2025 BMW Championship - Player Deep Dives

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Legend:
Odds - Betting Odds as of publication
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Rank: Based on Field Rank
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
BMW Results: Finishes at the BMW Championship
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: Liberty National, Trinity Forest, Memorial Park, Oak Hill & Dunes Golf and Beach Club

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Scottie Scheffler
Odds: +240
Stats: Top 25!!!! exclude DD (60), OTT/DD AVG (31), ARD (26)
Rank: Top 5!!!!! in field exclude DD (12), OTT/DD AVG (7), ARD (9), PUTT (8)
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARG 2/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 3/1/8/6
BMW Results: 33/2/3/22/20
Comp Results: 2/2/2/2/9/32/35/43
Insights: You can acknowledge Ted Scott’s absence, but the truth is Scottie’s baseline is so elite it’s hard to pass on him over a caddie change alone. Top-10 across every major stat this week except distance (12th), and a proven king on long layouts. 49-man field, there’s still only one Scottie and he will be on the first page on Sunday.

Rory McIlroy
Odds: +700
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP 175200 (95), PROX (148), APP AVG (84)
Rank: Top 75 exclude PROX, Top 25 exclude APP, GIR, APP 175200, AP 200+, APP AVG, BS, BOB 200+
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 3/4, ARG, 4/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 7/2/6/19
BMW Results: 11/4/8/4/12/19/5/58/42/4/8/59/1/37
Comp Results: 5/6/7/8/19/43
Insights: Rory was the only top 70 player not to play in the FedEx St. Jude Championship. Instead, he took the week off, avoided the Memphis humidity, and kept his focus on the BMW Championship and ensuing Tour Championship. Given the length of this track, Rory feels like a great course fit and should find success at Caves Valley. Not only is Rory a bomber in every sense of the word, but his iron play has been very good of late, as has his putting - which shows in his results. With 4 straight top 20 finishes and 3 straight top 10s, Rory is knocking on the door of his first win since the Masters. All that you need to do is figure out if you want to take the plunge at shorter than 10/1 odds. Remember, it’s only a 50-person event and all players play all 4 rounds. Given his ability to score on long Par 4s and Par 5s, Rory is a threat to go low at any point this weekend so long as he is able to keep the ball in the short grass and out of the fairway bunkers and rough.

Patrick Cantlay
Odds: +2200
Stats: Top 100! exclude SCR (106), P5 (117)
Rank: Top 75 exclude SCR, P5
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 4/4, ARG 2/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 9/MC/32/12
BMW Results: 13/15/1/1/12/2/55/9
Comp Results: 9/11/12
Insights: Cantlay’s BMW track record is elite, and the FedEx Cup stretch clearly brings out his best. But this isn’t just a “course history” play — it’s the fact that his irons have been absolutely dialed all season (8th in SG Approach for season), and he showed in Memphis with that T9 that the form is very much intact. The combination of confidence, ball-striking, and comfort in these playoff setups makes another top finish and final group contention more than reasonable.

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