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2026 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am - Patio Preview, Key Stats, Tournament Trends & Early Models

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The Bettor Clubhouse
Feb 09, 2026
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Patio Preview

Pebble Beach Golf Links
Spyglass Hill Golf Course
Monterey, California

  • First signature event of the season

  • 80 golfers

  • No Cut

  • Amateurs play Thursday and Friday only

  • $20M Purse

    • Winner $3.6M

  • Used to be a 3 course rotation with Monterey Peninsula - now 2 courses

    • Spyglass Hill

      • Golfer will play only 1 round here, Thursday or Friday

      • Par 72

      • 7,050-7,100 yards

      • Greens: Poa Annua

        • 11.5 Stimpmeter

        • Small greens - average 5,000 sq. ft.

      • Half the amount of bunkers as PB

    • Pebble Beach Golf Links

      • 3 round will be played here, including both weekend rounds

      • Par 72

      • 6,900-7,000 yards

      • Above average fairway width

      • Greens: Poa Annua

        • Only 3,500 sq. ft. on average

          • Smallest on PGA tour

        • Way slower than Tour average (10.5 Stimpmeter)

      • 2 of 4 toughest holes are Par 3’s

      • Must score on Par 5’s

      • A lot of bunkers (110+)

        • Almost every fairway has bunkers on both sides

        • Present around most, if not all greens

      • Driver Usage below 50%

      • 5-year Par 3 Scoring Average: 3.02

      • 5-year Par 4 Scoring Average: 4.02

      • 5-year Par 5 Scoring Average: 4.67

  • Irons (mostly short irons and wedges) and Putting are crucial for success here (short putts tougher here than Tour average)

    • Approach from 50-125 yards: > 30%

    • Approach from 125-175 yards: ~ 30%

  • Distance mitigated. Not necessary for success, but doesn’t hurt, as Rory showed last year.

  • Driving accuracy tends to be high here because players club down

  • Around the Green is crucial due to small size of greens (GIR rate below Tour average here)


Recent Tournament History

2025: Rory McIlroy -21 (66-70-65-66); 2 Stroke Victory over Shane Lowry
2024: Wyndham Clark -17 (72-67-60); 1 Stroke Victory over Ludvig Aberg
2023: Justin Rose -18 (69-69-65-66); 3 Stroke Victory over Brendon Todd & Brandon Wu
2022: Tom Hoge -19 (63-69-68-68); 2 Stroke Victory over Jordan Spieth
2021: Daniel Berger -18 (67-66-72-65); 2 Stroke Victory Maverick McNealy
2020: Nick Taylor -19 (63-66-69-70); 4 Stroke Victory over Kevin Streelman

Image
Good sweat last year with Cam Davis. 2 Back into Sunday, Finsihed T5.

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Champ - @Champs311
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Key Stats

Tier 1

Strokes Gained: Tee-to-Green
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Around-the-Green
Strokes Gained: Putting (Poa)
Good Drive %
Birdie-Or-Better %

Tier 2

Greens-in-Regulation %
Bogey Avoidance
Scrambling
Three-Putt Avoidance (Poa)
Par 5 Birdie-or-Better %
Par 3 Scoring

Tier 3

Par 4 Birdie-or-Better %
Sand Saves
Approach 50-100 yards
Approach 100-150 yards
Putting Inside 10 Feet (Poa)


Champ’s Course Comps

TPC Southwind
St Georges Golf and Country Club
Port Royal Golf Course


Last 6 AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am Open Trends

Odds
0-25: 2025, 2021
26-50: 2023
51-100: 2024, 2022
101+: 2020

Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 3/6 (50%) within 2 shots (2/6 led)
R2: 4/6 (67%) trailed by 4 or more shots (1/6 led)
R3: 5/5 (100%) within 2 shots (2/5 led)
*2024 shortened to a 54 hole tournament due to weather

Winner’s Lead-In Form
6/6 (100%) with a Top 35 finish in their last 4 starts
5/6 (83%) with a Top 20 finish in their last 4 starts
4/6 (67%) made the cut in their last start
4/6 (67%) with a Top 10 finish in their last 4 starts
4/6 (67%) with a Top 20 finish in their last 2 starts
2/6 (33%) with a Top 5 finish in their last 4 starts
1/6 (17%) with a WIN in their last 4 starts

Winner’s Pebble Beach Pro-Am History
6/6 (100%) with at least 2 prior apperances
6/6 (100%) with a made cut in a prior appearance
5/6 (83%) with a Top 20 finish in a prior appearance
3/6 (50%) with a Top 10 finish in a prior appearance

First Round Leader by Course Split
Monterey Peninsula Country Club: 33% (2023, 2020)
Pebble Beach Golf Links: 33% (2022, 2021)
Spyglass Hill Golf Course: 33% (2025, 2024)
*results can include instances where FRL from multiple courses, all get credited with a win.


Early Models

Champ’s Top 5 - Season Stats Model: Green Top 100, Red Outside Top 125
Champ’s Top 5 - Field Rank Model - Green Top 25%, Red Bottom 25%
Historical Top 10 Model Results at AT&T Pebble Beach Pro-Am
Current Season Top 10 Model Results
Sammy’s Top 5 Early Week Model - L24 Rounds

Become a Clubhouse Member to unlock Champ and Sammy’s full models below, including our model weights where applicable

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