2025 Week 6 CFB Worksheet

Follow: X - BettorClubhouse | IG - TheBettorClubhouse | Threads – TheBettorClubhouse

What a Week 5 it was! So many great games, a bunch of which came down to the wire.

Here is my Week 6 matchup card. I made a couple changes to the stats included in here compared to last week. I think this one is much better.

Glossary:

Pwr: Power Rating
HF: Value used for Home Field
TO Mgn: Turnover Margin (FBS vs FBS)
Pen: Penalties per game (FBS v FBS)
Sec PP: Seconds per play (FBS vs FBS)
3D Conv: 3rd Down Conversion % (FBS vs FBS)
YPP: Yards per play (FBS vs FBS)
O PPA: Offensive Predicted Points Added (excludes garbage time)
D PPA: Defensive Predicted Points Added (excludes garbage time)
PPOpp: Points per scoring opportunity (excludes garbage time)
Std Down PPA: PPA on Standard Downs (excludes garbage time)
Pass Down PPA: PPA on Passing Downs (excludes garbage time)
Rush PPA: PPA per rush (excludes garbage time)
Pass PPA: PPA per pass (excludes garbage time)
Havoc: Total Havoc Generated (excludes garbage time)

A projected spread with a - in front of it simply means the road team is favored.

Monday lines are courtesy of bet365 around 5pm

I use my projected spreads to find perceived value in the betting market, and then I handicap each matchup for the situational aspects at play that aren’t necessarily weighted in the projections. Keep in mind, “power ratings” = neutral site favorability. These are not rankings like the AP Poll (which is a BS ranking system, by the way).

If you would like to see how I utilize my projections to bet, and the records of said bets, you’ll have to become a paid subscriber to see the rest of this post.

Becoming a paid member will provide you with my CFB projections for the rest of the season, as well as our PGA player deep dives, PGA final models, and subscriber best bets for the PGA fall swing and 2026 regular season. Monthly and annual options are available.

Last Week:

In addition to spread projections and directions on how to use them, this is an example of what we intend to provide every Friday for paid subs:

Join us!