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Trump National Doral - Blue Monster Course
Miami, Florida
Rich history on PGA Tour
Hosted Doral Open every year from 1962-2006
2007-2016 was WGC-Cadillac Championship
Has not hosted a PGA event since
Dick Wilson design with Gil Hanse renovation in 2014
Updated to bunkering turf
Lengthened some tee boxes
Par 72 and 7,700+ yards
Will be the longest course on Tour this year
Can play even longer with high Florida winds
72 players with no cut
Greens: Bermuda
Large and undulating
12 or higher on Stimpmeter
High number of bunkers (100+)
Course that demands distance off the tee as well as precision with long irons
In 2016, more than 65% of the total approach shots were from 150+
Nearly 30% of approach shots were from 200+
Driving Accuracy can be difficult here due to driver-heavy nature of the course
Scrambling will come into play with long irons so frequently used, even with big greens
Approach putting will be crucial
2016 Par 3 scoring average: 3.13
2016 Par 4 scoring average: 4.12
2015 Par 5 scoring average: 4.78
Most Recent Tournament Results at Doral
2016: Adam Scott -12 (68-66-73-69); 1 Stroke Victory over Bubba Watson
2015: Dustin Johnson -9 (68-73-69-69); 1 Stroke Victory over JB Holmes
2014: Patrick Reed -4 (68-75-69-72); 1 Stroke Victory over Donaldson & B Watson
2013: Tiger Woods -19 (66-65-67-71); 2 Stroke Victory over Steve Stricker
2012: Justin Rose -16 (69-64-69-70); 1 Stroke Victory over Bubba Watson
2011: Nick Watney -16 (67-70-68-67); 2 Stroke Victory over Dustin Johnson
2010: Ernie Els -18 (68-66-70-66); 4 Stroke Victory over Charl Schwartzel
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Key Stats
Tier 1
Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
Strokes Gained: Putting (Bermuda)
Driving Distance
Tier 2
Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green (Very long courses)
Bogey Avoidance (Very long courses)
Driving Accuracy
Greens-in-Regulation%
Approach 150-200
Approach 200+
Scrambling%
ARG Proximity
Tier 3
Approach Putt
3-Putt Avoidance
Champ’s Course Comps
TPC Harding Park
The Los Angeles Country Club
Quail Hollow Club
Cadillac Championship Tournament Trends
Odds
0-20: 2016, 2015, 2013, 2011
21-50: 2012, 2010
51-100: 2014
Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 6/7 (86%) within 3 shots (2/7 led)
R2: 6/7 (86%) within 2 shots (4/7 led)
R3: 6/7 (86%) within 3 shots (3/7 led)
Winner’s Lead-In Form
7/7 (100%) with a Top 20 in their last 4 starts
6/7 (86%) made the cut in their last start
6/7 (86%) with a Top 5 in their last 4 starts
5/7 (71%) made the cut in each of their last 4 starts
3/7 (43%) with a Top 2 finish in their last 4 starts
3/7 (43%) with a Top 10 in their last start
1/7 (14%) with multiple missed cuts in their last 4 starts
Winner’s Trump National Doral History
6/7 (86%) made at least 4 prior appearances
5/7 (71%) with a Top 5 in a prior appearance
4/7 (57%) with at least 2 Top 5 prior finishes
2/7 (29%) WON in a prior appearance
1/7 (14%) WON in their DEBUT appearance
First Round Leader Group Splits
1-10: 43% (2016, 2013, 2010)
11+: 86% (2016, 2015, 2014, 2013, 2012, 2011)
*results can include instances where FRL from both AM/PM, both get credited with a win.
Early Models
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Full Models
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