2025 3M Open - Player Deep Dives

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Legend:
Odds - Betting Odds as of publication
Stats: Non Filtered Season Stats
Rank: Based on Field Rank
SG Gains: Number of weeks where played Gained in that Strokes Gained Statistic
OTT 4/4 = Gained Off The Tee in 4 of his last 4 starts/weeks/tournaments
FORM: Results from a players last 4 starts
3M Results: Finishes at the 3M Open
Comp Results: Finishes at following courses: Innisbrook Resort, TPC River Highlands and Muirfield Village Golf Club

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Sam Burns
Odds: +1800
Stats: Top 125 exclude APP, APP 200+, PROX, APP AVG
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 200+, PROX, APP AVG
SG Gains: OTT 3/4, APP 3/4, ARD 1/4, PUTT 3/4
FORM: 45/47/17/7
3M Results: 7/12/32 (9 of 12 rounds in 60s, Low: 64)
Comp Results: 1/1/6/12/12/13/15/16/17/17/24/30/43/50/55/81/MC/MC/MC/WD
Insights: Don’t get us wrong, this is absolutely a watered-down field, but Sam Burns as a sub-20/1 favorite? I don’t know, man. This feels extremely pricey. We get it, he finished T2 in Canada and was in the mix at the US Open, but if you remember, he completely collapsed on Sunday at Oakmont (water ball fiasco or not) and he had a real chance to win in Canada before missing very short and makable putt on the first playoff hole. Being in contention certainly helps the cause, but the price is hard to stomach, don’t you think? Can we trust he will keep his tee shots on land? Can we trust his irons enough to be on for 4 full rounds? Can we trust him to hit the pressure putts on Sunday if he’s in contention? Too many questions surrounding this week’s favorite for us to feel confident in a heavily-taxed price.

Maverick McNealy
Odds: +2000
Stats: Top 125 exclude APP 175200, APP 200+, PROX, ARD, SCR, ARD/SCR AVG
Rank: Top 75 exclude APP 175200, APP 200+, PROX, ARD/SCR AVG
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 3/4, ARD 3/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 23/22/17/37
3M Results: 3/16/49 (6 of 12 rounds in 60s, Low: 63)
Comp Results: 5/17/30/36/45/MC/MC/MC
Insights: Mav is quietly building one of the most consistent runs on Tour and looking to give Keegan plenty of reasons to select him in September. Strong finish last year (off a missed cut at The Open) along with a Top 5 at a Champ comp course, Champ understands why he’s among the betting favorites this week. Approach numbers from 175+ yards are a concern, but overall his game remains steady. He's played the week after a major all three times this season, with mixed results—T3 at Heritage, MC at Colonial, and T17 at Travelers—mirroring his previous He’s not a lock, but he’s no reason to think Mav isn’t consistent again this week. If books are willing to lay a Gotterup / McNealy match-up fire away with confidence.

Chris Gotterup
Odds: +2500
Stats: Top 100 exclude APP (101), APP 200+ (126), PROX (143)
Rank: Top 75 exclude PROX
SG Gains: OTT 4/4, APP 4/4, ARD 2/4, PUTT 4/4
FORM: 3/1/21/26
3M Results: 31/59 (5 of 8 rounds in 60s, Low: 67)
Comp Results: 35/61/61/MC/MC/MC
Insights: This man is on the heaters of all heaters—Scottish champ, solo 3rd at The Open, and a 10-start stretch most pros would kill for. Off the tee he's been elite, and the flatstick’s been flaming—gaining over 1.5 strokes with the putter the last two weeks. Now the big ask: can he bring that fire stateside to TPC Twin Cities? He's got five rounds in the 60s here, but nothing lower than 67. Game fits on paper, but Champ pulling out the fade card is all you need to know for 2nd betting favorite this week.

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