2026 Genesis Scottish Open - Player Deep Dives
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Legend:
Odds: Betting Odds as of publication
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Top 75% Rank: Stats where Player Ranked in Top 75% in the Field
Top 25% Rank: Stats where Player Ranked in Top 25% in the Field
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
Scottish Results: Finishes at the Scottish Open
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: St. Andrews Links (Old Course), The Country Club of Jackson & Grand Reserve Golf Club
Rory McIlroy
Odds: +900
Stats: N/A
Top 75% Rank: N/A
Top 25% Rank: N/A
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 32/12/7/19
Scottish Results: 2/4/1/MC/34/MC/14
Comp Results: 3/3
Insights: Rory enters the Scottish Open as the man to beat. While the recent finishes (32-12-7-19) don’t fully reflect it, links golf has always brought out his best. His last three starts here have produced finishes of 1st, 2nd, and 4th, and no player has dominated The Renaissance Club more, playing it at 42-under par (100% of Rounds in 60s including a 64 & 65) over that stretch—12 shots better than anyone else in the field. He also ranks No. 1 Off the Tee at the Scottish Open over the last 24 rounds, making this setup a perfect fit. The light schedule in favor of links preparation, including a practice round with Sir Nick Faldo, suggests Rory has had this stretch circled for a while. Whether it’s this week and/or next, I’d be surprised if he doesn’t contend heavily. At +900, the number isn’t a bargain, patron club to head predicting Rory and Scottie to win next, I’m leaning Rory. -C
Jon Rahm
Odds: +1200
Stats: N/A
Top 75% Rank: N/A
Top 25% Rank: N/A
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 2/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: MC/2/16/2
Scottish Results: 55/7
Comp Results: 34
Insights: Rahm is one of the kings of the short-LIVed tour that benefits from dual-membership with the DPWT this week — making him eligible to play in the Scottish Open with the PGA pros. Since leaving the Tour, Rahm has been great on an irrelevant tour and largely irrelevant when it matters most in majors outside of his T2 at the PGA Championship in May. I love that he’s playing in this event, but given his lack of success against PGA talent over the last few years, it’s not all that exciting to back him at this number. Looking at his course history, he finished solo 7th in 2021 and T55 in 2022, losing strokes on the greens in both events. Not to mention, he’s lost significant strokes with his irons in two of his last three events (US Open and LIV Korea) and has been a roller coaster around the greens over the last two months. Sure, when you zoom out and look at his full body of work over the last 12 months, the results and strokes-gained numbers are impressive, but take them with a grain of salt given the talent disparity between LIV and PGA. Can Rahm win? Absolutely. Would I bet him at this number and be excited about it? No. If you haven’t used him in OAD in one of the majors yet, this is a great spot to use him. DFS, eh, the price isn’t all that appealing there, either. -S
Scottie Scheffler
Odds: +500
Stats: Top 25!!! exclude APP 175200 (76), APP 200+ (46), PROX (94), APP AVG (41), BOB 175200 (80)
Top 75% Rank: Across All Key Stats
Top 25% Rank: All exclude APP 175200, APP 200+, PROX, BOB 175200
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 2/4/12/3
Scottish Results: 8/3/MC/12
Comp Results: 16/21/37/45
Insights: Scottie arrives in Scotland off another frustrating near-miss at the Travelers, where a near-59 on Friday turned into a lukewarm weekend while Viktor Hovland closed the door. Even so, the form remains elite with four straight starts gaining in every major strokes gained category. He continues to lead the field in Good Drive Percentage and once again grades out as the clear model favorite, creating a noticeable gap between himself and the rest of the field—including Rory. The question isn’t ball-striking, it’s whether he can finally solve The Renaissance Club greens. Scottie has gained OTT and APP in each of his last two Scottish Open appearances but has lost strokes putting in all four starts here. At 5/1, most bettors will likely look elsewhere, especially with The Open Championship looming next week. The talent and profile make perfect sense, but this feels more like a respectful hat tip than an outright click for me. If the putter finally cooperates, nobody would be surprised to see him lift the trophy on Sunday. -C
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