2025 Butterfield Bermuda Championship - Patio Preview, Key Stats, Tournament Trends & Early Models

Follow: X - BettorClubhouse | IG - TheBettorClubhouse | Threads – TheBettorClubhouse

Patio Preview

Port Royal Golf Course
Southampton, Bermuda

• Field: 120 Players

  • 2 out of Top 50 OWGR

  • Michael Brennan & Sam Stevens

• Cut: Top 65 and Ties

• Purse: $6,000,000, Fed Ex Cup Points: 500

• Course Designer: Robert Trent Jones (1970); Roger Rulewich (Renovation: 2009)

• Short Course - 6,8287, Par 71 (36-35)

• Greens: Large 8,000 square feet average of Bermuda (Last Year: 67% GIR)

• Zoysia Rough - caution with fliers with approach shots (Last year 55% DA)

• 7 Holes with Water

• Coastal-resort style course, elevation changes and large greens

  • Wind decides winning score

    • Expected in 15-20 Range

  • Score needed to make cut last 3 years: -2, -5 & -6

  • Bombers and shorter hitters can compete here

  • No Shotlink Yet Again

---

Recent Tournament History

2024: Rafael Campos -19 (70-65-62-68); 3 Stroke Victory over Andrew Novak
2023: Camilo Villegas -24 (67-63-65-65); 2 Stroke Victory over Alex Noren
2022: Seamus Power -19 (65-65-65-70); 1 Stroke Victory over Thomas Detry
2021: Lucas Herbert -15 (70-65-65-69); 1 Stroke Victory over Danny Lee & Patrick Reed
2020: Brian Gay -15 (70-68-67-74); Playoff Victory over Wyndham Clark

---

FOLLOW EACH MEMBER OF THE CLUBHOUSE CREW ON THEIR SOCIALS!
Champ - @Champs311
Sammy - @SammyAvBets

---

Key Stats

Tier 1

Strokes Gained: Approach
Strokes Gained: Total Driving
Birdie or Better Percentage

Tier 2

Approaches from 125-200
Strokes Gained: Putting on Bermuda
Par 4 Scoring

Tier 3

Par 3 Scoring
Bogey Avoidance
Strokes Gained: Port Royal Golf Course

---

Champ’s Course Comps

TPC Southwind
Sea Island GC Seaside
Colonial Country Club

---

Tournament Trends (Last 5 Years)

Odds
0-25: 2022
26-50:
51-100: 2023, 2021
101+: 2024, 2020

Winner’s Strokes Behind Leader By Round
R1: 4/5 (80%) at least 5 shots behind (0 led after R1)
R2: 4/5 (80%) at least 3 shots behind (0 led after R2)
R3: 4/5 (80%) within 2 shots (2 led after R3)

Winner’s Lead-In Form
2/5 (40%) made the cut in their last start
5/5 (100%) with at least a missed cut in their last 2 starts
3/5 (60%) with at least a Top 40 finish in their last 4 starts
2/5 (40%) with at least a Top 25 finish in their last 4 starts
1/5 (20%) with at least a Top 10 finish in their last 4 starts
0/5 (0%) WON in their last 4 starts

First Round Leader Tee Splits
AM: 80% (2024, 2023, 2022, 2020)
PM: 60% (2024, 2022, 2021)
*results can include instances where FRL from both AM/PM and both get credited with a win.

---

Early Models

Champ’s Season Stats Model - Green Top 100, Red Outside Top 125

Champ’s Field Rank Model - Green Top 25%, Red Bottom 25%

Champ’s Historical Top 10 Model Results at Port Royal GC

See Full Field Model Below!