2025 PGA Championship - Player Deep Dives

Follow: X - BettorClubhouse IG - TheBettorClubhouse TikTok – TheBettorClubhouse

Legend:
Odds - Offshore as of 5/11 7PM EST
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Rank: Based on Field Rank
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
Quail Results: Finishes at Quail Hollow Only
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: Valhalla, Doral, Corales, Old White, Congaree, Chapultepec, Muirfield Village
PGA Champ Results: Finishes at PGA Championship Only

---

Scottie Scheffler
Odds: +450 - Tied Favorite with Rory
Stats: 1st by 12 points, 16 over 3rd
Rank: Top 75% across, Top 5: TG, OTT, APP, PROX, BS, SCR, BOB, BA, P4
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, 4/4 APP (massive gains last 2), 1/4 ARD, 4/4 PUTT
FORM: 1/8/4/2
Quail Results: DEBUT (0-3-1 Presidents Cup)
Comp Results: 7/8/26/45
PGA Champ Results: 2/4/8/8
Insights: Debut at Quail, known for skipping this week in schedule. 0-3-1 Presidents Cup Record at Quail back in 2022. Great results with 4 Top 10s and a 2nd at PGA Championships. With Quail being a track that has been around forever, plenty of players have much more familiarity with the course, which is the one weakness I see for Scottie this week. Obviously in great form and the win in his last start could be a sign of things to come, but due to odds and perhaps not a strong liking to Quail, I won't be as exposed to Scottie as most this week. I like his chances more at the US Open at Oakmont over this week if I had to forecast his chances out.

Rory McIlroy
Odds: +450 - Tied Favorite with Scottie
Stats: 2nd Behind Scottie, 4 points ahead of 3rd, 10 ahead of 4th.
Rank: Top 75% across exclude BOB 200+, Top 5: TG, OTT, DD, SCR, PUTT, BOB, BA, P4
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, 4/4 APP, 2/4 ARD, 2/4 PUTT
FORM: 7/1/3/25
Quail Results: 1/1/1/1/2/4 (13 last 24 rounds in 60s)
Comp Results: 1/1/2/3/3/4/5/5
PGA Champ Results: 1/1/3/3/7
Insights: 3 wins in 9 2025 starts. 4 time winner at Quail Hollow. Top Comp course for me this is week: Valhalla (2014 PGA Winner). Twice a PGA Champ winner. Looking for back to back majors to start 2025 and when people liked him to win a major this year, most said this would be he best chance and you can easily see why.

Bryson DeChambeau
Odds: +1200
Rank: Top 12 OTT, T2G, BOB, BA, DD, ACC, GIR, SCR; Outside top 70 APP, outside top 45 P
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 3/4, P 4/4
Form: 1/2/5/5
Quail Results: 9/4/33/MC
Comp Results: 5/15/2/7/1/MC/18/MC/2/MC
PGA Champ Results: 2/4/38/4/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Bryson has been in as good of form as anyone right now (SG stats similarly strong whether raw or weighted) despite apparently not feeling completely confident in his full game. Finally getting back into the winner’s circle for the first time since the 2024 US Open, Bryson secured the victory at LIV Korea gaining more than 13 strokes T2G to the field. Approach stats have been a roller coaster at best of late, losing 2+ strokes in 3 of last 7, while gaining more than 2 in just 2 of those 7. Has the required distance to thrive at Quail, as well as a tidy short-game, but losing 4+ strokes on APP at Augusta hard to be ignored. Last time he played at Quail (2021), he lost more than 5 strokes on APP. I understand the hype surrounding Bryson, but I don’t see a win here when comparing to the others around him at the top of the board — unless he has a spike week with his irons. Recent history says that’s a tough ask, as he just spiked last week in his win and has not gained 1.5 or more strokes with irons in consecutive events since March 2024.