Patio Preview
El Cardonal at Diamante
Los Cabos, Mexico
Field: 120 Players
6 out of Top 50 OWGR
J.J Spaun, Ben Griffin, Max Greyserman, Wyndham Clark, Nick Taylor & Michael Brennan
Cut: Top 65 and Ties
Purse: $6,000,000, Fed Ex Cup Points: 500
Course Designer: Tiger Woods (2014)
Longer Course - 7,452 Yards, Par 72 (36-36)
Greens: Huge 8,300 square feet average of Paspalum (Last Year: 76% GIR)
No Rough - run off into bunkers (Last year 89% DA)
1 Water Hazard
Desert-resort style course, wide fairways & big greens
Go Low or be Left Behind
20+ Under Par to Win
Score needed to make cut last 2 years: -2 & -4
No Shotlink for El Cardonal at Diamante you have been warned here first
Recent Tournament History
2024: Austin Eckroat -24 (68-67-66-63); 1 Stroke Victory over Lower & Carson Young
2023: Erik Van Rooyen -27 (68-64-66-63); 2 Stroke Victory over Kuchar & Villegas
*2022: Russell Henley -23 (63-63-65-70); 4 Stroke Victory over Brian Harman
*2021: Viktor Hovland -23 (67-65-62-67); 4 Stroke Victory over Carlos Ortiz
*2020: Viktor Hovland -20 (67-69-63-65); 1 Stroke Victory over Aaron Wise
*Tournament not held at El Cardonal at Diamante
FOLLOW EACH MEMBER OF THE CLUBHOUSE CREW ON THEIR SOCIALS!
Champ - @Champs311
Sammy - @SammyAvBets
Key Stats
Tier 1
Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Off The Tee
Birdie or Better Percentage
Tier 2
Par 4 Scoring
Par 5 Scoring
Strokes Gained: Putting on Paspalum
Tier 3
Bogey Avoidance
Driving Distance
Approaches from 150-200
Par 3 Scoring
*Sadly, no shotlink data this week
Champ’s Course Comps
The Plantation Course at Kapalua
Black Desert Resort
Vidanta Vallarta
Hamilton Golf and Country Club
Tournament Trends (Last 6 Years)
Odds
0-25: 2021, 2020
26-50: 2024
51-100: 2023, 2022
101+: 2019
Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 4/6 (67%) within 2 shots (0 led after R1)
R2: 4/6 (67%) within 3 shots (1 led after R2)
R3: 6/6 (100%) within 2 shots (3 led after R3)
Winner’s Lead-In Form
6/6 (100%) made the cut in their last start
4/6 (67%) with at least a Top 25 finish in their last start
5/6 (83%) with at least 2 Top 30 finishes in their last 4 starts
1/6 (17%) WON in their last 4 starts
First Round Leader Tee Splits
AM: 67% (2024, 2022, 2021, 2019)
PM: 50% (2024, 2023, 2020)
*results can include instances where FRL from both AM/PM and both get credited with a win.
Early Models
Monday Night Football Breakdown
Arizona Cardinals @ Dallas Cowboys (-2.5) - 8:15 ET
Insights: Overall the stats have these two teams as fairly equal with TeamRankings giving the Cowboys a slight 0.2 edge. Factor in home field and the line makes sense even with Jacoby Brissett making his 3rd straight start for the injured Kyler Murray. Little shocking with Brissett getting the nod after the Cards bye week and even more eyebrow raising when the coach mentioned Murray could play a role in the game tonight. Arizona currently on a 5 game losing streak (last win Week 2!); however, I cut them some slack as 3 of their last 4 opponents ranked in my top 10: Seattle (scored 20), Indianapolis (scored 27) and Green Bay (scored 23). This week they faceoff against the worst defense in the league with injured players on the back end as well. I expect Cards to outscore those games and hard to argue when Dallas has allowed on average 33 points at home this season. Don’t get me wrong, I do expect the Cowboys to put their fair share of points too which is why I like Over 53 but playing more props in this one. I have circled CeeDee Lamb to double his receiving touchdown number on the year, Pickens O 4.5 receptions, Zay Jones O 20.5 receiving yards and Trey McBride for first touchdown and O 69.5 receiving yards. -C
Pick: Arizona Cardinals +2.5
Confidence: 1/5
Anytime TD: Trey McBride