2026 Genesis Scottish Open - Patio Preview, Key Stats, Tournament Trends & Early Models

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The Bettor Clubhouse

Jul 06, 2026

Field List

Link to the Players Field

Patio Preview

The Renaissance Club
North Berwick, Scotland

Par 70, ~7,300 yards
Tom Doak design
Links-style course with dunes, fescue, pot bunkers
Wind will be a key factor
- Calm wind = low scores
- High winds = high scores
30-35 yard fairway width
- 1 of 15 narrowest on Tour
Don’t have to be overly accurate, but must avoid fairway bunkers to score
- Driving Accuracy about 8% below Tour average
- Driver usage about Tour average
Greens: Fescue
- ~7,000 sq ft on average (Large)
- Run very slow (~10 on Stimpmeter)
Rough: 4” fescue
Scoring average right around 70 (even Par)
- Birdie-or-better% below Tour average
- Birdie-to-bogey ratio about 0.3 below Tour average
GIR% from fairway 77% or higher last 3 years
70%+ of Approach shots from 150+ yards
ARD numbers about Tour average, but Sand Save% about 8% lower than Tour average
Average made birdie putt distance about 9 feet
5 Par 3s
- Ranging from 147-218 yards
- 2025 Average score 3.04
10 Par 4s
- Ranging from 338-505 yards
- Average score 4.10
- Only 2 of 10 have sub-15% bogey rate
3 Par 5s
- Ranging from 576-600 yards
- Average score 4.62
- BOB% greater than 35% on all 3

Recent Scottish Open Results

2025: Chris Gotterup -15 (68-61-70-66); 2 Stroke Victory over Penge & McIlroy
2024: Robert MacIntyre -18 (67-65-63-67); 1 Stroke Victory over Adam Scott
2023: Rory McIlroy -15 (64-66-67-68); 1 Stroke Victory over Robert MacIntyre
2022: Xander Schauffele -7 (72-65-66-70); 1 Stroke Victory over Kurt Kitayama
2021: Min Woo Lee -18 (68-69-65-64); Playoff Victory over Detry & Matt Fitzpatrick
2020: Aaron Rai -11 (70-69-70-64); Playoff Victory over Tommy Fleetwood

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Key Stats

Tier 1

Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
Total Driving
Greens-in-Regulation%

Tier 2

Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
ARG Proximity
Strokes Gained: Putting
Three-putt avoidance
Birdie-or-Better%
Bogey Avoidance
SG: Par 3

Tier 3

Club Head Speed
Approach 150+ yards
Shots Gained: Links Courses

Champ’s Course Comps

St. Andrews Links (Old Course)
The Country Club of Jackson
Grand Reserve Golf Club

Last 10 Scottish Open Tournament Trends

Odds
0-25: 2023, 2022
26-50: 2024, 2020, 2019, 2017, 2016
101+: 2025, 2021, 2018

Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 9/10 (90%) at least 3 shots behind (0/10 led)
R2: 6/10 (60%) within 4 shots (4/10 led)
R3: 8/10 (80%) within 3 shots (5/10 led)

Winner’s Lead-In Form
10/10 (100%) made the cut in at least 1 of their last 2 starts
8/10 (80%) made the cut in their last start
8/10 (80%) at least 2 Top 26 in their last 4 starts
7/10 (70%) Top 25 in their last start
6/10 (60%) Top 5 in their last 4 starts
5/10 (50%) WIN or 2nd in their last 4 starts
2/10 (20%) with multiple missed cuts in their last 4 starts
2/10 (20%) with at least 2 Top 10 in their last 4 starts

Winner’s Genesis Scottish Open History
8/10 (80%) Top 40 in a prior appearance
6/10 (60%) Top 25 in a prior appearance
5/10 (50%) made at least 3 prior appearances
5/10 (50%) missed cut in last appearance
4/10 (40% ) Top 10 in a prior appearance
4/10 (40%) WON in their 3rd appearance
2/10 (20%) Top 5 in a prior appearance

First Round Leader Splits
AM: 50% (2025, 2023, 2022, 2021, 2016)
PM: 60% (2025, 2024, 2020, 2019, 2018, 2017)
*results can include instances where FRL from both splits, both get credited with a win.