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2026 Puerto Rico Open - Patio Preview, Key Stats, Tournament Trends & Early Models

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Mar 02, 2026
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Field List


Patio Preview

Grand Reserve Golf Club
Rico Grande, Puerto Rico

  • 120 players

    • Top 65+ ties make cut

  • Par 72

  • 7500+ yards

  • Greens: Paspalum

    • 6,500 sq ft and 10.5 on Stimpmeter (SLOW)

  • Long Par 3’s

    • 3 of 4 are longer than 200 yards

  • Only 4 of 10 Par 4s are 450 yards or longer

  • 2 Par 5s are shorter than 550 yards while 2 par 5s are 600 yards or longer

  • Resort-style course

    • Mostly flat, generous fairways

    • Fairway and greenside bunkers

    • Rough relatively non-penal

  • Less-than-Driver course despite length due to narrow fairways surrounded by bunkers and water

  • Driving Accuracy slightly below Tour Average, while Good Drive % is above Tour average due to straightforward second shots

    • GIR% above Tour average

  • Around-the-Green/Scrambling substantially easier than Tour average

  • 3-Putt Avoidance slightly below Tour average, One-Putt% slightly above Tour average

  • BOB% above Tour average and Bogey Avoidance lower than Tour average

    • Birdie-to-Bogey Ratio was 2.17 last year, which is vastly different than the 0.90 5-year average at Bay Hill in the primary event this week

  • The front 9 and back 9 were flipped prior to last year

    • Tournament will close with 2 Par 3s and 2 Par 4s

      • Previously closed with 1 Par 3, 1 Par 4 and 2 Par 5s


Recent Tournament History

2025: Karl Vilips -26 (65-67-66-64); 3 Stroke Victory over Rasmus Neergaard-Petersen
2024: Brice Garnett -19 (66-66-68-69); Playoff Victory over Erik Barnes
2023: Nico Echavarria -21 (67-67-65-68); 2 Stroke Victory over Akshay Bhatia
2022: Ryan Brehm -20 (66-67-68-67); 6 Stroke Victory over Max McGreevy
2021: Branden Grace -19 (67-68-68-66); 1 Stroke Victory over Jhonattan Vegas


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Champ - @Champs311
Sammy - @SammyAvBets

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Key Stats

Tier 1

Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
Strokes Gained: Putting (Paspalum)
Overall Proximity

Tier 2

Driving Accuracy
Par 5 BOB%
Par 4 BOB%
Strokes Gained: Par 3s
Bogey Avoidance
3-Putt Avoidance (Paspalum)

Tier 3

Strokes Gained: Total (Very Easy - Easy)


Champ’s Course Comps

Silverado Resort and Spa (North Course)
Olympia Fields Country Club (North Course)
Trinity Forest Golf Club


Last 5 Puerto Rico Open Tournament Trends

Odds
0-25: 2021
26-50:
51-100: 2025, 2022
101+: 2024, 2023

Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 4/5 (80%) within 3 or more (0/5 led)
R2: 4/5 (80%) within 3 shots (1/5 led)
R3: 5/5 (100%) within 2 shots (3/5 led)

Winner’s Lead-In Form
4/5 (80%) made the cut in their last start
3/5 (60%) with a Top 20 finish in their last 4 starts
3/5 (60%) with at least 2 Top 40 finishes in their last 4 starts
1/5 (20%) with a Top 10 finish in their last 4 starts
0/5 (0%) with a WIN in their last 4 starts

Winner’s Puerto Rico Open History
3/5 (60%) with at least 1 prior appearances
2/5 (40%) with a Top 20 finish in a prior appearance
1/5 (20%) with a Top 10 finish in a prior appearance

First Round Leader by Tee Split
AM: 60% (2025, 2024, 2022)
PM: 80% (2024, 2023, 2022, 2021)
*results can include instances where FRL from AM/PM, both get credited with a win.


Early Models

Champ’s Top 5 - Season Stats Model: Green Top 100, Red Outside Top 125
Champ’s Top 5 - Field Rank Model - Green Top 25%, Red Bottom 25%
Historical Top 10 Model Results at Puerto Rico Open
Current Season Top 10 Model Results
Sammy’s Top 5 Early Week Model - L24 Rounds

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