Legend:
Odds - Betting Odds as of publication
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Rank: Based on Field Rank
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
BayCurrent Results: Finishes at the BayCurrent Classic (Formerly ZOZO Championship)
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: Accordia Golf Narashino CC, Caves Valley, Torrey Pines and Trinity Forest
Xander Schauffele
Odds: +1000
Stats: Top 100! exclude PROX (109), SCR (140), ARD/SCR AVG (116), PUTT (129), BA (110), P3 (130), P4 (143), ER1 (165), ER3 (147)
Rank: Top 75 exclude SCR, PUTT, P3, P4, ER1, ER3; Top 25: TG, APP, APP 150175, APP 175200, APP 200+, APP AVG, BOB 150175, P5, ER4
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 28/22/7/8
BayCurrent Results: 41/38/9/28/17/10
Comp Results: 2/7/9/9/10/13/25/28/28/34/38/41/49/MC/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Xander has 9 Top 25 finishes in his last 12 starts, including 3 Top 10s but no Top 5s. His ball-striking—particularly off the tee and on approach—remains sharp, though some short-game rust is still visible after playing just 15 events in 2025. While his overall form hasn’t fully lived up to expectations following his Ryder Cup performance, his 4&3 Sunday win over Jon Rahm shouldn’t be overlooked. Xander typically thrives in no-cut events, and this week offers another chance to find rhythm—but at 10/1 odds, the clubhouse is content to watch from the sidelines.
Collin Morikawa
Odds: +1600
Stats: Top 100! exclude ARD (106), PUTT (147), BOB 150175 (113), BOB 200+ (123), P5 (110), ER3 (127)
Rank: Top 75 exclude PUTT, BOB 200+, ER3; Top 25: TG, OTT, OTT/TD AVG, APP, GIR, APP 150175, APP 175200, PROX, APP AVG, BS, P3, ER1
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 0/4
FORM: 43/19/33/22
BayCurrent Results: 54/1/45/7/50/22
Comp Results: 1/3/4/7/17/21/22/33/45/54/63/MC
Insights: Collin’s form remains shaky, particularly with the putter, and his recent outings haven’t inspired much confidence. His Ryder Cup tune-up at ProCore offered little improvement, followed by a tough opening two days in the matches before salvaging a halve against Hatton on Sunday. The silver lining is his 2023 ZOZO Championship victory, which could spark some positive momentum returning to familiar turf. Still, given his ongoing struggles the clubhouse can’t justify backing Collin at anything shorter than 25/1 until he shows signs of turning the corner.
Hideki Matsuyama
Odds: +1800
Stats: Top 100! exclude OTT (128), TD (150), OTT/TD AVG (139), GIR (104), BS (138), PUTT (103), ER1 (161)
Rank: Top 75 exclude OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, BS, ER1; Top 25: TG, APP, APP 150175, APP 175200, APP 200+, PROX, APP AVG, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BOB 150175, BOB 175200, BOB AVG, P3, ER2, ER4
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 3/4, ARD 4/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 13/29/26/17
BayCurrent Results: 46/51/40/1/28/2
Comp Results: 1/2/3/9/12/13/13/16/16/23/26/26/30/32/33/40/45/46/46/51/53/MC/MC
Insights: Hideki comes in off a T13 at Wentworth, where he led after Round 2. Eight of his last nine starts he has gained on approach and showing strong short-game form over his last three. The putter remains streaky, but he leads the field in Bentgrass wins (4). The concern is off the tee—he’s gained in only four of his last ten starts. At a tree line track this week, he could be in the trees limiting his approach edge. With past success at the ZOZO (win in 2022, runner-up in 2020), Hideki’s a worthy consideration.
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Chris Gotterup
Max Homa
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Gary Woodland
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Chris Gotterup
Odds: +2000
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP (102), APP 200+ (119), PROX (148), BOB 150175 (105)
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 200+, PROX; Top 25: TG, OTT, OTT/TD AVG, GIR, BS, SCR, BOB, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, BA, P3, P4, P5, ER2, ER4
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 10/33/54/10
BayCurrent Results: 71 (72-69-77-66, 2024)
Comp Results: 25/33/50/71
Insights: Gotterup closed the PGA Tour season red-hot, posting 4 Top 10s, 2 Top 5s, and a win in his final six starts. Some rust may show after his last outing at the Tour Championship, but a final-round 66 in his lone Japan start (T71) hints at upside. If he carries over that late-season form, he’s fully capable of contending early—and possibly leading after Round 1. A strong DFS pivot with likely low ownership given the layoff.
Emiliano Grillo
Odds: +4000
Stats: Top 100! exclude ARD (153), ARD/SCR AVG (125), BOB 175200 (134), BOB 200+ (147), P5 (110), ER4 (101)
Rank: Top 75 exclude ARD, ARD/SCR AVG, BOB 175200, BOB 200+; Top 25: TD, OTT/TD AVG, PROX, APP AVG, BS, PUTT, BOB 150175, P4, ER1
SG Gains: OTT 2/4, APP 3/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: MC/4/50/44
BayCurrent Results: 10/4/73/30
Comp Results: 4/10/12/20/30/33/44/46/52/73/MC/MC/MC/MC/WD
Insights: Grillo disappointed the clubhouse with a missed cut last week, but this setup should suit him far better—a tighter, precision track with Bentgrass greens, much like Colonial where he captured his 2023 win. His ZOZO history is excellent, with Top 10s in both 2023 and 2022, including a solo 4th two years ago. Given the course fit and proven record in Japan, the clubhouse is confidently going back to the well this week—win or lose, we’ll see you in the comments Saturday night.
Lee Hodges
Odds: +7000
Stats: Top 100! exclude ER2 (126)
Rank: Top 75 exclude ER2; Top 25: TG, TD, APP GIR, APP AVG, BS, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BA, P3, P4, P5
*SG Gains: OTT 1/3, APP 1/3, ARD 3/3, PUTT 2/3
*No SG for Cuda start
FORM: 38/55/MC/MC
BayCurrent Results: 16/21/23
Comp Results: 9/16/21/23/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Hodges brings intrigue with three Top 25s at the ZOZO, giving patrons a reason to watch this week. His Top 40 finish at Sanderson, despite losing nearly 1.5 strokes on approach, raises questions about travel and form. History and stats paint a boom-or-bust picture, making him a solid match-up play or GPP DFS target—but no need to go all-in on Hodges this week.
Max Homa
Odds: +3000
Stats: Top 125 exclude TG, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP, BS, ARD, P5, ER2, ER4
Rank: Top 75 exclude TG, TD, OTT/TD AVG, AP, APP AVG, BS, P5, ER2, ER4; Top 25: BOB 150175, ER3
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 4/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: 18/19/MC/39
BayCurrent Results: 27/46
Comp Results: 1/9/13/18/27/46/63/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/MC/WD
Insights: Max gave us the full rollercoaster last week — ball-striking Picasso on Thursday and Friday, then suddenly the putter decided it needed its own bye week. Still, he answered like a pro with Saturday’s low round of the day, even sneaking in a bogey on the closer just to stay humble. Sunday? More cruise control than comeback, but nothing to sound the alarms about. The only real hazard this week is jet lag after the Mississippi-to-Japan hop. Still, Clubhouse is back on Max at 30/1 — because when the putter finally clocks in, we’ll be cashing in.
Mark Hubbard
Odds: +5500
Stats: Top 100! exclude OTT (111), APP 150175 (106), ARD (103), ER1 (130)
Rank: Top 75 exclude ER1; Top 25: PUTT, ER2, ER4
SG Gains: OTT 1/4, APP 3/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 38/38/3/61
BayCurrent Results: 41/31/66/41
Comp Results: 20/31/41/41/61/66/68/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Mother Hubbard keeps showing up and cashing checks — stacking made cuts and quiet Top 40s even when the ball-striking wand’s gone missing. But with no cut and just 78 in the field this week, that steady drumbeat doesn’t move the needle much. His ZOZO track record offers more grind than glory, so the sharp play is targeting matchups and 3-balls rather than outright finishes. The consistency earns respect, but Clubhouse will keep the powder dry until the upside lines up.
Kurt Kitayama
Odds: +2200
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP 150175 (80), SCR (108), PUTT (141)
Rank: Top 75 exclude PUTT; Top 25: TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, APP, APP 175200, APP 200+, PROX, APP AVG, BOB, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, P4, P5
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 19/9/31/1
BayCurrent Results: 5/16/29
Comp Results: 5/16/19/29/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Kitty checks in as Champ’s Monday model darling — and for good reason. The man finished the PGA Tour season hotter than a new Scotty Cameron grip: six straight T35s, five Top 20s, three Top 10s, two Top 5s, and a shiny 3M trophy to cap it. Yokohama looks tailor-made for his game, with only a touch of rust to knock off after the BMW. But considering he fired a Saturday 63 and finished 5th at the ZOZO last year, don’t be surprised if DFS players and bettors alike are purring by Sunday.
Matt McCarty
Odds: +5000
Stats: Top 100! exclude APP (108), APP 200+ (119), ER1 (105), ER3 (109)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: APP 175200, PROX, SCR, PUTT, BOB 175200, P3, ER2
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 2/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 2/4
FORM: 43/8/68/MC
BayCurrent Results: DEBUT
Comp Results: MC
Insights: Clubhouse sees a broad range of outcomes for Lefty McCarty this week. His most recent showing at the ProCore was steady but unspectacular — neutral gains across the board leading to a 43rd-place finish. Prior to that, his last start came at the Wyndham before the FedEx Cup Playoffs, leaving limited recent data to lean on. With plenty at stake sitting 61st in the OWGR and 88th in the FedEx Cup standings, motivation won’t be an issue, but form remains a question. Clubhouse will keep McCarty on the radar for potential value down the line, but this week’s play warrants caution rather than conviction.
Kevin Roy
Odds: +7500
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP (89), AP 150175 (94), BOB 150175 (129), BOB 175200 (124)
Rank: Top 75 exclude BOB 150175, BOB 175200; Top 25: TD, OTT/TD AVG, GIR, APP 200+, PROX, APP AVG, BS, BOB, BOB 200+, BA, P4, P5, ER3
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 1/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 18/MC/MC/28
BayCurrent Results: DEBUT
Comp Results: WD/MC
Insights: Roy played really well last week — three of his four rounds were in the 60s, which means he hit lots of good shots and finished in the Top 20! The Clubhouse wants to see him play a little more before getting too excited, but this week’s course should fit players who hit the ball straight and strong. If Roy’s putting gets better, he could climb high on the scoreboard. It’s his first time playing in Japan, so we’ll just watch and see how he does as the season keeps going.
Alex Smalley
Odds: +8000
Stats: Top 75!! exclude APP (85), AP 175200 (114), PROX (85), BOB 175200 (115), P3 (103)
Rank: Top 75 across; Top 25: TG, OTT, TD, OTT/TD AVG, GIR, BS, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG, BOB, BOB 150175, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, BA, P4, ER2, ER3, ER4
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 2/4, ARD 0/4, PUTT 1/4
FORM: MC/MC/MC/44
BayCurrent Results: 25 (68-69-67-70, 2023)
Comp Results: 25/37/56/MC/MC
Insights: Since that bright spot with a 5th-place finish at Myrtle Beach, Smalley’s results have taken a sharp downturn: 10 tournaments, just one Top 20, and six missed cuts. Clubhouse suspects he may be struggling with a swing tweak or equipment change, though nothing is confirmed. His 25th-place showing at the ZOZO two years ago, with Rounds 1 and 2 in the 60s, feels like a distant memory compared to his current form. For now, Smalley is more of a fade — a somber reminder that even talented players can hit rough patches.
Gary Woodland
Odds: +4500
Stats: Top 100! exclude ARD (167), ARD/SCR AVG (125), BOB (110), BOB 175200 (121), BOB 200+ (136), BOB AVG (110), P5 (128)
Rank: Top 75 exclude ARD, ARD/SCR AVG, BOB, BOB 200+, BOB AVG, P5; Top 25: TD, OTT/TD AVG, AP, APP 200+, PROX, APP AVG, BS, PUTT, BA, ER2, ER3
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 4/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 19/23/20/60
BayCurrent Results: 33/5
Comp Results: 5/9/10/12/28/20/27/33/39/45/48/50/58/62/76/81/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Well, I’ll tell ya, ol’ Gary’s rollin’ into Japan hotter than a July day in Wichita — three straight Top 25s and six cuts made in a row! He’s hittin’ it solid off the tee, on approach, and a smidge on the putter, so the Clubhouse is startin’ to dream a little ‘bout a Sunday fairy tale. Finished 5th in Japan back in 2020, so game should suit the course, but don’t go bettin’ your boots on a win just yet. Stick with the clubhouse for the week with the green light!