Charles Schwab Challenge
Colonial Country Club (Texas)
Par 70, 72,89 yards
135 players, top 65 and ties make cut
Last 5-year scoring average: 70.41
Greens: Bentgrass
Avg 5,000 sq ft (small)
Running an average of 12 on stimp
Less than driver course with high rough penalty
59% driver usage
Almost 9% lower than Tour average
Average driving distance under 284 yards
Nearly 8% lower than Tour average
GIR% about 5% lower than Tour average
GIR% from rough 9% lower than Tour average
Going-for-green% nearly 23% lower than Tour average
GFG hit green% 6% lower than Tour average
Average approach distance about 10 yards lower than Tour average
Roughly two-thirds of approach shots will be from 175 yards and in
Average proximity to hole about 7 feet
about a half foot under Tour average
Average distance of birdie putts made 10.8 feet
Almost 1.5 feet more than Tour average
Birdie-to-Bogey ratio sub 1.0 and way below Tour average (Par is good)
Over last 5 years, AM plays about a half stroke easier
4 Par 3s
Ranging from 190 to 250 yards
Average score over par
4 of most 11 difficult holes
12 Par 4s
Ranging from 385 to 480 yards
Only 2 of them carry greater than a 20% birdie rate (#2, #6)
2 carry greater than a 20% bogey rate (#3, #5)
Illustrates how hard it is to get momentum here
4 of the 5 most difficult holes on course
2 Par 5s
580+, 630+ yards
Make up half the holes that play under par on this course
#1 greater than 40% birdie rate
sub-10% bogey rate
#10 greater than 20% birdie rate
Greater than 10% bogey rate
Previous Charles Schwab Challenge Results
2024: Davis Riley -14 (66, 64, 66, 70), 5 strokes over Bradley, Scheffler
2023: Emiliano Grillo -8 (67, 65, 72, 68), playoff over Schenk
2022: Sam Burns -9 (71, 68, 67, 65), playoff over Scheffler
2021: Jason Kokrak -14 (65, 65, 66, 70), 2 strokes over Spieth
Course Trends
Odds
1-25: 4
26-50: 5
51-100: 5
101+: 1
Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader by Round
R1: 13 last 15 (87%) within 5 shots
R2: 15 last 15 (100%) within 4 shots
R3: 13 last 15 (87%) within 3 shots
FORM
4 last 15 (27%) Missed the Cut in their last start
8 last 15 (53%) Top 25 finish in their last start
11 last 15 (73%) at least 1 Top 10 finish in last 4 starts
10 last 15 (67%) at least 2 Top 20 finishes in last 4 starts
5 last 6 PLAYED in last week’s Major
2 last 6 Made the Cut in last week’s Major
1 last 6 Top 20 finish in last week’s Major
FIRST ROUND LEADER TEE SPLITS (Last 15 Tournaments at Colonial)
AM 60%
PM 53%
*results can include instances where FRL from both AM/PM and both get credited with a win.
Key Stats
Tier 1
Shots Gained: Approach
Shots Gained: Tee-to-Green
Shots Gained: Putting (Bentgrass)
Driving Accuracy
Greens-in-Regulation
Tier 2
Overall Proximity from Rough
Good Drive %
Scrambling
Distance from Edge of Fairway
Par 3 scoring
Bogey Avoidance
3-putt Avoidance
Tier 3
Par 4 birdie-or-better%
Approach <150 yards
Putting 20-25 feet
Early Week Models
LISTEN TO US LIVE FROM FERG’S SPORTS BAR AND GRILLE IN DOWNTOWN SAINT PETERSBURG OR ON RADIOSTPETE.COM UNDER THE FLORIDA SPORTS STREAM CHANNEL EACH AND EVERY TUESDAY FROM 7:00 PM EST to 8:00 PM EST.
