2026 Cadillac Championship - Player Deep Dives
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Legend:
Odds - Betting Odds as of publication
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Rank: Based on Field Rank
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
Doral Results: Finishes at Trump National Doral
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: TPC Harding Park, The Los Angeles Country Club & Quail Hollow Club
Collin Morikawa
Odds: +2000
Stats: Top 75!! exclude DD (89), SCR (79), PUTT (112)
Rank: Top 75 exclude PUTT; Top 25 exclude DD, OTT/DD AVG, APP 200+, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, P3
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 4/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 4/7/5/7
Doral Results: DEBUT
Comp Results: 1/14/16/50/MC
Insights: The biggest question with Collin right now is his health. That said, the form hasn’t really fallen off aside from the WD after 1 hole at the Players, as he’s finished T7 and T4 since then despite not looking quite right. On a course that demands so much distance, Collin may not be the best fit, but what he lacks in power, he makes up for in elite approach play — gaining strokes to the field with his irons in every measured event this season. The putter had even been on a roll up until Heritage, where he hemorrhaged strokes on the greens. All things considered, the price seems very appealing for a player as in-form as Collin, especially as a guy that has won in Florida, but the injury concerns mixed with the questionable course fit probably will keep me off again this week. -S
Scottie Scheffler
Odds: +300
Stats: Top 50!!! exclude APP (65), APP 175200 (60), APP 200+ (141), PROX (145), APP AVG (84)
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 200+, PROX; Top 25 exclude DD, APP, APP 175200, APP 200+, PROX, APP AVG, BOB 175200, P3
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 2/2/22/24
Doral Results: DEBUT
Comp Results: 1/3/4
Insights: Scottie hasn’t won a golf tournament since January 25th — just over 3 months ago. The old Scottie would have 5 wins by now. What gives? In all seriousness, there were a couple questionable weeks for Scottie, specifically his approach play, but all is well in the world now with back-to-back 2nd place finishes in Augusta and Hilton Head — 2 very different styles of golf courses. On a course demanding not only distance, but precision with long irons and a great around-the-green game, Scottie usually would set up perfectly at a course like Doral. That said, he’s 66th in the field in Approach from 200+ over his last 24 rounds. Even with the T2 finishes in his last 2 starts, he’s 69th in the field in Approach from 200+ over his last 8 rounds, so the long irons have been a struggle — which is going to come into play on the Par 3s specifically this week. I’m not sure what to make of the long iron issue, but let’s get one thing clear: Scottie is still Scottie. He’s #1 in the field in SG: T2G this week, as well as 2nd in Bogey Avoidance on these types of long tracks. Not to mention, he’s the best in the field in SG: ARG. With wins at a few comps like API, Players and Quail, I’m not going to talk you off any Scottie exposure this week, but I’m also approaching it with some caution given his long irons issues. - S
Cameron Young
Odds: +1200
Stats: Top 50!!! exclude PUTT (68), BOB 200+ (69)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25 exclude ARD, PUTT, BOB 200+, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 25/3/1/3
Doral Results: DEBUT
Comp Results: 32/34/47/59
Insights: Cameron Young lands at Doral in a spot that makes a ton of sense on paper — and just enough hesitation underneath to keep things interesting. The form is strong (25/3/1/3), and the profile is exactly what you want here: gaining OTT, APP, and T2G in 4/4, with the putter positive in 3/4. This is a driver-heavy, long, Bermuda setup where his length and ball-striking should shine. Add in elite Florida results (win at Sawgrass, 3rd at Bay Hill, 2nd at Innisbrook, 4th at PGA National), and the fit checks out. The concern is where things can go sideways. Comp results haven’t matched expectations, and when he’s struggled, it’s been approach consistency and around-the-green play — both areas Doral can expose. The good news: those have trended up lately, with improved putting and his best ARD showing of the season at Heritage in his last start. There’s also context. The Masters letdown was expected after a final pairing with Rory McIlroy — this feels more like a reset than a warning sign. At +1200, you’re paying for the ceiling. No discount, and likely popular. Great fit fit, high ceiling, slight discomfort at the price — your call if you ride now or wait for Quail. -C
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