PGA Championship
Quail Hollow Golf Club
Par 71, 7,600+ yards
About 70 yards longer than Wells Fargo last year
On annual PGA rotation, usually home of Wells Fargo/Truist Championship
Winner gets somewhere around $3,500,000-$4,000,000 and the Wanamaker Trophy
CUT: Top 70 and Ties
156 players
Not everyone is a full PGA Tour golfer
PGA Champions, PGA Professionals, Amateurs
GREENS: Poa Trivialis (Bermuda still dormant)
6,600 sq ft
60+ bunkers, 7 holes with water
Narrow, tree-lined fairways with bunkers
Given the distance, long irons will be frequently used
“Green Mile”
One of the most difficult closing 3-hole stretches in Tour rotation
Driver-heavy course
85.5% Driver usage - nearly 20% higher than tour average
Shots Gained: Off-the-Tee a close second to SG: Approach in terms of importance this week
Greens in Regulation rate 5% below Tour average
Going for Green - Hit Green 7% lower than Tour average
Approach from 175+ yards will make up a majority of 2nd shots
Average proximity to hole form around the green: 8 feet (Tour average 7.7)
Average made birdie putt distance 9.2 feet (0.3 below Tour average)
Scoring average (past 5 years): 71.82
Birdie-or-better 3% below Tour average
Birdie-to-Bogey ratio 0.88
Four Par 3s
Ranging from 184 to 249 yards
Average score: 3.14
All with at least a 15% bogey rate
#17 2nd-hardest hole on course
11 Par 4s
Ranging from 346 to 506 yards
Average score: 4.12
Only 2 of them play under par (#8, #14)
7 have a bogey rate north of 20%
Three Par 5s
Ranging from 546 to 592 yards
Average score: 4.66
All with at least a 37% birdie rate
#7 5% eagle rate with nearly a 3% double rate
Ideal statistical profile for success: Someone who is top 25% in the field in distance with elite long iron accuracy and a very good to excellent short game
Previous Course Results
2024: Rory McIlroy -17 (67, 68, 67, 65), 5 strokes over Xander Schauffele
2023: Wyndham Clark -19 (67, 67, 63, 68), 4 strokes over Xander Schauffele
2021: Rory McIlroy -10 (72, 66, 68, 68), 1 stroke over Abraham Ancer
Previous Course Trends
Odds
1-25: 4
26-50: 2
51-100: 4
101+: 4
Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader by Round
R1: 10 last 13 (77%) at least 3 shots back; only ONE First Round Leader has WON (8%)
R2: 9 last 13 (69%) within 3 shots at the half way mark
R3: 10 last 13 (77%) within 2 shots after 54 holes; FIVE (38%) held the overnight lead
FORM
6 last 13 winners had a Top 25 finish in their last start
10 last 13 winners had at least 1 Top 25 finish in their last 4 starts
FIRST ROUND LEADER TEE SPLITS
AM 9/14
PM 7/14
Previous PGA Championship Results
2024: Xander Schauffele -21, 1 stroke over Bryson DeChambeau (Valhalla)
2023: Brooks Koepka -9, 2 strokes over Viktor Hovland/Scottie Scheffler (Oak Hill)
2022: Justin Thomas -5, playoff over Will Zalatoris (Southern Hills)
2021: Phil Mickelson -6, 2 strokes over Brooks Koepka/Louis Oosthuizen (Kiawah)
2017 PGA Championship Top 10 (at Quail Hollow)
Key Stats
Tier 1
Shots Gained: Approach
Shots Gained: Off-the-Tee
Total Driving
Shots Gained: Tee-to-Green
Approach 150+ yards
Tier 2
Shots Gained: Putting (Poa Trivialis)
Carry Distance
Going for Green/GIR
Birdies or better
Bogey Avoidance
Tier 3
Scrambling
P5 Birdies or better
P4 Scoring
Club Head Speed
Putting 5-15 feet
EARLY WEEK MODELS
Sammy’s Early Model Top 20 
Champ’s Early Model Top 20 
Champ’s Early Model Top 25% Based on Field Rank
