2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am - Patio Preview, Key Stats, Tournament Trends & Early Models
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Patio Preview
Pebble Beach Golf Links
Spyglass Hill Golf Course
Monterey, California
First signature event of the season
80 golfers
No Cut
Amateurs play Thursday and Friday only
$20M Purse
Winner $3.6M
Used to be a 3 course rotation with Monterey Peninsula - now 2 courses
Spyglass Hill
Golfer will play only 1 round here, Thursday or Friday
Par 72
7,050-7,100 yards
Greens: Poa Annua
11.5 Stimpmeter
Small greens - average 5,000 sq. ft.
Half the amount of bunkers as PB
Pebble Beach Golf Links
3 round will be played here, including both weekend rounds
Par 72
6,900-7,000 yards
Above average fairway width
Greens: Poa Annua
Only 3,500 sq. ft. on average
Smallest on PGA tour
Way slower than Tour average (10.5 Stimpmeter)
2 of 4 toughest holes are Par 3’s
Must score on Par 5’s
A lot of bunkers (110+)
Almost every fairway has bunkers on both sides
Present around most, if not all greens
Driver Usage below 50%
5-year Par 3 Scoring Average: 3.02
5-year Par 4 Scoring Average: 4.02
5-year Par 5 Scoring Average: 4.67
Irons (mostly short irons and wedges) and Putting are crucial for success here (short putts tougher here than Tour average)
Approach from 50-125 yards: > 30%
Approach from 125-175 yards: ~ 30%
Distance mitigated. Not necessary for success, but doesn’t hurt, as Rory showed last year.
Driving accuracy tends to be high here because players club down
Around the Green is crucial due to small size of greens (GIR rate below Tour average here)
Recent Tournament History
2025: Rory McIlroy -21 (66-70-65-66); 2 Stroke Victory over Shane Lowry
2024: Wyndham Clark -17 (72-67-60); 1 Stroke Victory over Ludvig Aberg
2023: Justin Rose -18 (69-69-65-66); 3 Stroke Victory over Brendon Todd & Brandon Wu
2022: Tom Hoge -19 (63-69-68-68); 2 Stroke Victory over Jordan Spieth
2021: Daniel Berger -18 (67-66-72-65); 2 Stroke Victory Maverick McNealy
2020: Nick Taylor -19 (63-66-69-70); 4 Stroke Victory over Kevin Streelman
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Champ - @Champs311
Sammy - @SammyAvBets
Key Stats
Tier 1
Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa)
Good Drive %
Birdie-Or-Better %
Tier 2
Greens-in-Regulation %
Bogey Avoidance
Scrambling
Three-Putt Avoidance (Poa)
Par 5 Birdie-or-Better %
Par 3 Scoring
Tier 3
Par 4 Birdie-or-Better %
Sand Saves
Approach 50-100 yards
Approach 100-150 yards
Putting Inside 10 Feet (Poa)
Champ’s Course Comps
TPC Southwind
St Georges Golf and Country Club
Port Royal Golf Course
Last 6 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Open Trends
Odds
0-25: 2025, 2021
26-50: 2023
51-100: 2024, 2022
101+: 2020
Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 3/6 (50%) within 2 shots (2/6 led)
R2: 4/6 (67%) trailed by 4 or more shots (1/6 led)
R3: 5/5 (100%) within 2 shots (2/5 led)
*2024 shortened to a 54 hole tournament due to weather
Winner’s Lead-In Form
6/6 (100%) with a Top 35 finish in their last 4 starts
5/6 (83%) with a Top 20 finish in their last 4 starts
4/6 (67%) made the cut in their last start
4/6 (67%) with a Top 10 finish in their last 4 starts
4/6 (67%) with a Top 20 finish in their last 2 starts
2/6 (33%) with a Top 5 finish in their last 4 starts
1/6 (17%) with a WIN in their last 4 starts
Winner’s Pebble Beach Pro-Am History
6/6 (100%) with at least 2 prior apperances
6/6 (100%) with a made cut in a prior appearance
5/6 (83%) with a Top 20 finish in a prior appearance
3/6 (50%) with a Top 10 finish in a prior appearance
First Round Leader by Course Split
Monterey Peninsula Country Club: 33% (2023, 2020)
Pebble Beach Golf Links: 33% (2022, 2021)
Spyglass Hill Golf Course: 33% (2025, 2024)
*results can include instances where FRL from multiple courses, all get credited with a win.
Early Models
Become a Clubhouse Member to unlock Champ and Sammy’s full models below, including our model weights where applicable









