2025 Tour Championship - Patio Preview, Key Stats, Tournament Trends & Early Models
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Patio Preview
East Lake Golf Club
Atlanta, GA
Par 71; 7,450-7,500 yards
No Cut
No longer a tiered start; all 30 golfers start at even par
Recent Andrew Green renovations highlight the original Donald Ross design
Refurbished bunkers, relocated greens, contoured fairways that roll out when dry
Emphasis on shot shaping and finding fairways
Nearly 40% of approach shots from 100-150 yards
About 24% of approach shots from 200+
Greens: Bermuda
6,200+ sq ft
Rough: Bermuda
Very difficult and penal
4 Par 3s
All of them 200+ yards, topped by 260-yard #9
12 Par 4s
Ranging 390-510 yards
2 Par 5s
525, 585 yards
Recent Tournament History
2024: Scottie Scheffler -30; 4 strokes over Morikawa
2023: Viktor Hovland -27; 5 strokes over over Schauffele
2022: Rory McIlroy -21; 1 stroke over Im and Scheffler
2021: Patrick Cantlay -21; 1 stroke over Rahm
2020: Dustin Johnson -21; 3 strokes over Schauffele and Thomas
2019: Rory McIlroy -18; 4 strokes over Schauffele
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Key Stats
Tier 1
Shots Gained: Approach
Shots Gained: Off-the-Tee
Driving Accuracy
Shots Gained: Putting (Bermuda)
Tier 2
Opportunities+ Gained (Birdie Opportunities 10’ or closer)
Greens-in-Regulation
Fairways Gained
Birdie-or-Better
Bogey Avoidance
Par 4 Scoring
Par 3: 200+ yards
Tier 3
Approach 100-125 yards
Approach 125-150 yards
Approach 200-225 yards
Putts <10 feet
Shots Gained: East Lake
Champ’s Course Comps
TPC River Highlands (Travelers)
TPC Potomac (Wells Fargo, Quicken Loans)
Muirfield Village (The Memorial)
TPC Twin Cities (3M Open)
Last 6 Tour Championship Tournament Trends
Odds
0-5: 2024, 2023, 2021, 2020
6-10: 2019
11+: 2022
Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 5/6 (83%) within 3 shots
R2: 3/6 (50%) within 3 shots
R3: 6/6 (100%) within 2 shots
R3: 2/6 (33%) led after 54 holes
Winner’s Lead-In Form
4/6 (67%) with a Top 10 finish in their last start
6/6 (100%) with at least 2 Top 13 finishes in their last 4 starts
6/6 (100%) with a Top 5 finish in their last 4 starts
4/6 (67%) with a WIN in their last 4 starts
First Round Leader Tee Splits
Groups 1-8: 67% (2023, 2022, 2021, 2020)
Groups 9-15: 83% (2024, 2022, 2021, 2020, 2019)
*results can include instances where FRL from both AM/PM and both get credited with a win.
*due to limited field, field split by pairing/group number
Early Models
