Legend:
Odds - Betting Odds as of publication (best available in market)
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats OR Last Season if 1st Start of 2026
Rank: Based on Season Stats Rank in this Field
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
AT&T Results: Finishes at the AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: TPC Southwind, St. Georges Golf and Country Club & Port Royal Golf Course
Viktor Hovland
Odds: +2800
Stats: Top 100! exclude GIR (109), OTT (151), APP 100125 (128), PROX (138), BS (124), BOB 125150 (108)
Rank: Top 75 exclude OTT, APP 100125, PROX, BS; Top 25: TG, APP, APP 125150, APP 175200, ARD, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, BOB 175200, BOB AVG, P3
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 4/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 10/14/23/6
AT&T Results: 22/58/13/38
Comp Results: 2/12/13/20/32/36/59
Insights: Viktor Hovland sets up as a sneaky full-system green light at the 2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am at +2800. Post-neck injury, the trend line is quietly strong: four straight Top 25s, including a recent T10, and he’s gained on approach in all four recent starts while gaining 17 strokes on approach over his last 16 rounds. The short game has stabilized too, gaining around the greens in four straight — a key box to check at Pebble and known weakness for BDV. Course history is better than it looks on paper: he’s never missed a cut here, has gained off the tee at Pebble, and of course won the U.S. Amateur on these grounds. Some surface-level stats lag, but the core profile (elite approach buckets, par-3 scoring, and strong putting when it cooperates) fits this test. If the short game can stay average, Vik has legitimate Top 5—and win—equity this week. -C
Rory McIlroy
Odds: +1400
Stats: Top 75!! exclude GIR (76), APP 100125 (87), PROX (154), APP AVG (78), BS (78)
Rank: N/A
SG Gains: OTT 3/3, APP 2/3, ARD 2/3, PUTT 2/3 (No SG for AUS Open)
FORM: 33/3/14/2
AT&T Results: 1/66/MC
Comp Results: 3/4/7/12/25/29/46/47/68/MC
Insights: The whole crew is officially back together (minus the injured), as Rory (and Tommy) finally make their season debut on the PGA Tour this weekend. Rory returns to Pebble as the defending champ, which was a surprise win in my opinion. His success/appearances at the Pebble Beach Pro-Am were few and far between, and his best result at the course was his T9 at the 2019 US Open. However, now that he’s won here with his bomb-and-gouge strategy, you have to a least take him seriously. Last year’s win was his first appearance on the Tour after a hot run in Europe that included a win and a few Top-5s. This time around, he doesn’t have the win, but that doesn’t mean he’s not in top form, as he’s had 3 Top-3s in 5 starts since early November. Rory is definitely live this week, but the -4.3 strokes lost Short Game last start at the Dubai Desert Classic is slightly alarming considering the small greens at Pebble. For what it’s worth, poa surfaces have been his worst over the last year. At the same time, he’s pretty dialed in the ball-striking department. -S
Scottie Scheffler
Odds: +300
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP 100125 (117), APP 175200 (136), PROX (129), APP AVG (83)
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 175200; Top 25: TG, OTT, APP, GIR, BS, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, BOB, BOB 0125, BOB AVG, BA, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 3/1/4/1
AT&T Results: 9/6
Comp Results: 3/4/8/14/15/31/43/MC/MC
Insights: Every week we include Scottie out of respect, but what is there left to say about this guy? Sure, he looked mortal — even downright bad — in the first round of the WMPO, but as you would expect, he came flying up the board as the weekend went on and backdoored a Top 3 result. Just sick stuff. In fact, he lost over 2 strokes total on Thursday, just to follow it up with +5.3, +2.8, +5.7 over the final three rounds. He’s only played this event twice, and while he’s finished Top 9 or better both times, he’s been somewhat iffy off the tee and around the greens here. Having said that, Scottie is essentially course-proof at this point. People didn’t think he could win the AmEx and look at what happened. This guy can win anywhere, and from a price perspective, it’s not the worst. He was +250 last week in a field with 50 more players. Sure, Rory and Tommy are in the field, there’s only 80 players in this event. How many of them do you trust in a Sunday head-to-head with this guy? Probably less than 10% of them…if that. Just for fun, these are Scottie’s last 10 results in full PGA/Major events (no Hero): T3, Win, Win, T4, Win, T3, Win, T8, T6, T7. The 5 prior to that? Win, T4, Win, Win, T8. -S
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More Player Deep Dives below for Bettor Clubhouse Subscribers including Jason Day, Russell Henley, Si Woo Kim, Justin Rose and more!
Ludvig Aberg
Odds: +4500
Stats: Top 125 exclude TG, APP, APP100125, APP 125150, APP 175200, PROX, APP AVG, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, BOB 0125, BOB 125150, BOB 175200, BOB AVG, BA, P4
Rank: Top 75: OTT, GIR, BS, BOB, P3; Top 25: OTT, BS, P3
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 3/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 2/4 (Skipped AMEX WD)
FORM: MC/WD/3/23
AT&T Results: WD/2
Comp Results: 9/40/51
Insights: The Swede is a tough handicap, if I’m being honest. He looked terrible at Torrey, which followed a WD in the AmEx the week prior, causing all types of deja vu among the golf-betting community. Coming into this PGA season, he was in great form with 8 straight Top-25s (PGA+Euro), so I’m not really sure what to make of him this week. When you look at his course history, ironically it’s more of the same — a WD last year and a 2nd place finish in 2024. In that 2nd place finish, he gained massively on the greens, but are we sure that putting form will come back this week? Because at Torrey — a course with similar agronomy to Pebble — he lost 2.6 strokes with the flat stick. For better or worse, I’m going to lay off Aberg this week in every pre-tournament market, although I might think hard about a missed cut if it’s a juicy price. He’s going to be a fade in round matchups if he doesn’t look good. -S
Jason Day
Odds: +4600
Stats: Top 75!! exclude OTT (104), APP 125150 (104), BS (80), BOB 175200 (142), P5 (101)
Rank: Top 75 exclude BOB 175200; Top 25 exclude OTT, APP 125150, PROX, BS, BOB 175200, P5
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 3/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 38/2/20/23
AT&T Results: 13/6/24/7/4/4/2/5/11/4/64/6/46/14/6
Comp Results: 6/22/23/30/40/52/56/MC/MC
Insights: Jason Day profiles as a classic Pebble Beach buy at +4600, especially if recency bias pushes ownership down after a modest T38 at the Farmers. That finish looks disappointing on the surface, but he gained on approach and continued the balanced strokes-gained profile we’ve seen lately, gaining in three of four starts with the irons, around the greens, and with the putter. Pebble has always been a comfort zone for Day — the course history is elite with a long run of Top 15s, multiple Top 5s, and consistent contention across different versions of his game. While the off-the-tee pop isn’t what it once was, this is a venue where precision, touch, and experience matter more than raw power. The fit is strong, the form is stable, and the price is more forgiving than his last start. Lower ownership, high course comfort, and real win equity if the putter cooperates make Day a very playable option this week across outrights, DFS, and placements. -C
Tommy Fleetwood
Odds: +2500
Stats: Top 100! exclude GIR (127), APP 175200 (149), BOB 175200 (115), P3 (116)
Rank: N/A
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 41/25/3/2
AT&T Results: 22/31/45
Comp Results: 3/3/4/22/33/35/46
Insights: Tommy Lad checks in at +2500 as more of a talent-and-trajectory play than a pure stats darling this week. Pebble suits his eye and shot profile, and his longer-term form still flashes win equity with several top finishes mixed into his last ten starts. The hesitation comes from the Dubai swing, where the irons and putter were a bit off, likely keeping sentiment lukewarm. That uncertainty may actually work in his favor, as ownership should stay lighter than usual. If the approach play rebounds even modestly in his first PGA Tour appearance of 2026, Fleetwood has the upside to contend rather than just hang around the leaderboard. Recommended light exposure to the player pool this week but monitor his play as he very well could pop during each event in the Florida swing. -C
Matt Fitzpatrick
Odds: +3400
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP 100125 (105), APP 175200 (111), SCR (115), PUTT (122), BOB 0125 (105), P3 (136)
Rank: Top 75 exclude P3; Top 25: TG, OTT, APP, GIR, BS, ARD, BOB, BOB 125150, BOB AVG, P4
SG Gains: OTT 1/4, APP 3/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 9/63/1/32
AT&T Results: 48/58/MC/6/60/MC
Comp Results: 4/5/6/18/26/30/32/57/66
Insights: Fitz comes in at +3400 as a bit of a head-vs-heart play at Pebble. The underlying form is still very real — a win and a Top 10 in his last four starts, plus an opening 69 (29 on the card) last week that showed how quickly he can get out of the gates. The strokes-gained profile is solid enough to justify another look, especially with approach and around-the-green play trending positively, even if the putter hasn’t fully cooperated yet. Pebble hasn’t been his favorite stop historically, but the 6th-place finish here proves the ceiling exists, and this setup rewards precision, patience, and creativity — all Fitz strengths. Off-the-tee consistency is the one box he needs to clean up, which makes a full send tough, but the confidence and competitiveness are clearly intact. For the clubhouse, this is less about chasing an outright and more about targeted exposure — first-round leader, placements, or selective DFS use — going back to the well knowing the upside is still very much in play. -C
Russell Henley
Odds: +3000
Stats: Top 75!! exclude OTT (112), APP 175200 (152), ARD (96)
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 175200; Top 25 exclude OTT, ARD, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, BOB 125150, P3
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 4/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 8/19/19/2
AT&T Results: 5/58/MC/15/MC/52
Comp Results: 6/7/17/27/30/MC/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Russ profiles as one of the cleanest fits in the field at Pebble, and +3000 is a fair number given his current form. He’s opened the year 8-19 and has eight Top 20s in his last ten starts, showing both consistency and ceiling. The strokes-gained profile is elite: approach gained four straight, around-the-green gained in all four, and only two approach losses over the past year. Pebble plays directly into his strengths, and while the course history is mixed, a 5th-place finish here confirms the upside. He’s controlling his ball, starting fast, and clearly comfortable in his game. Clubhouse view: all systems go — strong outright, placements, DFS, and matchup option. Only sign of caution is ownership as this profile won’t go unnoticed. -C
Si Woo Kim
Odds: +2500
Stats: Top 50!!! exclude APP 100125 (97), ARD (51), PUTT (131), BOB 0125 (132), BOB 125150 (67), BOB AVG (61)
Rank: Top 75 exclude PUTT, BOB 0125; Top 25: TG, OTT, APP, GIR, APP 125150, APP 175200, PROX, APP AVG, BS, BOB, BOB 175200, BOB AVG, BA, P3, P4
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 3/2/6/11
AT&T Results: 12/14/MC/MC/4/MC/35/MC
Comp Results: 14/16/42/50/65/MC
Insights: I love and hate SWK right now. Twice, he’s given me hope to land an outright, but both times, he wasn’t able to hit enough putts to put himself atop the leaderboard. It’s honestly amazing how many birdie putts he misses by 6” or less. There will be a week where he gets hot on the greens and absolutely steamrolls the field, and who knows — maybe it’s this week. I know he’s on my short list already; who am I to argue with the results? SWK has played every event thus far, finishing no worse than T11, T6 or better in 3 straight, and T3 or better in 2 straight. Of course, it’s hard to maintain elite form like that, and that showed true in Round 1 last week when he was +2 and facing a cut before he had an insane Round 2 and propelled himself into the mix. However, on a short course with an emphasis on iron play, you at least have to consider SWK for One-and-Done or DFS if you’re not betting him in any capacity. His SG: App numbers in his 4 starts this year? +6.5, +3.6, +8, +4.8. Elite stuff. His form isn’t just a flash in the pan either, as he’s rattled off 11 straight Top-21 results since St. Jude. I’m not selling my SWK shares until there’s a reason to. -S
Justin Rose
Odds: +2800
Stats: Top 50!!! exclude APP 100125 (148), ARD (140), SCR (77), ARD/SCR AVG (109), BOB 0125 75, BOB 175200 (53)
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 100125, ARD; Top 25: TG, OTT, APP, GIR, APP 125150, APP 175200, PROX, APP AVG, PUTT, BOB, BOB 125150, BOB AVG, BA, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 1/MC/6/14
AT&T Results: 3/11/1/62/39/6
Comp Results: 1/11/20/22/44/46/54/MC
Insights: The 45-year old phenom turned back the clock and absolutely lapped the field at the Farmers 2 weeks ago, gaining more than 6.5 strokes on APP and over 3.5 strokes on the greens. All together, he gained close to 19 strokes on the field (TOT), which is just insane stuff and dwarfs what he did in his win at the St. Jude (+12.5). In fact, it was his best SG: TOT result ever in his long career (events with shot tracker), barely edging out his 2019 win at Torrey in 2019 oddly enough, as well as his 2010 win at the Memorial. Will that type of performance happen again in his very next start? Gut would tell you no, but then you look at his course history here and you see his last 3 results in the last 3 years here: T3, T11, Win. It’s all going to come down to his iron play. If he’s dialed yet again, he’s going to be in the mix. If he’s missing the small greens frequently, he’s probably going to play his way out of the tournament, as his ARG play since East Lake has been the worst part of his game. Too much variance here for me to pay a tax and bet at a reduced number. Save it for a Masters FRL ticket instead. -S