2025 Week 10 CFB - Power Ratings, Stat Worksheet, Projected Spreads, Early Picks & more
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Happy Monday to the Clubhouse Crew!
Already on to Week 10 here in the college football universe. The weather is getting colder, and the clocks move back this weekend. Depending where you are, it’s going to be dark by 5:00pm starting Sunday. Luckily, we have college football almost every day over the next couple of months to brighten and warm our days.
Let’s get to business. Here is the top 50 in my power ratings heading into Week 10:
The computer is all in on the Hoosiers, as they rise 2 full points to 2nd nationally. Surprised Vanderbilt isn’t getting more credit for its wins. LSU falls 2 full points. With Pribula out, Missouri’s ratings are going to be skewed for a couple weeks like Penn State’s were post Allar injury. BYU still 21st, but it makes sense considering the Cougars have played the 50th-ranked SOS. North Texas cracks top 50, Baylor drops out.
W10 Stat Worksheet
Here’s a link in case the image is blurry: Sheet
Pwr: Power Rating
HF: Value used for Home Field
TO Mgn: Turnover Margin (FBS vs FBS)
Pen: Penalties per game (FBS v FBS)
Sec PP: Seconds per play (FBS vs FBS)
3D Conv: 3rd Down Conversion % (FBS vs FBS)
YPP: Yards per play (FBS vs FBS)
O PPA: Offensive Predicted Points Added from Week 5 til now (excludes garbage time)
D PPA: Defensive Predicted Points Added from Week 5 til now (excludes garbage time)
PPOpp: Points per scoring opportunity from Week 5 til now (excludes garbage time)
Std Down PPA: PPA on Standard Downs from Week 5 til now (excludes garbage time)
Pass Down PPA: PPA on Passing Downs from Week 5 til now (excludes garbage time)
Rush PPA: PPA per rush from Week 5 til now (excludes garbage time)
Pass PPA: PPA per pass from Week 5 til now (excludes garbage time)
Havoc: Total Havoc Generated from Week 5 til now (excludes garbage time)
We’ve reached the point of the season where I start trimming the fat and evaluating more of a recent sample size than just the full season. I believe it gives you a more accurate representation of how a team is playing going into their current matchup, while weeding out some of the buy-games and other cupcakes. From here on out, I will evaluate the most recent 5 weeks for all of the advanced metrics.
Free Bet
After cashing Texas A&M with ease on Friday’s best bet, here is the early week best bet for Week 10 with analysis via my Pickswise article:
Georgia -7.5 (-105) DraftKings
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