Legend:
Odds: Betting Odds as of publication
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Top 75% Rank: Stats where Player Ranked in Top 75% in the Field
Top 25% Rank: Stats where Player Ranked in Top 25% in the Field
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
Scottish Results: Finishes at the Scottish Open
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: St. Andrews Links (Old Course), The Country Club of Jackson & Grand Reserve Golf Club
Rory McIlroy
Odds: +900
Stats: N/A
Top 75% Rank: N/A
Top 25% Rank: N/A
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 32/12/7/19
Scottish Results: 2/4/1/MC/34/MC/14
Comp Results: 3/3
Insights: Rory enters the Scottish Open as the man to beat. While the recent finishes (32-12-7-19) don’t fully reflect it, links golf has always brought out his best. His last three starts here have produced finishes of 1st, 2nd, and 4th, and no player has dominated The Renaissance Club more, playing it at 42-under par (100% of Rounds in 60s including a 64 & 65) over that stretch—12 shots better than anyone else in the field. He also ranks No. 1 Off the Tee at the Scottish Open over the last 24 rounds, making this setup a perfect fit. The light schedule in favor of links preparation, including a practice round with Sir Nick Faldo, suggests Rory has had this stretch circled for a while. Whether it’s this week and/or next, I’d be surprised if he doesn’t contend heavily. At +900, the number isn’t a bargain, patron club to head predicting Rory and Scottie to win next, I’m leaning Rory. -C
Jon Rahm
Odds: +1200
Stats: N/A
Top 75% Rank: N/A
Top 25% Rank: N/A
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 2/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: MC/2/16/2
Scottish Results: 55/7
Comp Results: 34
Insights: Rahm is one of the kings of the short-LIVed tour that benefits from dual-membership with the DPWT this week — making him eligible to play in the Scottish Open with the PGA pros. Since leaving the Tour, Rahm has been great on an irrelevant tour and largely irrelevant when it matters most in majors outside of his T2 at the PGA Championship in May. I love that he’s playing in this event, but given his lack of success against PGA talent over the last few years, it’s not all that exciting to back him at this number. Looking at his course history, he finished solo 7th in 2021 and T55 in 2022, losing strokes on the greens in both events. Not to mention, he’s lost significant strokes with his irons in two of his last three events (US Open and LIV Korea) and has been a roller coaster around the greens over the last two months. Sure, when you zoom out and look at his full body of work over the last 12 months, the results and strokes-gained numbers are impressive, but take them with a grain of salt given the talent disparity between LIV and PGA. Can Rahm win? Absolutely. Would I bet him at this number and be excited about it? No. If you haven’t used him in OAD in one of the majors yet, this is a great spot to use him. DFS, eh, the price isn’t all that appealing there, either. -S
Scottie Scheffler
Odds: +500
Stats: Top 25!!! exclude APP 175200 (76), APP 200+ (46), PROX (94), APP AVG (41), BOB 175200 (80)
Top 75% Rank: Across All Key Stats
Top 25% Rank: All exclude APP 175200, APP 200+, PROX, BOB 175200
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 2/4/12/3
Scottish Results: 8/3/MC/12
Comp Results: 16/21/37/45
Insights: Scottie arrives in Scotland off another frustrating near-miss at the Travelers, where a near-59 on Friday turned into a lukewarm weekend while Viktor Hovland closed the door. Even so, the form remains elite with four straight starts gaining in every major strokes gained category. He continues to lead the field in Good Drive Percentage and once again grades out as the clear model favorite, creating a noticeable gap between himself and the rest of the field—including Rory. The question isn’t ball-striking, it’s whether he can finally solve The Renaissance Club greens. Scottie has gained OTT and APP in each of his last two Scottish Open appearances but has lost strokes putting in all four starts here. At 5/1, most bettors will likely look elsewhere, especially with The Open Championship looming next week. The talent and profile make perfect sense, but this feels more like a respectful hat tip than an outright click for me. If the putter finally cooperates, nobody would be surprised to see him lift the trophy on Sunday. -C
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Additional Player Deep Dives available for Bettor Clubhouse Subscribers including Ludvig Aberg, Matt Fitzpatrick, Tommy Fleetwood, Chris Gotterup, Tyrrell Hatton, Tom Kim and Xander Schauffele!
Ludvig Aberg
Odds: +2200
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP 175200 (114), SCR (105), BOB 150175 (96)
Top 75% Rank: All exclude APP 175200
Top 25% Rank: TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP, GIR, APP 200+, PROX, APP AVG, BS, BOB, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, P3, P5
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 4/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 55/17/39/17
Scottish Results: 8/4/MC
Comp Results: 2
Insights: The Swede was on fire, rattling off three straight Top 10s two different times — six in seven starts — from the API through the PGA Championship, but the wheels have fallen off since. His most recent outing was at the Travelers, where he lost over 4.5 strokes on the greens and more than 1.5 strokes off the tee. Yikes. Of course, his course history adds a complex layer of decision making to the equation, as he finished T4 in 2024 and T8 in 2025 — gaining over 8 strokes on the greens combined over the two years. I’ll forgive the MC in 2023, his rookie season. Given his success the last two years at this course, I’m certainly interested in Aberg this week, but for as good as his statistical profile is, he’s been allergic to winning. As I’ve previously mentioned, he seems to always have at least one blowup round that takes him out of the equation, so I’m not entirely convinced with his outright number. However, a Top10 placement bet on Aberg makes a lot of sense, as does OAD and DFS usage — where you can still reap the benefits of a win. -S
Matt Fitzpatrick
Odds: +1800
Stats: Top 50!!! exclude APP 175200 (51), PUTT (94), BOB 175200 (58)
Top 75% Rank: Across All Key Stats
Top 25% Rank: All exclude OTT, APP 150175, APP 175200, PUTT, BOB 175200
SG Gains: 4/22/2/36
FORM: OTT 2/4, APP 4/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 3/4
Scottish Results: 4/39/MC/6/2/42/14/14/MC/MC/77/MC
Comp Results: 21
Insights: Fitzy quietly arrives as one of the hottest players in the field after another impressive ball-striking display at the Travelers, where he led the field in SG: Tee-to-Green but couldn’t quite get enough from the putter. That addresses my biggest concern from last week, as the driver bounced back with one of its best performances of the season to complement an approach game that has now gained in four straight starts and an elite around-the-green game. The only lingering question is the putter, which has been inconsistent since May, but that’s less concerning at a venue where he’s historically rolled it beautifully. Renaissance Club has been one of Fitzpatrick’s better overseas stops with finishes of 2nd, 6th, and 4th over the last four editions, gaining strokes putting in every appearance while consistently ranking among the week’s best on the greens. His naturally lower ball flight is also well suited to links golf, especially if the wind picks up. At 18/1, the number isn’t a giveaway, but his current long-game form, proven links pedigree, and outstanding course history make him one of the strongest all-format plays this week—and someone I’ll be watching closely ahead of next week’s Open Championship. -C
Tommy Fleetwood
Odds: +2200
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP 175200 (102), PROX (78), BOB 175200 (117)
Top 75% Rank: All exclude BOB 175200
Top 25% Rank: TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP 200+, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BOB 200+, BA, P3, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 14/11/11/4
Scottish Results: 34/34/6/4/26/2/62/10/75/17/MC
Comp Results: 4/MC
Insights: Fleetwood is a very interesting handicap this week. Like Aberg, who is right around the same number on the odds board, Tommy has a strong statistical profile despite lacking win equity. That said, he’s been a bit more steady Eddy of late, finishing Top 15 in four straight and five of six. He’s gained on the greens in four straight events as well, while gaining strokes off the tee in every event he played over the last two months. In addition to solid form, Tommy is a Scottish Open regular, playing this event every year that it’s been at The Renaissance Club since 2020. In those six starts, he has three Top 6 finishes and three other Top 35 finishes, gaining on APP and ARG in each of them. For all intents and purposes, Tommy is very comfortable at this venue, and the form is solid enough to make him another interesting options in the 20/1 range. He is very live in OAD and DFS as well. -S
Chris Gotterup
Odds: +2800
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP 175200 (122), APP 200+ (89), PROX (108), ARD (85), ARD/SCR AVG (80)
Top 75% Rank: All exclude APP 175200, PROX
Top 25% Rank: TG, OTT, OTT/TD AVG, APP 150175, PUTT, BOB, BOB 150175, BOB 175200, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, P3, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 3/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 1/30/43/27
Scottish Results: 1/MC
Comp Results: 7/16/MC/MC
Insights: Gotterup rewarded the believers again last week, capturing the John Deere Classic with another closing 64 to earn his third win of the season. Remarkably, no player in the last 40 years has recorded three PGA Tour victories in a season with a final-round 64 or better. The putter has been on fire since May, and he paired that with elite driving again last week. While the approach play wasn’t at its best, he consistently left himself in ideal positions off the tee, making it far less of a concern. Returning as the defending champion, the confidence should be sky-high, but repeating at Renaissance Club is never easy, especially now at 28/1 instead of last year’s triple-digit price, closing around 110/1. Hard to not like him back on the friendly grounds of The Renaissance Club and expect him to get off to another good start and contend firmly in the mix. Outright I won’t be on, but exposure in matchups, 3-balls, and First Round Leader markets I have interest. -C
Tyrrell Hatton
Odds: +3000
Stats: N/A
Top 75% Rank: N/A
Top 25% Rank: N/A
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 3/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 7/1/MC/17
Scottish Results: 6/24/18/14/9/MC/2/22/4
Comp Results: 11/MC/MC
Insights: In full disclosure, I’ve already bet Hatton this week, as listed in the Monday newsletter. Outside of the missed cut at the PGA Championship, the Englishman has been surging with five Top 20s in six events, including four Top 10s and a win at LIV Andalucia. He also has a very solid course history at The Renaissance Club, where he’s finished Top 25 or better in all four appearances (2019-2023). The fact that he has four Top 20s in the last five majors also helps the appeal, especially at this price. I was able to snag 55/1 with three places each way (Bet365 juices up the outright number when you only take three places instead of five or eight or 10), and I would play that exact market down to 40/1. I would play his outright-only market down to 25, and would take his eight places each-way down to 22. For what it’s worth, in his last five events against PGA pros (majors), he has gained over 2.5 strokes on approach in each event — as high as almost 7 strokes at the US Open last year. He’s got everything you need to win in Scotland, so long as he has a positive weekend on the greens. -S
Tom Kim
Odds: +7000
Stats: Top 100! exclude OTT (104), APP 200+ (104), PUTT (102), BOB 200+ (143)
Top 75% Rank: All exclude OTT, BOB 200+, BOB AVG
Top 25% Rank: TG, APP, APP 175200, PROX, APP AVG, BS, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BA, P4
SG Gains: OTT 1/4, APP 4/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 46/3/15/54
Scottish Results: 17/15/6/3
Comp Results: 11/15/47
Insights: Tom continues to flush his irons, gaining on approach in four straight starts with several elite spikes over the past two months. The concern remains the same, though—off the tee and with the putter. Until both show more consistency, it’s tough to back him outright despite the talent. That said, links golf has consistently brought out his best, with finishes of 3rd, 6th, 15th, and 17th in four starts at Renaissance Club—the best average finish in the field among players with at least three appearances. At 70/1, the number is tempting, but I still can’t quite get there with the current OTT profile. A Top 20 is certainly in play given his course history and elite approach game, but I’ll likely wait for a better buying opportunity later this summer. He’s firmly on my radar, just not quite on my betting card this week. -C
Xander Schauffele
Odds: +2000
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP 150175 (78), APP 175200 (80), PROX (144), BOB 150175 (138), P3 (125)
Top 75% Rank: All exclude PROX, BOB 150175, P3
Top 25% Rank: TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, GIR, BS, SCR, BOB 200+, BA, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 2/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 51/11/29/7
Scottish Results: 8/15/42/1/10
Comp Results: 5/15/30
Insights: Xander’s price is name-based over anything else at this point. He has one Top 10 since the Masters, and he’s coming into this event after losing over 3.5 strokes on Approach and almost 3 strokes on the greens at the Travelers. As a former winner at this course in 2022, he obviously has the skillset to win here, but following that up with a T42 the year after also shows his floor. In his last two starts here, he’s finished T8 and T15, which certainly feels like his most probable range this week and every week for that matter until proven otherwise. I love Xander, but I can’t justify paying this price for a body of work that doesn’t exactly justify it. -S