2026 Masters Tournament - Patio Preview, Key Stats, Tournament Trends & Early Models

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The Bettor Clubhouse

Apr 06, 2026

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Field List

Full Field List from Masters Website

Patio Preview

Augusta National Golf Club
Augusta, Georgia

91 players in the field
- Cut: Top 50 and ties
Par 72
- 7,555+ yards
  - Plays longer because of elevation changes
Greens: Bentgrass
- A majority of the 44 bunkers are green-side
- GIR% 5-6% lower than Tour average
- Roughly 6,500 sq ft
Course history is as predictive here as any course on Tour
Elevation changes, sloping fairways throughout
Can win in multiple ways here, but distance is an advantage
- Have to get the ball in play to score here
- “Second cut” (rough) immediately next to fairway isn’t penal in nature
Tree-lined fairways
- Missing fairway into the trees and pinestraw is where the issues tend to arise
Minimal water but the water that exists is strategically placed
Birdie-or-better rate roughly 3% lower than Tour average
Only 5 of 18 holes play under par
Scoring average in 2025: 72.81
4 Par 3s
- All play above par
- #4 - 240 yards
  - Sub-8% birdie rate, 27%+ bogey rate
10 Par 4s
- Par 4 birdie-or-better% 6% below Tour average
- 7 of 8 hardest holes
  - #1, #5, #11, #17, #18 all sub-11% birdie rate
    - Avoid fairway bunkers on #5 at all costs
      - Will never hit green in 2 from them
  - 7 Par 4s with at least 23% bogey rate
  - Just 1 Par 4 that plays at or under par
    - #3 avg score 4.0
  - Scottie Scheffler estimates hitting fairway on #7 is worth about a half a stroke to the field
4 Par 5s
- As always, MUST take advantage of Par 5s
  - 4 easiest holes, all play under par
- All 4 have 32%+ birdie rates
Shots Gained: Off-the-Tee critical for success
- Driving accuracy 10% higher than Tour average
  - Meaning everyone playing out of fairway, so you’re at a disadvantage compared to rest of field if you’re errant off tee
- Good drive% slightly above Tour average
When in doubt, par is a good score here
Birdie-to-Bogey Ratio just 0.90 and 0.70 last two years

Recent Tournament History

2025: Rory McIlroy -11 (72-66-66-73); Playoff Victory over Justin Rose
2024: Scottie Scheffler -11 (66-72-71-68); 4 Stroke Victory over Ludvig Aberg
2023: Jon Rahm -12 (65-69-73-69); 4 Stroke Victory over Koepka & Mickelson
2022: Scottie Scheffler -10 (69-67-71-71); 3 Stroke Victory over Rory McIlroy
2021: Hideki Matsuyama -10 (69-71-65-73); 1 Stroke Victory over Will Zalatoris
2020: Dustin Johnson -20 (65-70-65-68); 5 Stroke Victory over Im & Cam Smith
2019: Tiger Woods -13 (70-68-67-70); 1 Stroke Victory over 3 Players

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Key Stats

Tier 1

Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bentgrass)
Strokes Gained: Augusta (Shots Gained: Total @ Augusta L5 years)

Tier 2

Carry Distance
Driving Accuracy
Good Drive %
Greens-in-Regulation %
Going for the Green, Hit Green
Overall Proximity
Scrambling
ARG Proximity
Three-Putt Avoidance % (Bent)
Par 5 Birdie-or-Better%
Strokes Gained: Par 4 scoring
Birdie-or-Better%
Bogey avoidance

Tier 3

Eagle rate
Approach 50-100
Approach 100-150
Approach 150-200
Approach 200+

Champ’s Course Comps

Plantation Course at Kapalua
The Riviera Country Club
Nine Bridges
Torrey Pines Golf Course

Masters Tournament Trends

Odds
0-10: 2025, 2024, 2023, 2020
11-20: 2022, 2019
21-50: 2021

Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 6/7 (86%) within 4 shots (2/7 led)
R2: 7/7 (100%) within 3 shots (3/7 led)
R3: 7/7 (100%) within 2 shots (5/7 led)

Winner’s Lead-In Form
7/7 (100%) with a Top 35 finish in their last start
7/7 (100%) with at least 1 Top 20 finish in their last 4 starts
6/7 (86%) with at least 1 Top 10 finish in their last 4 starts
5/7 (71%) with at least 2 Top 10 finishes in their last 4 starts
5/7 (71%) with a WIN in their last 4 starts
4/7 (57%) with at least 2 Top 5 finishes in their last 4 starts
4/7 (57%) with a WIN in their last 3 starts
3/7 (43%) with a WIN in their last 2 starts
2/7 (29%) with at least 2 Top 5 finishes in their last 2 starts
2/7 (29%) with a Missed Cut or Withdrew in their last 4 starts

Winner’s Masters Tournament History
7/7 (100%) at least 2 prior Masters appearances
7/7 (100%) Top 25 finish within 2 years of masters win
27/28 (96%) made the cut in the previous year’s Masters
15/16 (94%) Top 8 finish in 1 of 7 events prior to the Masters
12/13 (92%) gained at least 0.25 SG:ARD in last 16 rounds prior to Masters Tournament
25/28 (89%) Top 38 finish in the previous Masters
14/16 (88%) Top 6 finish in a Major in 1 of previous 2 seasons
13/16 (81%) Top 35 finish in the start before the Masters
9/12 (75%) Top 5 finish previously at the Masters
5/7 (71%) Top 10 finish within 3 years of Masters win
5/7 (71%) at least 6 prior Masters appearances
4/7 (57%) Top 2 finish in a past Masters appearance
4/7 (57%) at least 2 Top 5 finishes in past Masters appearances
1/7 (14%) at least 1 Missed Cut within 4 years of Masters win
3/90 (3%) debutants have won the Masters Tournament (last: 1979)

First Round Leader Group Splits
1-16: 40% (2024, 2023, 2020, 2016)
17+: 80% (2025, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017)
*results can include instances where FRL from both Tee Groups, both get credited with a win.