2025 Travelers Championship - Player Deep Dives

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Legend:
Odds - Betting Odds as of publication
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Rank: Based on Field Rank
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
Travelers Championship Results: Finishes at The Travelers Championship
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: Sedgefield Country, East Lake Golf Club, TPC Potomac at Avenel Farm, Harbour Town Golf Links, TPC Sawgrass

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Scottie Scheffler
Odds: +300
Stats: Top 50 exclude BOB 125150 (88)
Rank: Top 25% exclude APP 125150, BOB 125150, BOB 150175
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 7/1/4/1/1
Travelers Results: 1/4/13/47/MC
Comp Results: 1/1/1/1/2/5/6/8/11//20/22/55/MC
Insights: The reigning Travelers Champion, Scottie returns to Cromwell following a Top 10 finish at the US Open. Despite the T10, Scottie did not have his best stuff around Oakmont. He lost strokes OTT in each of the final 3 rounds of the tournament, and couldn’t hit crucial putts from 5-10 feet to put himself in the running. That said, he gained nearly 9 strokes T2G and was nearly 2.5 stokes better than the field on the greens. The +9 strokes T2G is his “worst” result since Harbour Town, where he gained about 5 strokes T2G. Not much to say here. Even with his B or C game, Scottie competed on the most difficult track we’ve seen in a few years, and should be well equipped for another Top 5 finish at TPC RH. He’s Top 10 in 13 of Sammy’s 16 model stats this week, Top 20 in 15 of 16. The biggest concern is price. If you want to bet him, you’re going to have to limit your exposure to other players. I can’t talk you off as he’s finished 8th or better in 8 straight events, and has back-to-back Top 4 finishes on this course — gaining nearly 10 strokes or more T2G on the field in each. Scottie is also [unsurprisingly] the best player in the field T2G on Pete Dye designs over the last 18 months. Fire up in One-and-Done contests if you still have him. At $13,300 on DK, you should be able to fit him into lineups with multiple viable options in the $6,000 range given that this is an elevated event with no cut, but he’s also pricey enough that he could finish Top 5 and not be in the optimal lineup — similar to how he was T7 at the US Open and not in the optimal.

Rory McIlroy
Odds: +1200
Stats: Top 100 exclude APP 150175, PROX, BOB 150175, BOB 200+
Rank: Top 75% exclude APP 150175, PROX, BOB 150175, BOB 200+
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 0/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 19/MC/47/7
Travelers Results: 7/11/12/17/19
Comp Results: 1/1/1/1/1/2/4/6/7/8/8/9/10/12/14/16/19/33/33/35/41/58
Insights: Rory recovered from a putrid Canadian Open with a solid US Open. He didn’t look great early in the tournament, but he made the cut and eventually shot a 67 on Sunday to catapult up the leaderboard. Of note, he seemed to find something with his new TaylorMade driver, as he gained more than 6 strokes OTT. He was also extremely solid on the difficult Oakmont greens, gaining more than 2 strokes Putting. The issue continues to be his irons. For reference, he’s lost strokes on Approach in 4 straight events. That alone is enough to keep me off him this week, but I can’t deny, the price is certainly appealing for someone who has never finished outside the Top 17 on this course. That said, he didn’t play here last year, which was the first year this tournament became a Signature Event. Outside the Top 50 in this field in Driving Accuracy over the last 12 months on less-than-driver courses, in addition to being outside the Top 50 in Shots Gained: Approach over the last 16 rounds and outside the Top 65 in this field in key Approach buckets, Rory doesn’t exactly fit the mold of a player that I want to bet this week. If you still have him as an option in your One-and-Done contest, first I want to ask WHY? Second, you should probably save him for the Open at this point.

Xander Schauffele
Odds: +1600
Stats: Top 125 exclude SCR, PUTT, P3, P4
Rank: Top 75% exclude SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, PUTT, P3, P4
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 3/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 12/25/28/11
Travelers Results: 1/13/14/19/20/MC
Comp Results: 1/2/2/2/2/2/4/4/4/5/7/18/18/19/32/63/64/72/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Xander’s Top 12 finish at the US Open was a quiet one, but his game continues to trend in the right direction following his injury layoff earlier this season. He gained strokes to the field in all 4 major Shots Gained categories for the first time this season, which could signal a return to his elite 2024 form. However, he has yet to put himself firmly in contention this year, and for that reason, his price feels a bit light — especially given Scottie’s form and win equity at the top of the board. If you can find a 20/1 or better, I don’t mind adding Xander to your card, as he’s a previous winner at TPC River Highlands. However, that win is also the only time he finished Top 12 on this course in 6 starts. At the current odds of around 16/1 with a DK price just shy of $11,000, I much prefer to play X-man in DFS this week. If you still have him in One-and-Done, I would hold on to him as an option at the Open or the playoff events in August. If he had a couple more Top 10s this season, I may feel differently about betting him outright at these odds, but in my opinion, it doesn’t pay too handsomely to be early on Xander at this price. He’s a hat-tip type of guy this week, as he absolutely could win, but the odds just aren’t juicy enough at the moment to make me feel excited about it. From a betting perspective, I’d rather just invest in placements or First Round Leader until we see just a little bit more from him. If you’re looking for a tangible reason not to play X this week, he’s outside the top 50 in this field in Driving Accuracy on less-than-driver courses over the last 12 months, and his short-iron/wedge play hasn’t been that great of late (outside the top 60 in Approach from 50-150 yards last 24 rounds).

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