2025 FedEx St Jude Championship - Patio Preview, Key Stats, Tournament Trends & Early Models
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Patio Preview
TPC Southwind
Memphis, TN
Par 70, 7,250-7,300 yards
Distinguished as a long/very long course
4th year hosting this specific event
Only top 70 per the FedEx points earn their way into this field, but it’s a 69 player field this week because Rory McIlroy decided to skip it and focus on just the BMW Championship and the Tour Championship
Greens: Small surfaces with Bermuda greens
Average of 4,500 sq ft
Around 12 on Stimpeter
Rough: Bermuda
Not overly tall, but thick
Fairways are difficult to hit
About 25-28 yards wide
Water in play on 11 holes
Driver usage significantly above Tour average here
Over 81.5% last year (Tour average about 69%)
GIR% from the fairway is right about Tour average, but GIR% from the rough or bunkers is 10-15% below average
Overall proximity to hole from fairway just over 26 feet on average
Overall proximity to hole from rough just over 43 ft on average
Going-for-green % about 10% above Tour average
Nearly 57% of approach shots are from 150+ yards\
Nearly 70% 125+ yards
Scrambling rates higher than Tour average
Proximity to hole from around-the-green just about 6 ft (Tour average 7.7)
Putting is considered easy here
One-putt rates 44% or better since 2022
Birdie-or-better, bogey avoidance, and birdie-to-bogey ratio all right around Tour average
4 Par 3s
Ranging from 162-205 yards
Average score 2.97 since 2022
BOB% as high as 19.4% and as low as 14.9% last 3 years
12 Par 4s
Ranging from 395-505 yards
Average score exactly 4.0 since 2022
7 of the 12 play at or below par
BOB% 18% or better last 3 years
2 Par 5s
530, 579 yards
Average score 4.53 since 2022
BOB% north of 50% last 3 years
Ball-strikers course with plenty of scoring opportunities from the fairways
Recent Tournament History
2024: Hideki Matsuyama -17 (65, 64, 64, 70), 2 strokes over Schauffele, Hovland
2023: Lucas Glover -15 (66, 64, 66, 69), playoff over Patrick Cantlay
2022: Will Zalatoris -15 (71, 63, 65, 66), playoff over Sepp Straka
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Key Stats
Tier 1
Shots Gained: Approach
Shots Gained: Off-the-Tee
Total Driving
Greens-in-Regulation %
Shots Gained: Putting (Bermuda)
Tier 2
Overall Proximity
Going-for-green%
Scrambling
Birdie-or-better%
Bogey Avoidance
3-putt avoidance (Bermuda)
Tier 3
Par 5 BOB%
Par 4 BOB%
Overall Par 3 Scoring
Approach 150+ yards
Champ’s Course Comps
Albany
Port Royal
PGA West
Sea Island
FedEx St Jude Championships (1st Playoff Leg)
Odds
0-25: 2022
26-50: 2024
51-100: 2023
101+:
Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader by Round
R1: 2/3 (67%) within 3 shots
R2: 3/3 (100%) within 5 shots
R2: 2/3 (67%) led after R2
R3: 3/3 (100%) within 2 shots
R3: 2/3 (67%) led after R3
Winner’s Lead-In Form
3/3 (100%) finished in Top 25 in their last start
3/3 (100%) with at least 2 Top 25 finishes in their last 4 starts
2/3 (67%) with at least 1 Top 5 finish in their last 4 starts
3/3 (100%) with a Top 20 finish in last year’s FedEx St Jude prior to their Win
FIRST ROUND LEADER TEE SPLITS
AM 100% (2022, 2023, 2024)
PM 0%
*results can include instances where FRL from both AM/PM and both get credited with a win.
Early Models
