Avoidance (Paspalum)
Tier 3
Strokes Gained: Total (Very Easy - Easy)
Champ’s Course Comps
Silverado Resort and Spa (North Course)
Olympia Fields Country Club (North Course)
Trinity Forest Golf Club
Last 5 Puerto Rico Open Tournament Trends
Odds
0-25: 2021
26-50:
51-100: 2025, 2022
101+: 2024, 2023
Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 4/5 (80%) within 3 or more (0/5 led)
R2: 4/5 (80%) within 3 shots (1/5 led)
R3: 5/5 (100%) within 2 shots (3/5 led)
Winner’s Lead-In Form
4/5 (80%) made the cut in their last start
3/5 (60%) with a Top 20 finish in their last 4 starts
3/5 (60%) with at least 2 Top 40 finishes in their last 4 starts
1/5 (20%) with a Top 10 finish in their last 4 starts
0/5 (0%) with a WIN in their last 4 starts
Winner’s Puerto Rico Open History
3/5 (60%) with at least 1 prior appearances
2/5 (40%) with a Top 20 finish in a prior appearance
1/5 (20%) with a Top 10 finish in a prior appearance
First Round Leader by Tee Split
AM: 60% (2025, 2024, 2022)
PM: 80% (2024, 2023, 2022, 2021)
*results can include instances where FRL from AM/PM, both get credited with a win.
Early Models
Become a Clubhouse Member to unlock Champ and Sammy’s full models below, including our model weights where applicable
Full Models!
For full model, follow this link to Sammy’s Google Sheet, where all of his models will be uploaded throughout the week