2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am - Player Deep Dives
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Legend:
Odds - Betting Odds as of publication (best available in market)
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats OR Last Season if 1st Start of 2026
Rank: Based on Season Stats Rank in this Field
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
AT&T Results: Finishes at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: TPC Southwind, St. Georges Golf and Country Club & Port Royal Golf Course
Viktor Hovland
Odds: +2800
Stats: Top 100! exclude GIR (109), OTT (151), APP 100125 (128), PROX (138), BS (124), BOB 125150 (108)
Rank: Top 75 exclude OTT, APP 100125, PROX, BS; Top 25: TG, APP, APP 125150, APP 175200, ARD, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, BOB 175200, BOB AVG, P3
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 4/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 10/14/23/6
AT&T Results: 22/58/13/38
Comp Results: 2/12/13/20/32/36/59
Insights: Viktor Hovland sets up as a sneaky full-system green light at the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at +2800. Post-neck injury, the trend line is quietly strong: four straight Top 25s, including a recent T10, and he’s gained on approach in all four recent starts while gaining 17 strokes on approach over his last 16 rounds. The short game has stabilized too, gaining around the greens in four straight — a key box to check at Pebble and known weakness for BDV. Course history is better than it looks on paper: he’s never missed a cut here, has gained off the tee at Pebble, and of course won the U.S. Amateur on these grounds. Some surface-level stats lag, but the core profile (elite approach buckets, par-3 scoring, and strong putting when it cooperates) fits this test. If the short game can stay average, Vik has legitimate Top 5—and win—equity this week. -C
Rory McIlroy
Odds: +1400
Stats: Top 75!! exclude GIR (76), APP 100125 (87), PROX (154), APP AVG (78), BS (78)
Rank: N/A
SG Gains: OTT 3/3, APP 2/3, ARD 2/3, PUTT 2/3 (No SG for AUS Open)
FORM: 33/3/14/2
AT&T Results: 1/66/MC
Comp Results: 3/4/7/12/25/29/46/47/68/MC
Insights: The whole crew is officially back together (minus the injured), as Rory (and Tommy) finally make their season debut on the PGA Tour this weekend. Rory returns to Pebble as the defending champ, which was a surprise win in my opinion. His success/appearances at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am were few and far between, and his best result at the course was his T9 at the 2019 US Open. However, now that he’s won here with his bomb-and-gouge strategy, you have to a least take him seriously. Last year’s win was his first appearance on the Tour after a hot run in Europe that included a win and a few Top-5s. This time around, he doesn’t have the win, but that doesn’t mean he’s not in top form, as he’s had 3 Top-3s in 5 starts since early November. Rory is definitely live this week, but the -4.3 strokes lost Short Game last start at the Dubai Desert Classic is slightly alarming considering the small greens at Pebble. For what it’s worth, poa surfaces have been his worst over the last year. At the same time, he’s pretty dialed in the ball-striking department. -S
Scottie Scheffler
Odds: +300
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP 100125 (117), APP 175200 (136), PROX (129), APP AVG (83)
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 175200; Top 25: TG, OTT, APP, GIR, BS, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, BOB, BOB 0125, BOB AVG, BA, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 3/1/4/1
AT&T Results: 9/6
Comp Results: 3/4/8/14/15/31/43/MC/MC
Insights: Every week we include Scottie out of respect, but what is there left to say about this guy? Sure, he looked mortal — even downright bad — in the first round of the WMPO, but as you would expect, he came flying up the board as the weekend went on and backdoored a Top 3 result. Just sick stuff. In fact, he lost over 2 strokes total on Thursday, just to follow it up with +5.3, +2.8, +5.7 over the final three rounds. He’s only played this event twice, and while he’s finished Top 9 or better both times, he’s been somewhat iffy off the tee and around the greens here. Having said that, Scottie is essentially course-proof at this point. People didn’t think he could win the AmEx and look at what happened. This guy can win anywhere, and from a price perspective, it’s not the worst. He was +250 last week in a field with 50 more players. Sure, Rory and Tommy are in the field, there’s only 80 players in this event. How many of them do you trust in a Sunday head-to-head with this guy? Probably less than 10% of them…if that. Just for fun, these are Scottie’s last 10 results in full PGA/Major events (no Hero): T3, Win, Win, T4, Win, T3, Win, T8, T6, T7. The 5 prior to that? Win, T4, Win, Win, T8. -S
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