Patio Preview
TPC Deere Run
Silvis, Illinois
Par 71, 7,200 - 7,300 yards
Short course
Architect: D.A. Weibring
Non-signature event
Top 65 and ties make cut
Greens: Bentgrass
Roughly 5,500 sq ft (small)
11.5 on Stimpmeter (average)
Rough: Long bluegrass with high penalty
Last 5 year scoring average: ~69.5
Two-thirds of holes play at or under par
Birdie-or-better percentage was north of 25% last year
Birdie-to-bogey rate: 1.7 (Tour average 1.42)
Birdie festttttttt!
Drive usage has been > 70% each of last 3 years
5-year accuracy average about 5% better than Tour average
GIR% 5-6% better than Tour average
GIR% from fairway was greater than 80% last year
Popular proximity buckets for approach shots:
50-125 yards: 24%+
125-150 yards: 22%+
200+ yards: 20%+
Putting is very easy here
4 Par 3s
158 - 226 yards
3 of hardest 6 holes on course
All 3 with 14%+ bogey rates
11 Par 4s
361 - 503 yards
Hardest 3 holes on course
#9 503 yards = 25%+ bogey rate, sub-10% birdie rate
5 with 20%+ birdie rates
#14 361 yards = nearly 40% birdie rate
3 Par 5s
All 550-600 yards
3 of 4 easiest holes on course
Recent Tournament History
2024: Davis Thompson -28 (63, 67, 62, 64), 4 strokes over Pan, Thorbjornsen, Clanton
2023: Sepp Straka -21 (73, 63, 65, 62), 2 strokes over Todd, Smalley
2022: J.T. Poston -21 (62, 65, 67, 69), 3 strokes over Grillo, Bezuidenhout
2021: Lucas Glover -19 (68, 63, 70, 64), 3 strokes over Na, R. Moore
FOLLOW EACH MEMBER OF THE CLUBHOUSE CREW ON THEIR SOCIALS!
Champ - @Champs311
Sammy - @SammyAvBets
LISTEN TO THEM LIVE FROM FERG’S SPORTS BAR AND GRILLE IN DOWNTOWN SAINT PETERSBURG AND ON RADIOSTPETE.COM UNDER THE FLORIDA SPORTS STREAM CHANNEL EACH AND EVERY TUESDAY FROM 7:00 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST.
Key Stats
Tier 1
Shots Gained: Approach
Shots Gained: Off-the-Tee
Driving Accuracy%
Greens-in-Regulation%
Birdies-or-Better%
Tier 2
Overall Proximity
Shots Gained: Putting (Bent)
Bogey Avoidance
Par 4 BOB%
Par 5 BOB%
Tier 3
Approach 100-150 yards
Approach 50-100 yards
Approach 200+ yards
Champ’s Comp Courses
The Summit Club
East Lake
Annadale
Southern Hills
John Deere Classic Tournament Trends
Odds
0-25: 6
26-50: 5
51-100: 1
101+: 2
Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader by Round
R1: 9/14 (64%) within 4 shots
R2: 9/14 (64%) within 3 shots
R3: 13/14 (93%) within 4 shot
R3: 8/14 (57%) led after 54 holes
Winner’s Lead-In Form
10/14 (71%) made the cut in their last 2 starts
13/14 (93%) with at least 1 Top 20 finish in their last 4 starts
8/14 (57%) with at least 1 Top 10 finish in their last 4 starts
5/14 (36%) with at least 1 Top 5 finish in their last 4 starts
FIRST ROUND LEADER TEE SPLITS
AM 64%
PM 50%
*results can include instances where FRL from both AM/PM and both get credited with a win.
Early Week Models
Shots Gained: TPC Deere Run
Since 2021
