Legend:
Odds: Betting Odds at Bovada as of 10:00AM EST
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Top 75% Rank: Stats where Player Ranked in Top 75% in the Field
Top 25% Rank: Stats where Player Ranked in Top 25% in the Field
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
Nicklaus Results: Results on Jack Nicklaus Design PGA Tour Tournaments
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Jacob Bridgeman
Odds: +1800
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP 200+ (128), ARD (108)
Top 75% Rank: All exclude APP 200+
Top 25% Rank: TG, TD, APP, APP 150175, SCR, PUTT, BOB, BOB 150175, BOB AVG, BA, P4
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 4/9/30/26
Nicklaus Results: 2/13/21/28/31/33/34/61/MC
Insights: Bridgeman checks nearly every box statistically outside of longer approach and around-the-green play. He’s gained on approach in 10 straight starts, off the tee in 6 of his last 7, with the putter in 6 straight, and around the green in 4 of 5. He also closed the playoffs with back-to-back Top 10s and currently sits 29th in the OWGR and 23rd in DataGolf. The problem is simply the price. At +1800, he’s already being treated like one of the clear favorites, and I expect him to be extremely popular in DFS as well. His runner-up at the 2025 Cognizant is encouraging on a Nicklaus design, but it remains his only Top 10 across the comps listed here. Hat Tip territory for me — if he wins, he wins, and we move on without the investment. One wrinkle worth monitoring: Bridgeman ranks 73rd of 81 in early Round 1 scoring but 2nd in late Round 2 scoring among players with data this week. If he opens slowly Thursday, a live number Thursday night or Friday morning could be much more interesting than +1800 pre-tournament.
Jackson Koivun
Odds: +1400
Stats: N/A
Top 75% Rank: N/A
Top 25% Rank: N/A
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 24/29/31/1
Nicklaus Results: 52
Insights: There’s no denying the ceiling. Koivun has gained off the tee and on approach in four straight starts, sits 65th in the OWGR and 29th in DataGolf, and has already won seven times in 2026 — six at Auburn and once on TOUR at the 3M Open. The ball-striking has remained consistently positive since that breakthrough, even if the approach numbers haven’t quite reached the level we saw during the win. The concern at +1400 is that we’re paying a premium while the short game remains less predictable. He’s gained around the green and putting in only 4 of his last 7 starts, with just one putting gain over his last three. His lone Nicklaus-design result came at the 2024 Memorial, where he went 72-76-78-80, but that version of Koivun is hardly comparable to the player we see today. A 4th at Silverado during last year’s fall swing is probably more relevant to this setup. At +1400, I need almost everything to line up. The tee-to-green profile says he absolutely belongs near the top of the board, but with limited course-design history and a sporadic putter, I’m more interested in respecting him than forcing the price. Compared with Bridgeman, Koivun has the higher outright ceiling for me, but he’s also asking you to pay even more for projection.
Davis Thompson
Odds: +2800
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP 200+ (112), PUTT (128), BOB 150175 (103)
Top 75% Rank: All exclude PUTT
Top 25% Rank: TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP, GIR, APP 150175, APP 175200, PROX, BS, BA, P3, P4
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 4/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 14/8/7/MC
Nicklaus Results: 2/21/27/27/39/47/49/51/56/60/63/MC/MC
Insights: Thompson’s profile is one of the more interesting ones on the board. He ranks Top 25% this week in tee-to-green, off-the-tee, total driving, approach, GIR, proximity, ball-striking and par-3/par-4 scoring. He also gained 3+ true strokes on approach in his last start, an extremely rare threshold, and approach has been elite in two of his last three with OTT also above average or better in two of three. The concern is the short game. Since May, Thompson has gained putting in only 3 of 9 starts and around the green in just 2 of 9, which has kept strong ball-striking weeks from turning into real contention. His Nicklaus-design history is also fairly ordinary outside of the 2023 American Express runner-up, where only one round came on the Nicklaus Tournament Course. Still, +2800 is much more appealing than the prices at the very top. If Biltmore gives us some John Deere / Sedgefield-style characteristics, the fit gets stronger, and when I simplify the model to tee-to-green, Bent/Poa putting, short courses and approach proximity, Thompson ranks 1st. I’m not fully across the line yet, but this is the first name of the three that feels like a legitimate outright decision rather than a respect-and-move-on profile.
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Corey Conners, Doug Ghim, Ryo Hisatsune, Johnny Keefer,
Mac Meissner, Jackson Suber, and Kevin Yu!
Corey Conners
Odds: +2800
Stats: Top 125 exclude SCR, P5
Top 75% Rank: All exclude SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BOB 150175, P3, P5
Top 25% Rank: TG, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP, APP 150175, BS, BOB 175200
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 2/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 47/20/39/14
Nicklaus Results: 4/12/14/20/21/22/25/26/31/39/41/44/49/50/54/54/55/59/65/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Conners still owns the profile we expect — strong tee-to-green play, quality total driving and approach upside — and one surprising wrinkle is that he ranks 8th in this field on Bent/Poa putting. The problem is that once I narrow the model to the stats I care most about this week, he starts sliding instead of climbing. The recent form has been inconsistent. Travelers was the last time he gained across the board and remains his only full-category gaining week of 2026. He’s lost on approach in 2 of his last 3 starts, around-the-green play has been uneven, and the strong putting run was snapped at Memphis. His Nicklaus-design history is also more respectable than convincing, with only 4 Top 20s in 26 starts. At +2800, I’d rather pay for a profile that is either trending harder or fits the week more cleanly. Conners has enough pedigree to pop, but this feels like name value at a top-of-board price more than a number I need to chase. For me, Davis Thompson is the much more interesting +2800 option.
Doug Ghim
Odds: +2800
Stats: Top 75!! exclude PUTT (90), BOB 175200 (113)
Top 75% Rank: Across All Key Metrics
Top 25% Rank: All exclude APP, APP 150175, APP 175200, PUTT, BOB 150175, BOB 175200, BOB AVG
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 2/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 19/15/MC/MC
Nicklaus Results: 5/11/16/29/21/33/35/35/48/54/59/60/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Ghim might be the biggest stats-versus-results disconnect on the board. He ranks 1st in this field in tee-to-green, par-4 scoring and overall, while also sitting Top 5 in OTT, total driving, GIR, ball-striking, around-the-green/scrambling average and bogey avoidance. DataGolf has him 58th in the world while the OWGR still sits at 157th, which tells the story pretty well. The frustrating part is that the results haven’t matched the numbers — only two Top 10s this season and no playoff berth — but the recent trend is encouraging. His best approach performance of the year came in his last start, his best OTT performance came the week before, the putter has gained in 4 of 6 and around-the-green play in 6 of 8. He also owns a Top 5 at the American Express and multiple Top 20s at PGA National on Nicklaus designs. The +2800 number is the problem. That’s a steep price for a player still looking for his first professional win since his Texas days in 2018, but the statistical case is strong enough that I want some form of Ghim exposure this week. If I can find a better market than the outright, that may be the cleaner way to attack it.
Ryo Hisatsune
Odds: +4000
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP 175200 (114), SCR (128), ARD/SCR AVG (110), PUTT (108), BOB 175200 (116)
Top 75% Rank: All exclude APP 175200, SCR
Top 25% Rank: TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP, GIR, APP 200+, PROX, BS, BOB 200+
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 3/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 12/52/MC/50
Nicklaus Results: 10/11/18/18/43/44/47/52/60/MC/MC
Insights: Hisatsune continues to look like one of the cleaner upside profiles on the board. He has gained off the tee in all but two starts this season and on approach in 10 of his last 12, which has repeatedly put him in position to contend. The results back that up: 2nd at Farmers, 10th at Phoenix, 8th at Pebble, 8th at Valero and 9th at the Deere. The obvious weakness remains the short game, especially putting. He gained on the greens at BMW for only the second time in 11 starts, but that may actually be the point — he doesn’t need a spike week with the putter, just something close to field average. If that happens, the tee-to-green game is already good enough to win. The Nicklaus-design history also gives me confidence, with a Top 10 at Barracuda, T11 at the American Express and additional Top 20s at Harbour Town and the PGA Championship. At +4000, this is the first number on the board where I feel like the price is giving us something back. I’m comfortable with exposure across markets and think the outright is absolutely in play.
Johnny Keefer
Odds: +3500
Stats: Top 125 exclude ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT
Top 75% Rank: All exclude ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT
Top 25% Rank: TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP, GIR, APP 200+, PROX, BS, BOB 175200
SG Gains: OTT 1/4, APP 1/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: MC/60/MC/59
Nicklaus Results: 27/69/MC
Insights: Keefer’s season-long ball-striking profile is better than the recent results suggest. He ranks Top 25 in this field in OTT, total driving, GIR, proximity and ball-striking, with Top 50 tee-to-green numbers overall. The problem is that the short game has been carrying too much of the load, and the recent SG form is rough — just one OTT gain and one APP gain across his last four starts. The upside is real, though. He finished 3rd at the Scottish, 3rd at Houston and T9 at Byron Nelson, and the Scottish result came with gains across the board. That shows what the ceiling looks like when everything clicks. The issue is frequency: only three Top 20s on the season and a recent form line of MC/60/MC/59. At +3500, I don’t love him as a core outright, but I do think he makes sense as a boom-or-bust exposure piece. He feels more attractive in short-term markets or DFS, where one spike round can matter, and I doubt ownership will be high. A small sprinkle is reasonable, but I wouldn’t build the week around him.
Mac Meissner
Odds: +3500
Stats: Top 100! exclude TD (117), OTT/TD AVG (103), BS (105), BOB 150175 (125)
Top 75% Rank: All exclude BOB 150175
Top 25% Rank: All exclude OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP, GIR, BS, BOB 150175
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 3/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: MC/26/MC/30
Nicklaus Results: 4/46/53/63/68/MC/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Meissner grades extremely well this week, sitting 2nd overall in my model and Top 10 in tee-to-green, approach buckets, proximity, around-the-green, scrambling average, birdie-or-better, bogey avoidance and par-3/par-4/par-5 scoring. The underlying profile is balanced, and his around-the-green play has been especially consistent since July. The concern is recent form. He arrives off MC/26/MC/30, with approach and putting losses in his last start at Wyndham. Before that, though, he had back-to-back OTT gains and putter gains in 5 of 6, so the profile hasn’t completely fallen apart. His 4th at the 2024 Barracuda is the lone real Nicklaus-design result that catches my eye. At +3500, the number feels a little short relative to the recent results and win equity. I like him as a DFS pivot and would be interested in a favorable three-ball, but I’m comfortable holding off on outright exposure unless the price drifts.
Jackson Suber
Odds: +4500
Stats: Top 100! exclude PUTT (123), BOB 150175 (105)
Top 75% Rank: Across All Key Metrics
Top 25% Rank: TG, APP, GIR, APP 200+, PROX, BS, BOB, BOB 175200, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, P3, P5
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 3/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 22/50/MC/28
Nicklaus Results: 7/42/63/MC/MC
Insights: Suber checks a lot of boxes this week, ranking 4th overall in my model and Top 5 in tee-to-green, approach, 200+ approach, proximity, birdie-or-better and BOB average. He also grades Top 25 in GIR, ball-striking and par-3/par-5 scoring, giving him one of the cleaner statistical profiles in this price range. The issue is recent form. His putter has gone cold in three straight starts and the approach game cooled late in the season as well. I thought the late Sunday position at the John Deere might be a springboard, but that ended up being his final Top 20 of the season. He does have a 7th at Barracuda on a Nicklaus design, so the fit is not a concern. At +4500, the number is fair and I can make a case for placement exposure, but I’m not quite there on the outright. DFS darling, placement candidate, outright watchlist feels like the right lane for now.
Kevin Yu
Odds: +3500
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP 200+ (122), SCR (113), PUTT (102)
Top 75% Rank: All exclude APP 200+
Top 25% Rank:TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, GIR, APP 150175, BS, BOB, BOB 150175, BOB 175200, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 4/31/16/24
Nicklaus Results: 3/9/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Kevin Yuuuuuuu checks plenty of statistical boxes this week, ranking 5th overall in my model and Top 5 in approach from 150–175 yards and birdie-or-better. He also grades Top 25 in tee-to-green, off-the-tee, total driving, GIR, ball-striking, multiple BOB buckets and both par-4/par-5 scoring. The recent profile is steady rather than spectacular. He’s been around field average on approach over his last four starts, above average off the tee in three straight, and the putter finally spiked at Wyndham with his best performance of 2026. His Nicklaus history shows both sides of the profile — 3rd at the 2024 American Express and 9th at the 2024 Cognizant, but also five missed cuts. At +3500, I wish we were getting something closer to the 50s. There’s enough upside here to like him in DFS or short-term markets, especially knowing a low round can absolutely show up, but for me this lands more in the Hat Tip / DFS category than the outright card.